Break Stats -- Derby City 9-Foot 9-Ball, Jan. 2017

Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2017 Derby City Classic 9-Ball event played January 25-28, 2017 at the Horseshoe Southern Indiana in Elizabeth, Indiana with pay-per-view streaming by Accu-Stats.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:

The 10 streamed matches (135 games) were as follows. The figures in parentheses are the Accu-Stats Total Performance Averages (TPA), as calculated by Accu-Stats and shown on the stream. No TPA was given for 3 of these 10 matches.

Wed. Jan 25

Thurs. Jan 26

Fri., Jan. 27

Sat., Jan. 2830

Overall results -- The breaker made at least one ball (and did not foul) 62% of the time (84 of 135), won 55% of the games (74 of 135), and broke and ran 21% of the games (29 of 135).

Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 135 games.


Break-and-run games -- The 29 break-and-run games represented 21% of all 135 games, 39% of the 74 games won by the breaker, and 35% of the 84 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 29 break-and-run games consisted of 1 four-pack (by Van Boening), 4 two-packs and 17 singles. So only Van Boening broke and ran more than 2 games in a row in the streamed matches.

9-Balls on the break -- The 29 break-and-run games included 1 9-ball on the break (0.7% of all breaks).

Miscellany from the data for the 2017 DCC 9-Ball event:
[This relates only to the 10 streamed matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 7 times (including twice on fouled breaks). The breaker lost 5 of those 7 games.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.0 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4.

• 50% (68 of 135) of the games ended in one inning – 21% (29) won by the breaker (B&R) and 29% (39) won by the non-breaker. Ten percent (14 of 135) of the games lasted 4 or more innings.

• 35% (47 of 135) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:

• The player who made the first ball after the break:

• The loser won an average of 4.5 games in these races to 9. Just one streamed match went to hill/hill; six finished at 9-3 or 9-2.

• The average elapsed time for these 10 races to 9 was 70 minutes, averaging 5.2 minutes per game. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was longest in elapsed time, at 115 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 6.8, was Reyes d. Giallourakis 9-8.

• The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at 42 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 3.5, was Woodward d. Shaw 9-3.

• Breaking fouls averaged about 1 for every 17 games, other fouls 1 for every 6 games, and missed shots 1 for every 1.8 games.

• About 37% of the games involved one or more safeties.

Mean of Accu-Stats match TPA's for the 7 streamed matches for which TPA's were given:

• for the 7 match winners -- .897 (last year .921 for 9 match winners)

• for the 7 match losers -- .805 (last year .831 for 9)

• Total (all 14 TPA's) -- .851 (last year .876 for 18)

[Note -- these mean values are likely to be a little different from aggregate TPA's calculated for each of the groups.]

gxman said:

So did Dennis run a 6 pack as Billy said he witness?

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The only streamed match in the 9-Ball event involving Dennis was the finals. The only B&R's in that match were Orcollo's 2-pack in Games 8 and 9.

Maybe you are talking about something else? Billy who?

gxman said:

Billy Incard or Danny D during the finals said he saw Dennis run a 6pack. Mark Wilson said it wasnt. They went back and forth about it for a minute.

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Ah. If it happened, it wasn't in one of the Accu-Stats streamed matches.

Hustlin-Felice said:

Check it out ...

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Did you intend to post this in some other thread?

Edit -- now I see you are sticking it in lots of threads. Not really cool to do.

2nd Edit -- now I see that H-F's post in this thread, and probably others, has been deleted.