Orcollo-Chua now!

mikepage

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
Hell of a match 35-33 Dennis wins

Anybody know how to compute the expectation from the ratings?

Dennis, world #5, 811
Carlo, world #6, 806

step 1: move the decimal points
811 --> 8.11
806 --> 8.06

step 2: raise 2 to the power of these
2^8.11 = 276.3
2^8.06 = 266.9

Dennis and Carlo are expected in the long haul to win games in this ratio, 276.3 to 266.9.

If we multiply each one by (35/276.3), We get

Dennis, 35.0
Carlo, 33.8

And yes watchez and Andrew Cleary, I'm only pointing this out because I notice it is close....close like the other extended match in the past week: Oscar and Rusian. If this wasn't close I would have found laundry that needed folding...
 

terryhanna

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
Anybody know how to compute the expectation from the ratings?

Dennis, world #5, 811
Carlo, world #6, 806

step 1: move the decimal points
811 --> 8.11
806 --> 8.06

step 2: raise 2 to the power of these
2^8.11 = 276.3
2^8.06 = 266.9

Dennis and Carlo are expected in the long haul to win games in this ratio, 276.3 to 266.9.

If we multiply each one by (35/276.3), We get

Dennis, 35.0
Carlo, 33.8

And yes watchez and Andrew Cleary, I'm only pointing this out because I notice it is close....close like the other extended match in the past week: Oscar and Rusian. If this wasn't close I would have found laundry that needed folding...
This match was Johann vs Dennis
 
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