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Search: Posts Made By: mikepage
Forum: Main Forum 07-01-2020, 09:42 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,006
Posted By mikepage
The specially designed software is not currently...

The specially designed software is not currently configured to record match scores. There were plans last year to have them reported and recorded at the tournament desk, but those were abandoned at...
Forum: Main Forum 06-25-2020, 02:18 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 722
Posted By mikepage
Couple things Nick. First, FargoRate's...

Couple things Nick.

First, FargoRate's tentative estimate of your speed is not 480. It is 518. It is just that one of the tours you played in (Ride the 9 or New England 9-Ball Series) had a...
Forum: Main Forum 06-12-2020, 01:30 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 1,236
Posted By mikepage
FargoRate doesn't have any simple formula that is...

FargoRate doesn't have any simple formula that is closed. We don't hide the ball. A data scientist who does machine-learning type stuff would --based on what we describe-- be able to come up with...
Forum: Main Forum 06-11-2020, 02:49 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 1,236
Posted By mikepage
Bernoulli: i.e., when you and I play a game,...

Bernoulli: i.e., when you and I play a game, there is some chance I WIN, and if I don't win I LOSE. The different games don't depend on one another.
Forum: Main Forum 06-11-2020, 02:24 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 1,236
Posted By mikepage
To say Newton's method or FargoRate's iterative...

To say Newton's method or FargoRate's iterative approach is an "approximation method" is like an unfinished sentence that loses a key meaning. The "methods" are not approximation methods; it is...
Forum: Main Forum 06-11-2020, 05:53 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 1,236
Posted By mikepage
My reference to obscenity was maybe a little...

My reference to obscenity was maybe a little obscure.

Here, there are a number of approaches to get to the optimum ratings with none of them simple (i.e., like there is no -- here's the...
Forum: Main Forum 06-10-2020, 09:50 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 1,236
Posted By mikepage
It's not that there are no formulas; there are...

It's not that there are no formulas; there are plenty of formulas. There just isn't a formula for the changes from the old optimum ratings to the new optimum ratings when new match data is added.
...
Forum: Main Forum 05-14-2020, 02:05 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 847
Posted By mikepage
Here is his record since last September against...

Here is his record since last September against 780+ opponents
Forum: Main Forum 05-12-2020, 03:32 PM
Replies: 314
Views: 17,692
Posted By mikepage
That's a little like feeling sorry for a guy...

That's a little like feeling sorry for a guy wearing Army boots who kept up with Usain Bolt in a running race because he was wearing Army boots.
Forum: Aiming Conversation 04-25-2020, 03:08 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 2,352
Posted By mikepage
I couldn't possibly show where "it" goes wrong,...

I couldn't possibly show where "it" goes wrong, don't have an opinion on whether "it" goes wrong or whether "it goes wrong" is a meaningful phrase.

I haven't a clue what "it" is and whether it...
Forum: Main Forum 03-28-2020, 06:39 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,556
Posted By mikepage
That's a good example. I am thinking more...

That's a good example.

I am thinking more broadly though of things that we have a continuous numerical scale for for which we make those categories. I think we don't. I think we tend to talk...
Forum: Main Forum 03-23-2020, 10:46 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 3,839
Posted By mikepage
....................................

....................................
Forum: Main Forum 03-23-2020, 04:48 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 3,839
Posted By mikepage
My head's going to fall off if I keep shaking it...

My head's going to fall off if I keep shaking it like this. SVB has played 1200 games since last August, and there is ONE person on the planet who has logged more than 200 games at a higher...
Forum: Main Forum 03-22-2020, 06:18 PM
Replies: 139
Views: 8,957
Posted By mikepage
I really hope most people just don't make a...

I really hope most people just don't make a request, or at least limit their request to the prize purse portion of the fee.
Forum: Main Forum 03-20-2020, 07:35 AM
Replies: 148
Views: 10,555
Posted By mikepage
The giant elephant in the pool world: ...

The giant elephant in the pool world:

...that we take the rare opportunity for head-to-head competition amongst the world's best and eyes-wide-open sully it with large bias by the way we initiate...
Forum: Main Forum 03-08-2020, 09:44 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 3,425
Posted By mikepage
Nice story Jay. Last we have is summer 2015...

Nice story Jay.

Last we have is summer 2015 --and you can see he was feeling pretty chipper
Forum: Main Forum 02-09-2020, 09:33 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 539
Posted By mikepage
This is correct. Every game scored in LMS with...

This is correct. Every game scored in LMS with actual game score must have two correctly identified players.

In put forfeited game as WF or as, for example, as WF10 to award a win and 10 points. ...
Forum: Main Forum 02-07-2020, 09:04 PM
Replies: 224
Views: 17,877
Posted By mikepage
OK. That's fair ;-)

OK. That's fair ;-)
Forum: Main Forum 02-07-2020, 03:37 PM
Replies: 224
Views: 17,877
Posted By mikepage
You have to be careful here. This assumes...

You have to be careful here.

This assumes each game is an independent event with those chances.

This is like Nate Silver's discussion in "The Signal and the Noise" about how the rating...
Forum: Main Forum 01-29-2020, 04:50 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,304
Posted By mikepage
mpage@fargorate.com

mpage@fargorate.com
Forum: Main Forum 01-26-2020, 04:19 PM
Replies: 201
Views: 19,774
Posted By mikepage
They went Corteza 8 Filler 11 last year So...

They went Corteza 8 Filler 11 last year

So they're pretty close at 19-20 overall

Corteza is #13 by Fargo Rating (#3 Filipino), and I think he doesn't appear on the 180-player WPA list.
Forum: Main Forum 01-19-2020, 10:43 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,304
Posted By mikepage
Some Turning Stone Analysis from FargoRate

Here is a little analysis of the Turning Stone event from FargoRate

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=APWG_WZ59qg
Forum: Main Forum 01-16-2020, 07:15 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 2,732
Posted By mikepage
I see it differently. He was not so consistent...

I see it differently. He was not so consistent with his grandiose stories, and they had an "appeal to authority" tone. I found those stories not so credible.

On aiming issue, he said lots...
Forum: Main Forum 01-13-2020, 12:00 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 672
Posted By mikepage
I think you will find this interesting ...

I think you will find this interesting

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWO4NEcKFqg
Forum: Main Forum 01-09-2020, 02:02 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 1,544
Posted By mikepage
I hope people can see this big graphic. It is...

I hope people can see this big graphic. It is a visual of Aranas's match losses (in red) over the last two years sorted by opponent rating. Most of these matches are shorter and on easier...
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