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Bob Jewett
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07-05-2020, 08:09 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by muskyed View Post
... Also keep in mind that many deaths are labeled as covid deaths, even though though they could have been from the flu, or other causes, as they were just labeled Covid without testing for it. ...
I think the best handle on the number of COVID-19 deaths is the number of excess deaths -- how many people died in June compared to June of last year or the average over the previous five years corrected for population growth/decline. Those numbers might include people who died of heart attacks because they couldn't get into a crowded hospital, but there won't be many of those.

Total number of deaths is a fairly accurate number.

As for total number of infected people, I think we don't have much of a clue. The only way we're going to get those numbers now is to have an accurate, cheap antibody test with a very low false positive rate. That doesn't seem to be available yet.


Bob Jewett
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Last edited by Bob Jewett; 07-05-2020 at 10:18 AM.
  
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