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Stats -- 2018 Derby City One-Pocket, January 2018
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Stats -- 2018 Derby City One-Pocket, January 2018 - 01-30-2018, 02:48 PM

Here are some statistics from the 2018 Derby City Classic's One-Pocket Tournament, played January 21-26 at the Horseshoe Southern Indiana in Elizabeth, Indiana with pay-per-view streaming by Accu-Stats.

This event had 393 players, and operated under the standard DCC format of redrawing match pairings for every round, with one buy-back permitted for each player. All races were to 3. Francisco Bustamante won the event.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets and blue Simonis 860 cloth;
- Cyclop TV balls with a measles cue ball;
- Diamond Billiard's new CR1 triangle rack;
- rack your own with alternating breaks;
- a ball made on the break counts;
- 60-second shot clock with one automatic 60-second extension per player per rack;
- cue ball fouls only;
- 3 fouls in a row is loss of game (did not happen); and
- lag for opening break.

The 16 streamed matches (59 games) were as follows (shown in the order in which they were played):

Tues. Jan. 23
  • 1. Yerry Calderon d. Ernesto Bayaua 3-0
  • 2. Corey Deuel d. John Morra 3-1
  • 3. Fedor Gorst d. Joshua Filler 3-0

Wed. Jan. 24
  • 4. Alex Pagulayan d. Ronnie Alcano 3-1
  • 5. Jeffrey De Luna d. Deuel 3-2
  • 6. Dennis Orcollo d. John Brumback 3-0
  • 7. Justin Bergman d. Justin Hall 3-2

Thurs. Jan. 25
  • 8. Warren Kiamco d. Francisco Bustamante 3-0
  • 9. Billy Thorpe d. Pagulayan 3-0
  • 10. Shannon Daulton d. Joshua O'Neal 3-1
  • 11. Bustamante d. Josh Roberts 3-0
  • 12. Bustamante d. Bergman 3-0

Fri. Jan. 26
  • 13. Tony Chohan d. Kiamco 3-1
  • 14. Bergman d. Daulton 3-0
  • 15. Bustamante d. Chohan 3-2
  • 16. Bustamante d. Bergman 3-1

Breaks from breaker's right side of table -- 37 of 59 (63%)

Games won by breaker
  • When breaking from his left side of table -- 12 of 22 ( 55%)
  • When breaking from his right side of table -- 19 of 37 (51%)
    Total -- 31 of 59 (53%)

Matches won by winner of lag -- 6 of 16 (38%)

High run-outs
  • 9-and-outs -- 1 each by De Luna (Match 5), Kiamco (Match 8), and Bustamante (Match 16)
  • 8-and-outs -- 1 each by Kiamco (Match 8), Bustamante (Match 12), and Chohan (Match 13)

Match lengths
  • Longest in total length (159 min.) -- Bustamante d. Chohan 3-2
  • Highest in average minutes per game (52) -- Bergman d. Daulton 3-0
  • Shortest in total length (29 min.) and lowest in average minutes per game (10) -- Gorst d. Filler 3-0
  • Average match length -- 75 min.
  • Average minutes per game -- 20

Average match score -- 3 - 0.7. Half of the matches were shutouts; only 2 matches went to hill/hill.

Ball counts by length of run:
The total ball counts resulted from the following runs and fouls.
[Note -- excludes info from 8 games I missed in full or in part: Game 3 of Match 1, Game 3 of Match 6, Game 4 of Match 7, Game 4 of Match 15, and all 4 games of Match 16.]
  • 1 ball -- 77 times
  • 2 balls -- 34
  • 3 balls -- 17
  • 4 balls -- 15
  • 5 balls -- 12
  • 6 balls -- 12
  • 7 balls -- 13
  • 8 balls -- 3
  • 9 balls -- 2
  • Plus balls pocketed by opponents -- 30
  • Minus fouls -- 48
  • TOTAL ball count (51 games) -- 503
  • Average game score (51 games) -- 8 - 1.9

Distribution of run-outs to win the games:
[Note -- excludes info from 3 games I missed in full or in part: Game 3 of Match 1, Game 3 of Match 6, and Game 1 of Match 16.]
  • 1 ball -- 22 (39%)
  • 2 balls -- 7
  • 3 balls -- 3
  • 4 balls -- 4
  • 5 balls -- 5
  • 6 balls -- 4
  • 7 balls -- 5
  • 8 balls -- 3 (11% for 8-9)
  • 9 balls -- 3
  • Average (mean) "out" run -- 3.5 balls

Last edited by AtLarge; 01-30-2018 at 02:56 PM.
  
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01-30-2018, 02:51 PM

So...the break is- at best- 5% advantage. But only from the right side!

Muy interesante, senor.


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01-30-2018, 03:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Black-Balled View Post
So...the break is- at best- 5% advantage. But only from the right side!

Muy interesante, senor.
The breaker-won-game percentage fluctuates quite a bit from event to event.

At the Accu-Stats MIH event last June, the breaker won 66% (59 of 90) of the games.

For the streamed matches I have watched from the DCC and Southern Classic events from 2011 through 2018, the breaker-won percentage (for the games for which I have that information) varied from 41% to 84% over those 10 events! Small numbers can produce atypical results. Aggregating all 389 of those games, the breaker won 216 (56%), or about 5 wins for every 4 losses.




[I didn't keep track of the breaking side for all of those.]

Last edited by AtLarge; 06-10-2019 at 11:27 AM.
  
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01-30-2018, 03:50 PM

Sure...a lone cold day doth not a winter make.

Lag winner lost the set more often too!!!


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01-30-2018, 05:11 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Black-Balled View Post
Sure...a lone cold day doth not a winter make.

Lag winner lost the set more often too!!!
Yeah, thanks for noticing. Now you're going to make me go back and check that for lots of matches in years past. (Will conventional wisdom be supported?)
  
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01-31-2018, 12:26 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Black-Balled View Post
... Lag winner lost the set more often too!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by AtLarge View Post
Yeah, thanks for noticing. Now you're going to make me go back and check that for lots of matches in years past. (Will conventional wisdom be supported?)
For the streamed matches I have watched from the DCC and Southern Classic events from 2011 through 2018, the player who broke in the first game of the set (presumably, the one who won the lag) won 46 of the 99 sets (46%) for which I have that information.
  
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