Break Stats -- 2020 Diamond Las Vegas Open (10-Ball), March 2020

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2020 Diamond Las Vegas Open 10-Ball event played March 11-14 at the Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada with free streaming on CueSports International's YouTube channel.

This was a double-elimination event with 128 players entered. All races were to 7 until the final match, which was to 9. Chang Jung-Lin won the event. The stats are for all 19 matches streamed by CSI plus 2 matches (#15 and #17 below) streamed on Roy's Basement Facebook page. These 21 matches represented 8.8% of the total of 239 matches played in the event (15 forfeits).

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets (4½" corners);​
- new Predator XK2 cloth;​
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
- rack your own (except racking by the referee in the final 2 matches) using an Accu-Rack racking template, with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);​
- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- early combinations or caroms on the 10-ball are not game winners; spot the 10-ball and continue shooting;​
- jump cues allowed;​
- foul on all balls;​
- 3-foul rule in effect (did not occur);​
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one extension allowed per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The 21 matches (230 games) tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played.

Wed. March 11, 2020
1. Ko Ping-Chung defeated Darren Appleton 7-3​
2. Carlo Biado d. Skyler Woodward 7-6​
3. Shane Van Boening d. Francisco Bustamante 7-3​
4. Fedor Gorst d. Albin Ouschan 7-6​
5. Eklent Kaçi d. Masato Yoshioka 7-2​

Thurs. March 12
6. Joshua Filler d. Hayato Hijikata 7-3​
7. James Aranas d. Chris Melling 7-5​
8. Naoyuki Oi d. Tyler Styer 7-1​
9. Jeffrey de Luna d. Jayson Shaw 7-3​
10. Ruslan Chinahov d. Max Eberle 7-3​

Fri. March 13
11. Filler d. Biado 7-5​
12. Chang Jung-Lin d. Denis Grabe 7-6​
13. Van Boening d. David Alcaide 7-5​
14. Ralf Souquet d. Mika Immonen 7-1​
15. Filler d. Van Boening 7-4 (streamed on Roy's Basement Facebook page, not by CSI)​
16. Aranas d. Justin Bergman 7-5​

Sat. March 14
17. Aranas d. Souquet 7-5 (streamed on Roy's Basement Facebook page, not by CSI)​
18. Aranas d. Chang J-L 7-4​
19. Bergman d. Souquet 7-3​
20. Chang J-L d. Bergman 7-3 (Semifinal)​
21. Chang J-L d. Aranas 9-5 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 73% (83 of 114) for match winners, 65% (75 of 116) for match losers, and 69% (158 of 230) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 72% (82 of 114) for match winners, 42% (49 of 116) for match losers, and 57% (131 of 230) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 36% (41 of 114) for match winners, 24% (28 of 116) for match losers, and 30% (69 of 230) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 49% (41 of 83) for match winners, 37% (28 of 75) for match losers, and 44% (69 of 158) in total​

Here's a breakdown of the 230 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 104 (45% of the 230 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 54 (23%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 6 (3%)​
Breaker lost the game: 12 (5%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 21 (9%)​
Breaker lost the game: 33 (14%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 57% (131 of 230) of all games,
• He won 66% (104 of 158) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.​
• He won 33% (6 of 18) of the games in which he fouled on the break.​
• He won 39% (21 of 54) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.​
• He won 38% (27 of 72) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.​

Break-and-run games -- The 69 break-and-run games represented 30% of all 230 games, 53% of the 131 games won by the breaker, and 44% of the 158 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 69 break-and-run games consisted of 3 alternate-break 3-packs (1 each by Chinahov, Van Boening, and Chang), 10 alternate-break 2-packs, and 40 singles.

10-Balls on the break -- Just 1 10-ball was made on the break (0.4% of all 230 breaks); it was spotted.
 
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AtLarge

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Miscellany from the data for the 2020 Diamond Las Vegas Open 10-Ball event:
[This relates only to the 21 streamed matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done 3 times -- twice by Van Boening (both game wins, but not by B&R) and once by Eberle (B&R).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.2 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.6.

• 53% (123 of 230) of the games ended in one inning – 30% (69) won by the breaker (B&R) and 23% (54) won by the non-breaker. Ten percent (24 of 230) of the games lasted 4 or more innings.

• 41% (94 of 230) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 44% (69 of 158)
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 61% (11 of 18)
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 26% (14 of 54)

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 59% of the time (135 of 230)
- Won the game in a later inning 16% of the time (37 of 230)
- Lost the game 25% of the time (58 of 230)

• The loser won an average of 3.8 games in the 20 races to 7 (excludes Finals race to 9). Three matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided were two at 7-1.

• The average elapsed time for the races to 7 was about 64½ minutes, or 6.0 minutes per game. This excludes the 2 matches watched on the Roy's Basement stream, because a shot clock was not used in those matches. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The longest shot-clocked match in elapsed time, at 100 minutes, was Chang J-L d. Denis Grabe 7-6. Four matches exceeded an average of 7.0 minutes per game: Ko P-C d. Appleton 7-3, Chang J-L d. Grabe 7-6, Bergman d. Souquet 7-3, and Chang J-L d. Bergman.

• The shortest match in elapsed time, at 40 minutes, was Oi d. Styer 7-1. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.6, was Van Boening d. Bustamante 7-3.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 12.8 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.4 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.2 games.

• About 37% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 

AtLarge

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Some miscellany regarding break-and-run games:

• The four players with the highest B&R percentages in these streamed matches were Chinahov at 80% (4 B&Rs on 5 breaks in just 1 match), Oi and Kaçi at 50% (both 2 of 4 in just 1 match), and SVB at 47% (8 of 17 in 3 matches).

• The match highest overall for B&R percentage was the Chinahov/Eberle match at 60% (6 of 10), The only other matches exceeding 40% were Filler/SVB at 55% (6 of 11) and SVB/Alcaide at 42% (5 of 12).

• At the other extreme, 3 matches had just 1 B&R in total -- Biado/Woodward and Chang/Grabe, both at 1 of 13, and Aranas/Souquet at 1 of 12.

• Four players, each with just 1 appearance, did not have any B&R game -- Woodward, Melling, Styer, and Grabe.
 

AtLarge

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The 2020 World 10-Ball Championship scheduled for the next 5 days has now been canceled. So I won't be able to compare stats from the just-ended Diamond "warm-up" event with those from the World event. But here's a comparison between this year's Diamond Las Vegas Open and last year's World 10-Ball event.

Both events were in the same location, used the same equipment and rules (with two exceptions), and had comparably strong fields in the streamed matches. The two differences were (1) referees racked in all matches last year but only in the final 2 matches this year and (2) the shot clock was 40 seconds last year but 30 seconds this year.

Looks like they broke a bit better on average last year.

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
2020 Diamond -- 69% (158 of 230)
2019 World -- 78% (218 of 281)​

Breaker won the game:
2020 Diamond -- 57% (131 of 230)
2019 World -- 65% (184 of 281)​

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:
2020 Diamond -- 30% (69 of 230)
2019 World -- 36% (101 of 281)​

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:
2020 Diamond -- 44% (69 of 158)
2019 World -- 46% (101 of 218)​

Runouts by the player at the table following the break:
2020 Diamond -- 41% (94 of 230)
2019 World -- 44% (125 of 281)​

Games won by the player at the table following the break:
2020 Diamond -- 65% (149 of 230)
2019 World -- 68% (191 of 281)​

Games ending in one inning (by B&R or on non-breaker's first visit):
2020 Diamond -- 53% (123 of 230)
2019 World -- 54% (153 of 281)​

Fouls:
2020 Diamond -- 70 in 230 games (1 per 3.3 games)
2019 World -- 72 in 281 games (1 per 3.9 games)​

Missed shots (est.):
2020 Diamond -- 104 in 230 games (1 per 2.2 games)
2019 World -- 118 in 281 games (1 per 2.4 games)​

Approx. number of games involving 1 or more safeties:
2020 Diamond -- 37%
2019 World -- 36%​

Average number of balls made on all breaks and on successful breaks:
2020 Diamond -- 1.2, 1.6
2019 World -- 1.5, 1.8​

Average number of minutes per game:
2020 Diamond -- 6.0
2019 World -- 6.0​
 
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8cree

Reverse Engineer
Silver Member
You must see numbers in your sleep man!

Thanks for the post though! It is definitely appreciated!
 

spartan

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
The 2020 World 10-Ball Championship scheduled for the next 5 days has now been canceled. So I won't be able to compare stats from the just-ended Diamond "warm-up" event with those from the World event. But here's a comparison between this year's Diamond Las Vegas Open and last year's World 10-Ball event.

Both events were in the same location, used the same equipment and rules (with two exceptions), and had comparably strong fields in the streamed matches. The two differences were (1) referees racked in all matches last year but only in the final 2 matches this year and (2) the shot clock was 40 seconds last year but 30 seconds this year.

Looks like they broke a bit better on average last year.

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
  • 2020 Diamond -- 69% (158 of 230)
    2019 World -- 78% (218 of 281)

Breaker won the game:

  • 2020 Diamond -- 57% (131 of 230)
    2019 World -- 65% (184 of 281)

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:

  • 2020 Diamond -- 30% (69 of 230)
    2019 World -- 36% (101 of 281)

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 44% (69 of 158)
    2019 World -- 46% (101 of 218)

Runouts by the player at the table following the break:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 41% (94 of 230)
    2019 World -- 44% (125 of 281)

Games won by the player at the table following the break:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 65% (149 of 230)
    2019 World -- 68% (191 of 281)

Games ending in one inning (by B&R or on non-breaker's first visit):
  • 2020 Diamond -- 53% (123 of 230)
    2019 World -- 54% (153 of 281)

Fouls:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 70 in 230 games (1 per 3.3 games)
    2019 World -- 72 in 281 games (1 per 3.9 games)

Missed shots (est.):
  • 2020 Diamond -- 104 in 230 games (1 per 2.2 games)
    2019 World -- 118 in 281 games (1 per 2.4 games)

Approx. number of games involving 1 or more safeties:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 37%
    2019 World -- 36%

Average number of balls made on all breaks and on successful breaks:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 1.2, 1.6
    2019 World -- 1.5, 1.8

Average number of minutes per game:
  • 2020 Diamond -- 6.0
    2019 World -- 6.0


Thanks for great stats as always, AtLarge.
This year's field is way much stronger than last year so you would expect better break stats this year.
Last year better break stats probably cos last year's event was 9 ball while this year they changed 10 ball.
:smile:
 

AtLarge

AzB Gold Member
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Thanks for great stats as always, AtLarge.
This year's field is way much stronger than last year so you would expect better break stats this year.
Last year better break stats probably cos last year's event was 9 ball while this year they changed 10 ball.
:smile:

spartan, the comparison was last year's World 10-Ball Championship with this year's Diamond LV Open -- both 10-Ball events with similar conditions and similarly strong fields in the streamed matches.
 

spartan

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
spartan, the comparison was last year's World 10-Ball Championship with this year's Diamond LV Open -- both 10-Ball events with similar conditions and similarly strong fields in the streamed matches.

My bad
If we compare players on stream in this year LV Open v last year W10B
https://forums.azbilliards.com/showthread.php?t=497302

Last year W10B had slightly more good breakers compared to this year. For eg. in last 3 matches, last year had 5 good breakers out of 6 whereas this year only had 3 good breakers out of 6 :)
 
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