Break Stats -- Turning Stone Classic XXXIII 9-Ball Open, January 2020

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Turning Stone Classic XXXIII 9-Ball Open played Janury 9-12, 2020 at the Turning Stone Resort Casino in Verona, New York. Free live streaming was provided by AZBtv on the Facebook page of UpState AL.

This was a 128-player double-elimination event. Shane Van Boening won the tournament, defeating Alex Kazakis in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches in this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut corner pockets;​
- Tournament Blue Simonis 860 cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament Pro-Cup TV balls with the measles cue ball;​
- Diamond plastic triangle rack;​
- winner breaks from a central box (2 diamonds wide);​
- loser racks, with the 1-ball on the foot spot;​
- cue-ball fouls only except during the act of shooting;​
- no jump cues allowed;​
- no shot clock;​
- all slop counts; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The stats are for the 21 matches (275 games) shown on the main streaming table with commentary. Two additional losers'-side matches were streamed at 10 am on Friday and Saturday; I did not watch them. These 21 tracked matches represented 8.3% of the event's total of 253 matches played (1 match was forfeited), and are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Thursday, January 9, 2020
Mieszko Fortunski defeated Matt Krah 9-4, Dwight Dixon d. Pat Fleming 9-3,​
Shane Van Boening d. Tom Acciavatti 9-4, and Frankie Hernandez d. Bruce Nagle 9-4.​
Friday, January 10
Demetrius Jelatis d. John Morra 9-8, Rhys Chen d. Joey Cicero 9-5,​
Earl Strickland d. Steve Fleming 9-3, Holden Chin d. Elvis Joubert 9-1,​
Jeremy Sossei d. James Aranas 9-5, and Nick Charette d. Ron Casanzio 9-3.​
Saturday, January 11
Daniel Schneider d. Frankie Hernandez 9-3, Sossei d. Billy Thorpe 9-8,​
Bucky Souvanthong d. Chris Szuter 9-2, Joe Dupuis d. Krah 9-1,​
Jayson Shaw d. Earl Strickland 9-2, and Aranas d. Strickland 9-4.​
Sunday, January 12
Van Boening d. Shaw 9-5, Thorpe d. Shaw 9-8,​
Van Boening d. Alex Kazakis 9-2 (Hotseat match), Kazakis d. Aranas 9-1 (Semifinal), and​
Van Boening d. Kazakis 13-6 (Finals).​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 71% (129 of 181) for match winners, 63% (59 of 94) for match losers, and 68% (188 of 275) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 72% (131 of 181) for match winners, 34% (32 of 94) for match losers, and 59% (163 of 275) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 27% (49 of 181) for match winners, 14% (13 of 94) for match losers, and 23% (62 of 275) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 38% (49 of 129) for match winners, 22% (13 of 59) for match losers, and 33% (62 of 188) in total​

Here's a breakdown of the 275 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 125 (45% of the 275 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 63 (23%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 4 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 20 (7%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 34 (12%)​
Breaker lost the game: 29 (11%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 59% (163 of 275) of all games,
He won 66% (125 of 188) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.​
He won 17% (4 of 24) of the games in which he fouled on the break.​
He won 54% (34 of 63) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.​
He won 44% (38 of 87) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.​

Break-and-run games -- The 62 break-and-run games represented 23% of all 275 games, 38% of the 163 games won by the breaker, and 33% of the 188 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul). The 62 break-and-run games (including 9's on the break) consisted of one 5-pack (by Shaw), one 3-pack (Van Boening), six 2-packs, and 42 singles.

9-balls on the break -- The 62 break-and-run games included 8 9-balls on the break (2.9% of the 275 breaks). One additional 9-ball was made on a fouled break, so it was spotted.
 
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AtLarge

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Miscellany from the data for the Turning Stone Classic XXXIII 9-Ball Open
[This relates only to the 21 tracked matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done once each by Hernandez (a B&R), Sossei (a game loss), Strickland (a B&R), and Van Boening (a B&R).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5, and the distribution was 62% 1 ball, 29% 2 balls, 7% 3 balls, and 2% 4 balls.

• 41% (114 of 275) of the games ended in one inning – 23% (62) won by the breaker (B&R) and 19% (52) won by the non-breaker. 14% (38 of 275) of the games lasted more than 3 innings.

• 32% (88 of 275) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 33% (62 of 188)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 63% (15 of 24)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 17% (11 of 63)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 50% of the time (133 of 267)​
- Won the game in a later inning 20% of the time (54 of 267)​
- Lost the game 30% of the time (80 of 267)​
[Note -- total games used here are 267 rather than 275 to eliminate the 8 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• Excluding the finals race to 13, the loser won an average of 3.8 games in the 20 races to 9. Three matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided were three at 9-1.

• The average elapsed time for the 20 races to 9 was 73 minutes, or 5.7 minutes per game. The elapsed time for each match was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was both longest in elapsed time, at 134 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.9, was Sossei d. Thorpe 9-8.

• The match that was both shortest in elapsed time, at 34 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 3.1, was Shaw d. Strickland 9-2.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 11.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.2 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.4 games.

• About 43% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 
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jeephawk

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Would be interested to know of the top 4 longest matches how many were Sossei's? His match with SVB went on forever (it seemed, lol).
 

pt109

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Break stats for the whole tournament were pretty good.
...I’m interested in the break stats from the last 16..gotta feeling they were really good.

Always look forward to these posts...thanx, AtLarge
 

AtLarge

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Would be interested to know of the top 4 longest matches how many were Sossei's? His match with SVB went on forever (it seemed, lol).

The SVB/Sossei match wasn't on the main streaming table and was not shown in full, so I don't have stats on it. But that's the match where Danny D. kept talking over and over about how slow Sossei played, and that Danny felt it was to Sossei's own detriment.

Sossei appeared in just 2 matches on the main streaming table. As noted in post #2, one of them (vs. Thorpe) was both the longest match in elapsed time (134 min.) and the highest in average minutes per game (7.9).

The second slowest-paced match on stream was Jelatis/Morra at 7.6 min./game. That was just 5 minutes shorter than the Sossei/Thorpe match.

Three other matches were in the 7 minute category: Dixon/Fleming at 7.2, Charette/Casanzio at 7.1, and Sossei/Aranas at 7.0.
 

gxman

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I recall one Jennifer B. match on the scoreboard to easily been the longest in the tournament.

Sossei was very tough to watch.
 

AtLarge

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Break stats for the whole tournament were pretty good.
...I’m interested in the break stats from the last 16..gotta feeling they were really good.

Always look forward to these posts...thanx, AtLarge

Once the field had been reduced to 16 players, 22 matches remained -- 14 on the losers' side where a player was eliminated, 7 on the winners' side where neither player was eliminated, and the final match.

Of those 22 matches, 7 were shown on the main streaming table -- the last 2 matches Saturday night (see post #1) and all 5 on Sunday. Here are some stats for those "Last 7" matches compared with the stats for the earlier 14 streamed matches.

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Last 7 -- 77% (73 of 95)
1st 14 -- 64% (115 of 180)
All 21 streamed matches -- 68% (188 of 275)​

Breaker won the game:
Last 7 -- 62% (59 of 95)
1st 14 -- 58% (104 of 180)
All 21 streamed matches -- 59% (163 of 275)​

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:
Last 7 -- 32% (30 of 95)
1st 14 -- 18% (32 of 180)
All 21 streamed matches -- 23% (62 of 275)​

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:
Last 7 -- 41% (30 of 73)
1st 14 -- 28% (32 of 115)
All 21 streamed matches -- 33% (62 of 188)​

Average minutes per game:
Last 7 -- 5.2
1st 14 -- 6.0
All 21 streamed matches -- 5.7​
 
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AtLarge

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What was the deal with the forfeit ?

Don't know. The player lost his first match and forfeited the second. The possible reasons for the forfeit are numerous. Last August, 8 of the matches were forfeited.
 
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