Mosconi Cup Stats -- Career Records for Players on 2019 Teams

AtLarge

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Again this year, I am posting the career Mosconi-Cup records of this year's players. The combined records for each player were compiled from individual-year match results on Wikipedia and my own records. The career records of everyone who has ever played on either team can be found here: https://forums.azbilliards.com/showthread.php?t=464772

Team USA will enter the event with a combined 22 years of Cup experience, with 55% of that in Van Boening. Team Europe has 19 years of Cup experience, but 68% of that is in Feijen alone. Neither team has a rookie this year, but 4 of the 10 players have just 1 year of experience.

Method 1. Under this method, I counted a full win or loss for each player in each match (i.e., not splitting the point into fifths for teams matches or halves for doubles matches). So these numbers essentially answer the question: "In how many winning and losing matches has each player been involved?" [Note that a record like 13-17 means 13 wins and 17 losses, not 13 wins out of 17 matches.]

Team USA
• Shane Van Boening (12 years -- 2007-2018) ..... 13-17 singles, 13-18 doubles, 4-8 teams, 30-43 total (winning percentage of 41%)​
• Skyler Woodward (4 yrs. -- 2015-2018) ..... 3-4 singles, 5-7 doubles, 1-3 teams, 9-14 total (39%)​
• Justin Bergman (3 yrs. -- 2014-2016) ..... 1-5 singles, 4-3 doubles, 1-2 teams, 6-10 total (38%)​
• Billy Thorpe (2 yrs. -- 2017-2018) ..... 2-1 singles, 2-4 doubles, 0-2 teams, 4-7 total (36%)​
• Tyler Styer (1 yr. -- 2018) ..... 1-1 singles, 2-1 doubles, 0-1 teams, 3-3 total (50%)​
• Team USA Total ..... 20-28 singles, 26-33 doubles, 6-16 teams, 52-77 total (40%)​
Team Europe
• Niels Feijen (13 yrs. -- 2001, 2004-2005, 2007-2009, 2011-2016, 2018) ..... 13-9 singles, 25-11 doubles, 6-4 teams, 44-24 total (65%)

• Jayson Shaw (3 yrs. -- 2016-2018) ..... 4-4 singles, 4-3 doubles, 3-0 teams, 11-7 total (61%)

• Joshua Filler (1 yr. -- 2017) ..... 2-0 singles, 2-0 doubles, 1-0 teams, 5-0 total (100%)

• Eklent Kaçi (1 yr. -- 2018) ..... 1-1 singles, 1-2 doubles, 1-0 teams, 3-3 total (50%)

• Alex Kazakis (1 yr. -- 2018) ..... 0-2 singles, 1-2 doubles, 1-0 teams, 2-4 total (33%)

• Team Europe Total ..... 20-16 singles, 33-18 doubles, 12-4 teams, 65-38 total (63%)​

Method 2. Another way of looking at the records is to count a full point for each player in a singles win or loss, half a point for each player in a doubles win or loss, and one-fifth of a point for each player in a team win or loss. So the following numbers essentially answer the question: "What numerical contribution has each player made to the overall Mosconi Cup match scores?"

Team USA
• Van Boening (12 yrs.) ..... 13-17 singles, 6.5-9.0 doubles, 0.8-1.6 teams, 20.3-27.6 total (42%)

• Woodward (4 yrs.) ..... 3-4 singles, 2.5-3.5 doubles, 0.2-0.6 teams, 5.7-8.1 total (41%)

• Bergman (3 yrs.) ..... 1-5 singles, 2.0-1.5 doubles, 0.2-0.4 teams, 3.2-6.9 total (32%)

• Thorpe (2 yrs.) ..... 2-1 singles, 1.0-2.0 doubles, 0-0.4 teams, 3.0-3.4 total (47%)

• Styer (1 yr.) ..... 1-1 singles, 1.0-0.5 doubles, 0-0.2 teams, 2.0-1.7 total (54%)

• Team USA Total ..... 20-28 singles, 13.0-16.5 doubles, 1.2-3.2 teams, 34.2-47.7 total (42%)​
Team Europe
• Feijen (13 yrs.) ..... 13-9 singles, 12.5-5.5 doubles, 1.2- 0.8 teams, 26.7-15.3 total (64%)

• Shaw (3 yrs.) ..... 4-4 singles, 2.0-1.5 doubles, 0.6-0 teams, 6.6-5.5 total (55%)

• Filler (1 yr.) ..... 2.0-0 singles, 1.0-0 doubles, 0.2-0 teams, 3.2-0 total (100%)

• Kaçi (1 yr.) ..... 1-1 singles, 0.5-1.0 doubles, 0.2-0 teams, 1.7-2.0 total (46%)

• Kazakis (1 yr.) ..... 0-2 singles, 0.5-1.0 doubles, 0.2-0 teams, 0.7-3.0 (19%)

• Team Europe Total ..... 20-16 singles, 16.5-9.0 doubles, 2.4-0.8 teams, 38.9-25.8 total (60%)​
 
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AtLarge

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Current FargoRates for this year's Cup players:

Team USA
Van Boening -- 824​
Bergman -- 795​
Woodward -- 795​
Thorpe -- 767​
Styer -- 751​
Team USA Mean -- 786.4​

Team Europe
Filler -- 821
Shaw -- 820
Kaçi -- 810
Feijen -- 807
Kazakis -- 796

Team Europe Mean -- 810.8​

Rating gap between team means -- 24.4

And, just for fun:
Probability of higher-rated player winning a single game if the rating gap is 24 points -- 54%

Prob. of higher-rated player winning a race to 5 if the rating gap is 24 pts. -- 60%

Prob. of winning a race to 11 matches if your prob. of winning each match is 60% -- 83%​
[but this was pretty much the same situation last year, and look what happened]​
 
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AtLarge

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Show how much they were underdogs last year.

Imo, the US team is stronger than last year.

Yes, I have a comment to that effect at the bottom of post #2. (I had temporarily removed a section of post #2 to check some numbers; perhaps you read that post when the comment about last year was not there).
 
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