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markjames
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04-01-2019, 08:42 PM

I saw the last half of the 293. He is world class obviously.
Wish heíd slow down a little, but to each his own.
Is that a SARDO rack? Havenít seen that in a few years.
  
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04-02-2019, 07:06 PM

John started the day with a run of 100 followed by 141 and then 175. 416 balls seperated by 2 mistakes. For the day he finished with 6 runs over 100, one of them a run of 227. He also had 2 98's and a 99. A pretty good day.
  
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alstl
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04-03-2019, 09:25 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by markjames View Post
I saw the last half of the 293. He is world class obviously.
Wish heíd slow down a little, but to each his own.
Is that a SARDO rack? Havenít seen that in a few years.
John always plays pretty fast and in this case it's a good idea because it gets him a lot of runs per day.
  
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thebark
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04-03-2019, 08:40 PM

Today day 11 saw 3 runs over 100 with high of 204. He will play Thursday and then have 2 days off.
  
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thebark
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04-07-2019, 08:45 PM

Sunday day 13 saw two runs over 100, but what runs 283 and a stratospheric 350. The 350 ended with a scratch on the 26th breakshot . After making the ball the cue ball drove through the rack like Moses and then into the corner pocket. Heartbreaking. Tune in tomorrow noon Az time.
  
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alstl
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04-08-2019, 05:49 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by thebark View Post
Sunday day 13 saw two runs over 100, but what runs 283 and a stratospheric 350. The 350 ended with a scratch on the 26th breakshot . After making the ball the cue ball drove through the rack like Moses and then into the corner pocket. Heartbreaking. Tune in tomorrow noon Az time.
Is the 350 archived?
  
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Bob Jewett
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04-08-2019, 08:40 AM

Some time ago I estimated the chance that John would run 100 from an open start based on his first tries for 527. That was one chance in four. In his current series at Bull Shooters, he has had 25 runs over 100. From that it is easy to estimate how many of those runs should have gotten to 200 -- simply a quarter of them, or 6.25. In fact he had 5 runs of 200 or more. Similarly, the number of runs over 300 should be about 1.6 and there has been one.

Those results say that the 1/4 probability for 100 is in the right ballpark. It is possible to estimate the number of times John has to pass 100 to have one run of 527. That is somewhere around 300 100s. It is also something like 20 runs of 300.

But those are averages and a 500 could happen on his next inning. If you play the Lotto until you win the big prize, you will probably have gotten five out of six numbers dozens of times first, but paradoxically few Lotto winners hit even one five of six before they win the big prize. If we had 2000 Schmidts starting on 2000 different tables tomorrow, it is likely that one of them would run over 527 on his first try.


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thebark
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04-08-2019, 10:14 AM

John is videoing all of his runs and I am sure he will upload the higher ones.

Bob John has now played for 13 days. In that time he has 53 runs over 100 I think 7or 8 over 200 and 2 over 300,384 and 350. The higher levels are included in the number 53.
  
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Bob Jewett
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04-08-2019, 11:02 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by thebark View Post
... Bob John has now played for 13 days. In that time he has 53 runs over 100 I think 7or 8 over 200 and 2 over 300,384 and 350. The higher levels are included in the number 53.
Oops. My mistake. I was looking at only part of the spreadsheet of Bull Shooters results. He actually has had 55 of 100 or more, since he has had two 100s.

>=100 55
>=200 7 ----------- "expected" 13.25
>= 300 2 ---------- 3.3

Here are all of the >=100s so far:

100 100 106 106 108 108 110 111 112 113 113 113 113 114 114 119 120 123 125 127 132 138 140 141 141 141 141 141 141 144 145 146 154 154 154 156 164 168 175 175 176 179 180 183 190 193 197 197

204 227 228 283 293

350 384


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measureman
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04-08-2019, 12:45 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob Jewett View Post
Oops. My mistake. I was looking at only part of the spreadsheet of Bull Shooters results. He actually has had 55 of 100 or more, since he has had two 100s.

>=100 55
>=200 7 ----------- "expected" 13.25
>= 300 2 ---------- 3.3

Here are all of the >=100s so far:

100 100 106 106 108 108 110 111 112 113 113 113 113 114 114 119 120 123 125 127 132 138 140 141 141 141 141 141 141 144 145 146 154 154 154 156 164 168 175 175 176 179 180 183 190 193 197 197

204 227 228 283 293

350 384
All the above makes the 526 just that much more impressive.
And i think Willie said his high run was 608 but undocumented.
But I can believe he did run the 608.


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04-08-2019, 02:09 PM

Do we have news and scores from Johnís play today?


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Bob Jewett
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04-08-2019, 02:39 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by measureman View Post
All the above makes the 526 just that much more impressive.
And i think Willie said his high run was 608 but undocumented.
But I can believe he did run the 608.
The only witness according to the story I heard was Charlie Ursitti, but I believe it's entirely possible. I also believe Cranfield ran a 768. They were both practice runs and not exhibitions nor has anyone ever claimed them as exhibition runs.


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04-08-2019, 04:19 PM

I watched the run just ended. Ran 98, made the break shot but left the CB up near the head rail with no friends. Missed a long straight-in. 99. ugh.
  
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04-08-2019, 04:26 PM

Next attempt -- ran 38 but CB rolled up on a ball leaving essentially nothing. Missed.
  
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04-08-2019, 08:06 PM

After playing 8 hours on Sunday today was a short day due to sore legs and back. The first run out of the box was 134, the only posted score. He did have 3 other 98's or 99's.
  
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