Break Stats -- World Pool Series, Rasson 10-Ball Masters Championship, June 2018

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate stats from Days 3 and 4 (combined) of the sixth event (2nd of 2018) of Darren Appleton's World Pool Series -- the Rasson 10-Ball Masters Championship. The event was played June 7-10, 2018 at Steinway Billiards in Queens, New York with pay-per-view live streaming by AZBtv. The winner was Joshua Filler.

This was a 41-player event, with double elimination down to the final 8 players (races to 11, with a shootout at hill/hill) and then single elimination (races to 13 until the finals, then 17, with a shootout at hill/hill). The stats are for the final 7 matches (Quarterfinals through Finals, all on the same table), which represented 9.3% of the total of 75 matches played in the event and 11.6% of the total of 1,303 games played in the event. No shootouts occurred in these 7 matches.

The conditions for this event included:
- Rasson 9-foot table with 4¼" corner pockets, 4¾" side pockets, and, apparently, more-difficult-than-normal pocket facings;​
- Simonis 860 Tournament Blue cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament balls with the measles cue ball;​
- referee racks using an Accu-Rack template, with the 1-ball on the spot and the 2-ball and 3-ball on the back corners;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- spot any 10-ball made on the break;​
- early combos or caroms on the 10-ball allowed;​
- foul on all balls, and 3-foul rule in effect;​
- jump cues allowed;​
- shot clock of 30 seconds (60 sec. after the break), with one extension per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The 7 matches (151 games) tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played.

Saturday, June 9, 2018 -- all Quarterfinal matches
Lee Vann Corteza defeated Alex Pagulayan 13-6​
Joshua Filler d. Denis Grabe 13-5​
Dennis Orcollo d. Ralf Souquet 13-9​
Alex Kazakis d. James Aranas 13-11​

Sunday, June 10
Filler d. Corteza 13-5 (Semifinal)​
Kazakis d. Orcollo 13-10 (Semifinal)​
Filler d. Kazakis 17-10 (Finals)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 59% (55 of 93) for match winners, 43% (25 of 58) for match losers, and 53% (80 of 151) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 61% (57 of 93) for match winners, 34% (20 of 58) for match losers, and 51% (77 of 151) in total​
Break-and-run games -- 22% (20 of 93) for match winners, 3% (2 of 58) for match losers, and 15% (22 of 151) in total​

Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 151 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 47 (31% of the 151 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 33 (22%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 1 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 8 (5%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 29 (19%)​
Breaker lost the game: 33 (22%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 51% (77 of 151) of all games,​
He won 59% (47 of 80) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.​
He won 11% (1 of 9) of the games in which he fouled on the break.​
He won 47% (29 of 62) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.​
He won 42% (30 of 71) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.​

Break-and-run games -- The 22 break-and-run games represented 15% of all 151 games, 29% of the 77 games won by the breaker, and 28% of the 80 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul). The 22 break-and-run games consisted of 4 two-packs (all by Filler) and 14 singles. No one broke and ran more than 2 games in a row in these 7 matches.

10-Balls on the break -- One 10-ball was made on the break (0.7% of all breaks); it was spotted.
 
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AtLarge

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Miscellany from the data for the 2018 Rasson 10-Ball Masters Championship -- World Pool Series event #6:

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just once, by Filler; he lost that game.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.8 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3.

• 41% (62 of 151) of the games ended in one inning – 15% (22) won by the breaker (B&R) and 26% (40) won by the non-breaker. Twenty percent (30 of 151) of the games lasted 4 or more innings.

• 30% (46 of 151) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 28% (22 of 80)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 78% (7 of 9)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 27% (17 of 62)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 46% of the time (70 of 151)​
- Won the game in a later inning 22% of the time (33 of 151)​
- Lost the game 32% of the time (48 of 151)​

• The loser won an average of 7.7 games in the 6 races to 13 (excludes Finals). The closest match was 13-11; two finished at 13-5.

• The average elapsed time for the 6 races to 13 was 136 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 7 matches was 6.5. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts (but excluded the 15-minute intermission during the Finals match).

• The race to 13 that was longest in elapsed time, at 175 minutes, was Kazakis d. Aranas 13-11. The match that was highest in average minutes per game, at 7.6, was Orcollo d. Souquet 13-9.

• The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at 88 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.9, was Filler d. Corteza 13-5.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 16.8 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.7 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.3 games.

• About 48% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 
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sjm

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Thanks for all this wonderful data. I attended all four days of this event and, speaking as a fan, I've rarely enjoyed an event more.

The best thing about this event was that there was a neutral racker on the stream table --- namely the referee. Add this to the fact that all four quarterfinals, both semifinals and the final were played on the stream table and it meant that that the racking gurus didn't have their usual advantage once the real money was up for grabs. In addition , all seven of these matches had the shot clock in use, so the matches kept moving. Finally, the tight conditions on the stream table ensured that, even with winner breaks, both players in every match got plenty of looks at the table and had to use all their skills to win. Of course, the straightest shooters thrived on the tight stream table, but good defense, kicking, jumping and the use of two-way shots were all at a premium.

Neutral racker, shot clock, and all the key matches on the stream table made me think of the Mosconi Cup formula --- the most exciting way to present pool!

Great event.
 

AtLarge

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Here's how event-winner Filler did on a few stats compared with the other players in these 7 matches. He accounted for 21% of the appearances in the 7 streamed matches (3 of 14) and 28% of the break shots (42 of 151).

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Filler -- 60% (25 of 42)
All others -- 50% (55 of 109)
Total -- 53% (80 of 151)

Breaker won the game:
Filler -- 60% (25 of 42)
All others -- 48% (52 of 109)
Total -- 51% (77 of 151)

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:
Filler -- 31% (13 of 42)
All others -- 8% (9 of 109)
Total -- 15% (22 of 151)

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:
Filler -- 52% (13 of 25)
All others -- 16% (9 of 55)
Total -- 28% (22 of 80)
 
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AtLarge

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The losers of the 7 matches had only 2 break-and-run games on their 58 breaks -- 3%.
 

pt109

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The stats make it official....Filler robbed ‘em.

Can you imagine letting this kid loose on the old GCs with five inch pockets?


Thanx as usual, AtLarge
 

AtLarge

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The streaming table in this event was tough -- a Rasson table with 4¼" corners, 4¾" sides and "more-difficult-than-normal" pocket facings. At the Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball event (men's) last month, the table was a Diamond with standard pro-cut pockets. Both events used a racking template. Let's compare.

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 53% (80 of 151)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 67% (89 of 133)

Breaker won the game:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 51% (77 of 151)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 58% (77 of 133)

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 15% (22 of 151)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 23% (30 of 133)

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 28% (22 of 80)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 34% (30 of 89)

Runouts by the player at the table following the break:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 30% (46 of 151)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 30% (40 of 133)

Games won by the player at the table following the break:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 58% (88 of 151)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 55% (73 of 133)

Games ending in one inning (by B&R or on non-breaker's first visit):
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 41% (62 of 151)
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 40% (53 of 133)

Approx. % of games involving safeties:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 48%
Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball -- 47%

Average number of balls made on all breaks and on successful breaks:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 0.8, 1.3
Asian Culture Day 10-Ball -- 1.1, 1.6

Average number of minutes per game:
WPS Rasson 10-Ball -- 6.5 (30-sec. shot clock)
Asian Culture Day 10-Ball -- 6.5 (no shot clock)
 
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