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Break Stats -- Accu-Stats 2015 "Make It Happen" 10-Ball Invitational, Dec. 2015 - 12-21-2015, 12:03 AM

Here are some stats from the Accu-Stats "Make It Happen" 10-Ball Invitational played December 17-21, 2015 at Sandcastle Billiards in Edison, NJ with pay-per-view streaming by Accu-Stats.

This was a 6-player event, with 15 round-robin matches (races to 13) followed by a playoff match between the 2 players with the best records. The tie-breaker for getting into the finals for players with the same records in matches was the number of games won. The six players were: Shane Van Boening, Jayson Shaw, Thorsten Hohmann, Earl Strickland, Yu Hsuan "Kevin" Cheng, and Darren Appleton.

The conditions for this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with blue Simonis 860 cloth;
- Aramith Tournament balls with the measles cue ball;
- Accu-Rack Dedicated 10 racking template;
- 40-second shot clock with one automatic 40-second extension per rack;
- rack your own and winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;
- call shots, except slop counts (including the 10-ball) on the break, on kick shots, and for other pocketed balls when a called ball is legally pocketed.
- jump cues not allowed
- lag for opening break.

The 16 matches were as follows (shown in the order in which they were played). The figures in parentheses are the Accu-Stats Total Performance Averages (TPA), as calculated by Accu-Stats and shown on the stream.

Thurs., Dec. 17
Shaw (.925) defeated Strickland (.770) 13-3, Van Boening (.928) d. Cheng (.859) 13-6,
Hohmann (.902) d. Appleton (.832) 13-11, and Van Boening (.937) d. Strickland (.855) 13-6.

Fri., Dec 18
Cheng (.909) d. Hohmann (.909) 13-11, Shaw (.875) d. Appleton (.915) 13-11,
Hohmann (.881) d. Van Boening (.856) 13-9, and Strickland (.882) d. Cheng (.829) 13-7.

Sat., Dec. 19
Cheng (.940) d. Appleton (.856) 13-6, Shaw (.933) d. Hohmann (.856) 13-7,
Strickland (.975) d. Appleton (.649) 13-1, and Van Boening (.943) d. Shaw (.846) 13-5.

Sun., Dec. 20
Hohmann (.972) d. Strickland (.852) 13-5, Appleton (.948) d. Van Boening (.908) 13-12,
Shaw (.970) d. Cheng (.857) 13-3, and Van Boening (.918) d. Shaw (.875) 13-10.

Records in round-robin play (5 matches per player).
  • Shaw -- 4-1 in matches [57-37 in games (winning percentage in games of 61%)]
  • Van Boening -- 3-2 [60-43 (58%)]
  • Hohmann -- 3-2 [57-51 (53%)]
  • Strickland -- 2-3 [40-47 (46%)]
  • Cheng -- 2-3 [42-56 (43%)]
  • Appleton -- 1-4 [42-64 (40%)]

Playoff match -- Van Boening defeated Shaw 13-10. So, including the playoff match, their records were both 4-2 in matches. In games, Van Boening was 73-53 (58%) and Shaw was 67-50 (57%).

Overall results for all 16 matches -- The breaker made at least one ball (and did not foul) 76% of the time (244 of 321), won 61% of the games (197 of 321), and broke and ran 33% of the games (105 of 321).

Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 321 games.

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
  • Breaker won the game: 170 (53% of the 321 games)
  • Breaker lost the game: 74 (23%)

Breaker fouled on the break:
  • Breaker won the game: 4 (1%)
  • Breaker lost the game: 19 (6%)

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
  • Breaker won the game: 23 (7%)
  • Breaker lost the game: 31 (10%)

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 61% (197 of 321) of all games,
  • He won 70% (170 of 244) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.
  • He won 17% (4 of 23) of the games in which he fouled on the break.
  • He won 43% (23 of 54) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.
  • He won 35% (27 of 77) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.

Break-and-run games: The 105 break-and-run games represented 33% of all 321 games, 53% of the 197 games won by the breaker, and 43% of the 244 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul). The 105 break-and-run games (including 10-balls on the break) consisted of one 6-pack (by Van Boening), two 4-packs (both by Van Boening), six 3-packs (three by Shaw, two by Van Boening, and one by Appleton), thirteen 2-packs, and 47 singles.

10-balls on the break:
The 105 break-and-run games included 6 10-balls on the break (1.9% of the 321 breaks).
  
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12-21-2015, 12:04 AM

Here are some break stats for each player in the Accu-Stats 2015 "Make It Happen" 10-Ball Invitational.

This includes all 16 matches in the event, i.e., 6 matches for the 2 finalists (Van Boening and Shaw) and 5 matches for each of the other 4 players.


Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):

  • Van Boening -- 61 of 72 (85%)
    Shaw -- 55 of 64 (86%)
    Hohmann -- 41 of 56 (73%)
    Strickland -- 26 of 40 (65%)
    Cheng -- 28 of 43 (65%)
    Appleton -- 33 of 46 (72%)
    Total -- 244 of 321 (76%)

Breaker won the game:

  • Van Boening -- 47 of 72 (65%)
    Shaw -- 43 of 64 (67%)
    Hohmann -- 35 of 56 (63%)
    Strickland -- 23 of 40 (58%)
    Cheng -- 25 of 43 (58%)
    Appleton -- 24 of 46 (52%)
    Total -- 197 of 321 (61%)

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:

  • Van Boening -- 31 of 72 (43%)
    Shaw -- 26 of 64 (41%)
    Hohmann -- 17 of 56 (30%)
    Strickland -- 8 of 40 (20%)
    Cheng -- 11 of 43 (26%)
    Appleton -- 12 of 46 (26%)
    Total -- 105 of 321 (33%)

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:

  • Van Boening -- 31 of 61 (51%)
    Shaw -- 26 of 55 (47%)
    Hohmann -- 17 of 41 (41%)
    Strickland -- 8 of 26 (31%)
    Cheng -- 11 of 28 (39%)
    Appleton -- 12 of 33 (36%)
    Total -- 105 of 244 (43%)
  
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12-21-2015, 12:04 AM

Miscellany from the data for the Accu-Stats 2015 "Make It Happen" 10-Ball Invitational.

The most balls made on a single break was 5, done just once -- Shane Van Boening. He won that game by B&R.

The average number of balls made on the break was 1.3 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). When the breaker stayed at the table after the break, the average was 1.6.

56% (181 of 321) of the games ended in one inning 33% (105) won by the breaker (B&R) and 24% (76) won by the non-breaker. 10% (31 of 321) of the games lasted 4 or more innings.

41% (132 of 321) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) 43% (105 of 244)
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break 70% (16 of 23)
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks 20% (11 of 54)

The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 68% of the time (213 of 315)
- Won the game in a later inning 13% of the time (41 of 315)
- Lost the game 19% of the time (61 of 315)

The loser won an average of 7.1 games (races to 13). Only one match went to hill/hill (Appleton d. Van Boening); three finished at 13-11, and the shortest was 13-1.

The longest match in elapsed time, at 148 minutes, was Hohmann d. Appleton 13-11. The shortest match in elapsed time, at 57 minutes, was Strickland d. Appleton 13-1. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

The average elapsed time for these 16 races to 13 was 100 minutes, averaging 5.0 minutes per game.

The match highest in average minutes per game, at 6.2, was Hohmann d. Appleton 13-11. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 3.6 was Van Boening d. Strickland 13-6.

Breaking fouls averaged about 1 for every 14 games, other fouls 1 for every 6 games, and missed shots 1 for every 2.3 games.

About 36% of the games involved one or more safeties.
  
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12-21-2015, 12:38 AM

Awesome stats! Those break-and-run percentages are astonishing.

I was curious about the average TPA for each player across all their matches.

Here's what I got:

SVB .915
Shaw .904
Hohmann .904
Cheng .879
Strickland .867
Appleton .840


"He knew what those jubilant crowds did not know, but could have learned from books; that the plague bacillus never dies or disappears for good...and that perhaps the day would come when, for the bane and the enlightening of men, it would rouse up its rats again and send them forth to die in a happy city."
  
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12-21-2015, 12:58 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by PoolBum View Post
Awesome stats! Those break-and-run percentages are astonishing.

I was curious about the average TPA for each player across all their matches.

Here's what I got:

SVB .915
Shaw .904
Hohmann .904
Cheng .879
Strickland .867
Appleton .840
Funny that you did that, PoolBum, because I just did the same thing. And I concur with all your numbers.

Note that these are arithmetic means of each player's TPA's. They are not what the single TPA would be if we were able to aggregate all of their play. For that, we'd need the balls pocketed and the errors for each player for each match, and then do an aggregate TPA.

The mean of all 32 of the TPA's was .886. Three were in the top half of the .900's, 13 in the bottom half of the .900's, 11 in the top half of the .800's, 3 in the bottom half of the .800's, and 2 below .800.
  
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12-21-2015, 01:16 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by AtLarge View Post
Note that these are arithmetic means of each player's TPA's. They are not what the single TPA would be if we were able to aggregate all of their play. For that, we'd need the balls pocketed and the errors for each player for each match, and then do an aggregate TPA.
Correct, but I suspect they're a pretty close approximation of each player's aggregate TPA.

I suppose the Accu-Stats DVD's will have those stats for each match, so maybe we'll be able to calculate their aggregate TPA's at some point.


"He knew what those jubilant crowds did not know, but could have learned from books; that the plague bacillus never dies or disappears for good...and that perhaps the day would come when, for the bane and the enlightening of men, it would rouse up its rats again and send them forth to die in a happy city."
  
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12-21-2015, 04:29 AM

SVB's consistency is unbelievable... Whole tournament over 900... Wow


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12-21-2015, 09:58 AM

Fabulous job as always.


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12-21-2015, 12:47 PM

Were any jump shots attempted? Was it playing cue only, or could they jump with break cue?
  
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12-21-2015, 02:11 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by AtLarge View Post
Overall results for all 16 matches -- The breaker made at least one ball (and did not foul) ..... , won 61% of the games (197 of 321).

Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 321 games.

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
  • Breaker won the game: 170 (53% of the 321 games)
Maybe I am missing something, but how are these different?

OK, I found the discrepancy being nobody responded and I had more time to look it over.

Last edited by Skippy27; 12-21-2015 at 04:25 PM.
  
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12-21-2015, 02:26 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by AtLarge View Post
Here are some stats from the Accu-Stats "Make It Happen" 10-Ball Invitational played December 17-21, 2015 at Sandcastle Billiards in Edison, NJ with pay-per-view streaming by Accu-Stats.[...]
Thanks for all you do!

Here are Fargo Rating changes from the event:

Jayson Shaw -- up 1.7 to 788.8
Shane Van Boening -- up 1.5 to 820.0
Thorsten Hohmann -- 2.1 to 779.2
Kevin Cheng -- down 3.2 to 791.3
Earl Strickland -- up 4.7 to 767.1
Darren Appleton -- down 1.5 to 789.6


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12-21-2015, 02:57 PM

AtLarge,

Thanks again for continuing to do this. The numbers are always interesting to see.

FYI, as I always do for the major tournaments, I've added a summary of your data (and a partial quote of and link to your post) on the break statistics resource page. It is interesting to see how the data compare with different games (8-ball, 9-ball, 10-ball), break rules, and equipment.

Catch you later,
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12-21-2015, 03:49 PM

Dennis is nuts to even try playing Shane in a long race. Shane's
10b break is too much for anyone to overcome.

Dennis only shot is a super tight table.
  
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12-21-2015, 03:53 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by gxman View Post
Dennis is nuts to even try playing Shane in a long race. Shane's
10b break is too much for anyone to overcome.

Dennis only shot is a super tight table.
Shane will be taking Dennis' and John's lunch money... 10ball is even easier to break than 9ball if you know what balls go where and you can hit the break accordingly.... Racking and Breaking 10ball... Give me Shane, DeChaine, and Shaw.... Doesn't have to be in that order......


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12-21-2015, 07:56 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Magog30 View Post
Were any jump shots attempted? Was it playing cue only, or could they jump with break cue?
Yes, a few jumps were attempted. Shane was successful on two or three but failed to get the CB up at all on one (in the finals). Hohmann succeeded on one, if I'm remembering correctly.

I think it was OK to use your break cue, but I'm not sure. Shane's foul in the last match was with his playing cue, but he removed the extension before attempting to jump.
  
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