Im getting to the point to where I can almost run a rack but always run into problems with my Key Ball to runout the rack. I run the first 6 balls like a machine gun at the table but then when I run into the last two I fall short somewhere in my game either it be 8 or 9 ball.
You said, you see your run out pattern. Well, do you assess your run out probability for that pattern?
If you have a run out pattern that you think you can execute successfully more than 75%, then you should execute your "run out" stategy. If the probability is less than 75%, then you need to develop a "game winning" strategy.
In 8 ball, soft shots are more successful than hard shots.
In 9 ball, hard shots are more successul than soft shots.
You don't want to leave the 9 ball....or any ball hanging in the pocket for an easy win for your opponent.
In 8 ball, you want your balls hanging in the pocket...if you miss the shot. Even for the 8 ball, because if your opponent does not have a high percentage run out, then they either have to run out or play safe. Even with a high percentage run out, a lot of players will choke due to the fact that, if they do not run out, if they miss a shot, then the are most likely going to lose...because your 8 ball is a hanger.
When I play 8 ball, even if I have a high percentage run out, I make sure my opponent has 2 problem balls. That way, if I do fail to run out, then my opponent will have to break out, in order to win.....which is a low percentage run out.
If my opponent does not have 2 problem balls, then I will find a way to incorporate a kiss/carom shot to create a cluster for my opponent while still trying to run out.
Usually, when I run out, you can look at the table and see that even had I rattled/hung the 8 ball...then my opponent would have to play an ESPN safety or ESPN-like shot or 2 to run out.
During my first BCAPL session play off, I broke and ran up to the 8 ball. I had to bank the eight, and I ended up hitting the point, but my 8 ball was near the pocket and my CB was down table....not leaving my opponent a good shot/run out. I could have just stop-shot the 8 ball bank shot, but I would have left the CB near the center of the table, allowing my opponent an easy run out. So, I shot a draw shot bank for the 8, in order to get the cue up to the head of the table.
My opponent opted to play a safety.....which was the correct decision, but he did not execute a good enough safety. He left me a kick shot for the 8 ball. Jokingly, I said to him, "you call that a safety? where I come from that ain't no safety". Surely, most players would not go for a kick shot that has a possibility of scratching and losing the game...but I knew that by playing a 2 rail kick shot, I would eliminate the high probability of scratching. I kicked the 8 ball in to give him his only loss for the entire day.
The bottom line is...everything starts and finishes with the cue ball. Improve your CB control and you will win more games.
My goal is to get perfect CB position for each and every shot, but I know that it is unrealistic to expect that. That is why you need to know the shape zones (as someone mentioned the funnel concept), and be able to choose the correct shape zone. Even if your CB control is not perfect....which most times it will not be....you will still be within your shape zone. Choosing the correct shape zone will increase your run out probability.
In my honest opinion, I don't think 3 hours a week is enough. It should take you 30 minutes just to run a quick health check on your fundamentals. And I try to incorporate that every time I go play pool.
If you are serious about improving your game, then I would listen to RandyG's recommendation.
I waited 4 years before getting my first lesson. I was hesitant on spending the money, and my game was already strong.
My lesson was with Scott Lee (RandyG is part of the same association), and although I already knew a lot of the information....he was able to give all that information a structure and process for putting it all together. The drills and self assessments are key to being a solid player. My lesson was worth every penny.