The odds could be similar overall, but different in particular settings conditional on what has happened so far.
The question at hand isn’t “are the formats the same after one player wins the first 4 games in a row?” Clearly they are not, as a traditional format banks those wins while predator...
Shi completely blew it, Filler played well to come back but never should have had the chance. She looks disappointed during the ceremony but presumably she'll be back.