Recent content by skip100

  1. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    Those days are never coming back. It’s like asking for Augusta National greens to run at an 8 on the stimpmeter.
  2. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    The table isn't easy, Filler just makes it look easy.
  3. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    This is like how Filler was playing at DCC.
  4. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    LOL at that last series. Filler is on fire.
  5. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    According to WNT live scores, the final match will be at 19:00h UK local time (11 am Pacific, 2 pm Eastern).
  6. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    These things come and go when it comes to the best of the best. The real surprise is when the same player stays on top for an extended period of time.
  7. skip100

    Buffalo's 1 Pocket Calcutta $$

    In general, slicing the results up by game or table size will make the predictions worse. 9 ball and 10 ball are basically the same game so you reduce sample size for no reason. One pocket and banks are different enough that the loss in efficiency is often going to be outweighed by the ability...
  8. skip100

    Buffalo's 1 Pocket Calcutta $$

    Teutscher is an interesting case, his price was correlated with an implied rating of about 730, which would put him in the bottom quarter of the field by skill level. That was borne out with a 5-3 loss to Bustamante and 5-1 to DeLawder. Bettors clearly knew that he wouldn't play to an 800+ in...
  9. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    He looks nervous but playing well so far.
  10. skip100

    Buffalo's 1 Pocket Calcutta $$

    yes, without any specialist adjustments, his 850 rating is so much higher than everyone else that he would be expected to finish in the top 2 about half the time on average. He is predicted to have about a 1/3 chance to win the event and generate the large payday that would justify his high value.
  11. skip100

    Buffalo's 1 Pocket Calcutta $$

    Using base fargo ratings, a simulation of 100,000 events shows the following expected values vs. actual cost for the top 20 rated players: Chohan (+23k), Gomez (+21k), Lunda (+12k), and Hall (+10k) were the most overpriced compared to their ratings, while Teutscher (-22k), Gorst (-18k)...
  12. skip100

    Buffalo's 1 Pocket Calcutta $$

    https://forums.azbilliards.com/threads/buffalos-1-pocket-calcutta.587114/#post-8437573 Which of the folks on this list would we qualify as a "one pocket specialist" who plays above their rating? What would the typical specialist bump be, 25 points? 50 points?
  13. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    All of these folks who compete at a world class level are genetic freaks and would be good at a variety of sports.
  14. skip100

    UK Open 2026, London, May 26-31

    Wait, Bergman was bragging about how he decided to dedicate himself to pool full time and full energy. Surely he must be entered in this tournament, right? Right? ;):rolleyes::ROFLMAO:
  15. skip100

    Dynaspheres and WNT Launch Major Partnership as the New Balls of the Tour

    Here are the new balls on the table. The 9 looks like a 10 ball on the stream. I have been a fan of Matchroom & WNT but this kind of thing really makes you question their judgment. No one liked the purple 5 ball and now they are tripling down on it with an even worse set of balls.
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