Break Stats -- 2025 World 8-Ball Championship, October 2025

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2025 Yalin WPA Men's World 8-Ball Championship played October 9-13, 2025 at the Bali International Convention Centre in Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia. Streaming was free on YouTube's Billiard TV channel. Albin Ouschan won the event, defeating Alex Kazakis in the final match.

The commentators were Tim De Ruyter, George Teyechea, Mark White, and Eric Hjorleifson.

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
• Predator ARC 9-foot table (4¼" corner pockets);​
• Predator Arcadia Reserve cloth (blue);​
• Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
• Predator Arena lights;​
• referee racks using a Predator Aerorack triangle rack;​
• winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
• table open after the break;​
• ball in hand behind the head string after a foul on the break;​
• for an 8-ball made on the break, it is breaker's choice to spot the 8-ball and continue shooting or to re-break;​
• call shots;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and​
• lag for opening break.​

This was a 91-player event (96 less 5 no-shows or disqualified), with double elimination down to 32 players (16 on the winners' side and 16 on the one-loss side), and then single elimination to the end. These stats are for 16 matches -- all of the matches that were streamed on feature Tables 1 and 2. These 16 matches (223 games) were 10% of the total of 166 matches played in the event (175 scheduled less 9 not played because of forfeits), including 19% (6 of 31) of the matches played in the single-elimination stage of the event. The 16 matches are as follows:

Thursday, October 9
1. Derin Sitorus defeated Petri Makkonen 8-6​
2. Shane Van Boening d. Muhammad Zulfikri 8-2​
3. Albin Ouschan d. Sitorus 8-6​

Fri., Oct. 10
4. Kledio Kaçi d. Thorsten Hohmann 8-5​
5. Eklent Kaçi d. Sanjin Pehlivanovic 8-5​
6. Alex Pagulayan d. Christopher Tevez Ocampo 8-5​
7. Stefan Kasper d. Lee Vann Corteza 8-5​
8. Naoyuki Oi d. Hamka Jaya 8-2​

Sat., Oct. 11
9. Van Boening d. Wu Kun Lin 8-4​
10. Denis Grabe d. Sean Malayan 8-3​

Sun., Oct 12
11. E. Kaçi d. Grabe 10-9 [Last 16]​
12. Hayato Hijikata d. Van Boening 10-6 [Last 16]​
13. Alex Kazakis d. K. Kaçi 10-3 [Quarterfinal]​

Mon., Oct 13
14. Kazakis d. Bryant Saguiped 10-8 (Semifinal)​
15. Ouschan d. Hijikata 10-9 (Semifinal)​
16. Ouschan d. Kazakis 10-5 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 53% (71 of 133)​
Match losers -- 42% (38 of 90)​
Total -- 49% (109 of 223)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 62% (83 of 133)​
Match losers -- 37% (33 of 90)​
Total -- 52% (116 of 223)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 33% (44 of 133)​
Match losers -- 23% (21 of 90)​
Total -- 29% (65 of 223)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 62% (44 of 71)​
Match losers -- 55% (21 of 38)​
Total -- 60% (65 of 109)

Here's a breakdown of the 223 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 84 (38% of the 223 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 25 (11%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 10 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 30 (13%)​
Breaker lost the game: 72 (32%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 52% (116 of 223) of all games,​
He won 77% (84 of 109) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 28% (32 of 114) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 65 break-and-run games represented 29% of all 223 games, 56% of the 116 games won by the breaker, and 60% of the 109 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 65 break-and-run games consisted of two 4-packs (1 each by E. Kaçi and Grabe), two 3-packs (Kasper and Kazakis), 8 2-packs, and 35 singles.

8-balls on the break -- 2 (0.9% of all 223 breaks). In each case, the breaker chose to spot the 8-ball and continue playing rather than re-breaking.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2025 World 8-Ball Championship
[This relates only to the 16 matches I tracked, not to all matches in the event.]

■ The most balls made on a single break was 5, done just once (by Malayan in a B&R). Four balls were made on the break just once (by E. Kaci in a loss). Three balls were made on the break 5 times -- 4 B&R wins and 1 loss.

■ The average number of balls made on the break was 0.7 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4.

■ Number of innings:
• 67% (150 of 223) of the games ended in one inning – 65 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 85 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 22% (50 of 223) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 10% (23 of 223) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 8th visit.​

■ 59% (132 of 223) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 60% (65 of 109)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 67% (8 of 12)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 58% (59 of 102)​

■ The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 62% of the time (139 of 223)​
• Won the game in a later inning 16% of the time (35 of 223)​
• Lost the game 22% of the time (49 of 223)​

■ Match losers won an average of 4.3 games in the 10 races to 8 and 6.7 games in the 6 races to 10. Two matches went to hill/hill (E. Kaçi d. Grabe and Ouschan d. Hijikata); the fewest games won in a match was 2, twice (Van Boening d. Zulfikri and Oi d. Jaya).

■ The race to 8 that was both longest in elapsed time, at about 109 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.8, was Ouschan d. Sitorus 8-6. The race to 10 that was longest in elapsed time, at about 142 minutes, was E. Kaçi d. Grabe 10-9. The race to 10 that was highest in average minutes per game, at 8.4, was Kazakis d. K. Kaçi 10-3. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

■ The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 59 minutes, was Oi d. Jaya 8-2. The two matches lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.8, were Sitorus d. Makkonen 8-6 and Van Boening d. Wu 8-4.

■ The average elapsed times were 79 minutes for the 10 races to 8 and 121 minutes for the 6 races to 10. The average minutes per game for all 16 matches was 6.8.

■ Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 18.6 games, other fouls 1 for every 14.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.0 games.

■ One or more safeties were played in about 15% of all games and in about 22% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Very nice stats, tanks for your job.
Break at 8 ball is the most important play of the game:
It needs to pot at least a ball.
It needs to have a good cue ball control/position after break.
It needs to have a good spread.
If we analise it, Corey Deuel break had all of it!
Not allowing soft break increases the difficulty to achieve all mentioned conditions.
 
Here's a comparison of stats for the matches I tracked for the World 8-Ball events of 2022 (244 games), 2023 (254 games), 2024 (204 games), and 2025 (223 games), in that order left to right. The only difference I'm aware of in rules or equipment was that the Predator table this year was an ARC model whereas it was an Apex model the prior three years.

• Successful breaks -- 57%, 49%, 53%, 49%​
• Breaker won game -- 59%, 53%, 58%, 52%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 42%, 37%, 37%, 29%​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 73%, 76%, 69%, 60%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 77%, 78%, 73%, 67%​
• Games ending in the 2nd inning -- 19%, 15%, 20%, 22%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 4%, 6%, 8%, 10%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 67%, 70%, 63%, 59%​
• First player to make a ball after the break won the game in that same inning -- 71%, 73%, 69%, 62%​
• First player to make a ball after the break won the game in a later inning -- 7%, 5%, 7%, 16%​
• First player to make a ball after the break won the game (any inning) -- 79%, 78%, 76%, 78%​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 2.9, 2.9, 2.3, 2.0​
• Games per foul -- 6.8, 8.5, 8.5, 8.3​
• Games with one or more safeties -- 8%, 9%, 10%, 15%​
• Games (excl. B&Rs) with one or more safeties -- 14%, 14%, 16%, 22%​
 
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29% B&R on all breaks does not sound like a "break fest" as some would call it.

i didn't watch this event other than the final and some of the semi, but in previous events (and indeed in the hijikata semi) it's been influenced to a large degree by slug racking. in the 2022 version filler completely gave up trying, and started safe breaking against jayson. 4 balls to the rails, cb up table. it was quite amusing, because it seemed like filler figured he was favored because of his straight pool knowledge. jayson, by then mr 700, won these racks and also the match.

looking at the scoreboard, my guess is albin had a favorable racker/ref in L16 and QF. the hefty female ref is among the worst, but the polish/slavic ref is ok. i'm sure the players know this, it's the same touring refs that do predator 10-ball events
 
i didn't watch this event other than the final and some of the semi, but in previous events (and indeed in the hijikata semi) it's been influenced to a large degree by slug racking. in the 2022 version filler completely gave up trying, and started safe breaking against jayson. 4 balls to the rails, cb up table. it was quite amusing, because it seemed like filler figured he was favored because of his straight pool knowledge. jayson, by then mr 700, won these racks and also the match.

looking at the scoreboard, my guess is albin had a favorable racker/ref in L16 and QF. the hefty female ref is among the worst, but the polish/slavic ref is ok. i'm sure the players know this, it's the same touring refs that do predator 10-ball events
Ah, thanks for reminding me of that Shaw/Filler match in 2022. The third game lasted 20 minutes, with 57 visits to the table! Filler led 8-6, broke dry in Game 15, and Shaw ran out the match 10-8.
 
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