Break Stats -- Turning Stone Classic XLI 9-Ball Open, January 2026

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Turning Stone Classic XLI 9-Ball Open played January 8-11, 2026 at the Turning Stone Resort Casino in Verona, New York. Free live streaming was provided by AZBtv on the Facebook page of UpState AL.

This was a 128-player double-elimination event. John Morra won the tournament, defeating Jesus Atencio in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for the matches streamed on the feature table in this event included:
• Diamond 9-foot table with 4½" corner pockets;​
• Tournament Blue Simonis 860 cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament balls with a measles cue ball;​
• Diamond black polycarbonate triangle rack;​
• winner breaks from a central box (2 diamonds wide);​
• loser racks, with the 1-ball on the foot spot;​
• cue-ball fouls only except during the act of shooting;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (no violations occurred);​
• no jump cues allowed;​
• no shot clock;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for opening break.​

The stats are for 18 matches (254 games) out of the 24 matches shown on the main streaming table. I did not watch the 4 Thursday matches and the 2 losers'-side amateur matches that were streamed at 10 am on Friday and Saturday. These 18 tracked matches were 7.3% of the event's total of 247 matches played (254 matches planned less 7 forfeits), and are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Friday, Jan. 10
1. Erik Hjorleifson defeated Harold Rosseau 9-5​
2. Randy Labonte d. Steve Sutton 9-4​
3. Lukas Fracasso-Verner d. Jesse Piercey 9-4​
4. Yesid Garibello d. Jonathan Smith 9-3​
5. Moritz Neuhausen d. Fracasso-Verner 9-4​
6. Dylan Spohr d. Troy Deocharran 9-1​

Saturday, Jan. 11
7. Hjorleifson d. Bob Madenjian 9-5​
8. John Morra d. Donny Mills 9-6​
9. Frankie Hernandez d. Christoph Neumayer 9-5​
10. Hjorleifson d. Grayson Vaughan 9-7​
11. Morra d. Jesus Atencio 9-4​
12. Jeremy Sossei d. Jake Jackson 9-6​

Sunday, Jan. 12
13. Jayson Shaw d. Neuhausen 9-5​
14. Atencio d. Neuhausen 9-8​
15. Morra d. Shaw 9-1 (Hotseat match)​
16. Atencio d. Martin Daigle 9-6 (loser 4th)​
17. Atencio d. Shaw 9-8 (Semifinal)​
18. Morra d. Atencio 13-6 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 67% (105 of 156)​
Match losers -- 67% (66 of 98)​
Total -- 67% (171 of 254)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 67% (104 of 156)​
Match losers -- 37% (36 of 98)​
Total -- 55% (140 of 254)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 24% (37 of 156)​
Match losers -- 17% (17 of 98)​
Total -- 21% (54 of 254)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 35% (37 of 105)​
Match losers -- 26% (17 of 66)​
Total -- 32% (54 of 171)

Here's a breakdown of the 254 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 103 (41% of the 254 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 68 (27%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 7 (3%)​
Breaker lost the game: 15 (6%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 30 (12%)​
Breaker lost the game: 31 (12%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 55% (140 of 254) of all games,​
He won 60% (103 of 171) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 45% (37 of 83) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 54 break-and-run games represented 21% of all 254 games, 39% of the 140 games won by the breaker, and 32% of the 171 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 54 break-and-run games (including 9-balls on the break) consisted of three 3-packs (two by Morra and one by Shaw), eight 2-packs, and 29 singles.

9-balls on the break -- The 54 break-and-run games included two 9-balls on the break (0.8% of all 254 breaks). One 9-ball was made on a fouled break; it was spotted.
 
Miscellany from the data for the Turning Stone Classic XLI 9-Ball Open
[This relates only to the 18 tracked matches, not to all matches in the event.]

▪︎ The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 16 times -- 6 game wins (all by B&R) and 10 game losses.

▪︎ The average number of balls made on the break was 1.2 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.6, and the distribution was 51% 1 ball, 40% 2 balls, and 9% 3 balls.

▪︎ Number of innings:
• 41% (104 of 254) of the games ended in one inning – 54 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 50 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 28% (72 of 254) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 31% (78 of 254) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 10th visit.​

▪︎ 28% (71 of 254) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 32% (54 of 171)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 41% (9 of 22)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 13% (8 of 61)​

▪︎ The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 52% of the time (131 of 252)​
• Won the game in a later inning 19% of the time (47 of 252)​
• Lost the game 29% of the time (74 of 252)​
[Note -- total games used here are 252 rather than 254 to eliminate the 2 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

▪︎ Excluding the Finals race to 13, the loser won an average of 4.8 games in the 17 races to 9. Two matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided matches were two at 9-1.

▪︎ The average elapsed time for the 17 races to 9 was 88 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 18 matches was 6.3. The elapsed time for each match was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

▪︎ The match that was longest in elapsed time, at about 123 minutes, was Morra d. Mills 9-6. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 9.0, was Garibello d. Smith 9-3.

▪︎ The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 46 minutes, was Morra d. Shaw 9-1. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.3, was Atencio d. Shaw 9-8.

▪︎ Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 11.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 3.3 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.2 games.

▪︎ One or more safeties were played in about 46% of all games and in 58% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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