Break Stats -- Derby City 10-Foot (Bigfoot) 10-Ball, January 2026

AtLarge

AzB Gold Member
Gold Member
Silver Member
Here are some break statistics from the 2026 Derby City Classic's Diamond Bigfoot 10-Ball Challenge played January 23-26, 2026 at the Caesars Southern Indiana Hotel & Casino in Elizabeth, Indiana with pay-per-view streaming by xpool. This was an invitational 16-man, single-elimination event won by Fedor Gorst, defeating John Morra in the final match. The main commentators were Mark Wilson and John Schmidt. The master of ceremonies was Derrick Keith.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
• Diamond 10-foot table with 4 1/2" corner pockets;​
• Simonis blue 860 or 860 HR cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament balls with an Aramith "Diamond" cue ball with blue spots;​
• racking template;​
• rack your own (1-ball on the spot) in a computer-generated random pattern, then referee checks rack;​
• alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string (cue ball must be entirely behind the head string);​
• jump cues not allowed and jumping with break cues not allowed;​
• foul on all balls;​
• all slop counts (except spot any 10-ball made on the break);​
• no shot clock; and​
• lag for opening break.​

The event's 15 matches (239 games), all streamed from the same table, were as follows (shown in the order in which they were played). The stream was down for most of five games -- two in Match 4, two in Match 8, and one in Match 13. So the stats are for 234 games instead of 239.

Fri., Jan. 23 (Round 1)
1. Marco Teutscher defeated Arseni Sevastyanov 10-7​
2. Fedor Gorst d. Shane Van Boening 10-8​
3. Joshua Filler d. Mickey Krause 10-0​
4. Gerson Martinez d. Lukas Fracasso-Verner 10-5​

Sat., Jan. 24 (Round 1, continued)
5. Roland Garcia d. Roberto Gomez 10-8​
6. Lee Vann Corteza d. Eric Roberts 10-4​
7. Pijus Labutis d. Alex Montpellier 10-5​
8. John Morra d. BJ Ussery 10-4​

Sun., Jan. 25 (Round 2)
9. Gorst d. Teutscher 10-4​
10. Martinez d. Filler 10-9​
11. Garcia d. Corteza 10-7​
12. Morra d. Labutis 10-8​

Mon., Jan. 26 (Rounds 3 and 4 -- semifinals and finals)
13. Gorst d. Martinez 10-9​
14. Morra d. Garcia 10-3​
15. Gorst d. Morra 10-8​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 71% (83 of 117)​
Match losers -- 56% (65 of 117)​
Total -- 63% (148 of 234)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 67% (78 of 117)​
Match losers -- 41% (48 of 117)​
Total -- 54% (126 of 234)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 32% (38 of 117)​
Match losers -- 18% (21 of 117)​
Total -- 25% (59 of 234)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 46% (38 of 83)​
Match losers -- 32% (21 of 65)​
Total -- 40% (59 of 148)

Here's a breakdown of the 234 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 97 (41% of the 234 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 51 (22%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 7 (3%)​
Breaker lost the game: 13 (6%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 22 (9%)​
Breaker lost the game: 44 (19%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 54% (126 of 234) of all games,​
He won 66% (97 of 148) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 34% (29 of 86) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 59 break-and-run games represented 25% of all 234 games, 47% of the 126 games won by the breaker, and 40% of the 148 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 59 break-and-run games consisted of 5 alternate-break 3-packs (two by Martinez and one each by Gorst, Morra, and Garcia), 8 alternate-break 2-packs, and 28 singles.

10-balls on the break -- The 10-ball was made on the break just once (0.4% of the 234 breaks), but it was immediately spotted (with the breaker continuing to shoot) rather than counting as a win.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2026 DCC Bigfoot 10-Ball Challenge:

▪︎ The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just once -- by Gorst in a B&R.

▪︎ The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.6 and the distribution was 49% 1 ball, 40% 2 balls, and 11% 3 or 4 balls.

▪︎ Number of innings:
• 47% (109 of 234) of the games ended in one inning – 59 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 50 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 24% (55 of 234) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 30% (70 of 234) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most innings ended on the breaker's 8th visit to the table.​

▪︎ 38% (89 of 234) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 40% (59 of 148)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 55% (11 of 20)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 29% (19 of 66)​

▪︎ The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 57% of the time (133 of 233)​
• Won the game in a later inning 19% of the time (44 of 233)​
• Lost the game 24% of the time (56 of 233)​
[Note -- total games used here are 233 rather than 234 to eliminate a game that was won on 3 consecutive fouls before any balls were made.]​

▪︎ The match loser won an average of 5.9 games in these races to 10. The closest matches were two at 10-9; the fewest games won in a match was 0 (once).

▪︎ The match that was longest in elapsed time, at about 171 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 9.5, was the Final -- Gorst d. Morra 10-8. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

▪︎ The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at 59 minutes, was Filler d. Krause 10-0. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.7, was Garcia d. Corteza 10-7.

▪︎ The average elapsed time for these 15 races to 10 was 117 minutes, averaging 7.3 minutes per game.

▪︎ Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 11.7 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.

▪︎ One or more safeties were played in about 45% of all games and in 60% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Last edited:
Thanks as usual. Interesting that even though Filler had the shortest game it wasn’t the one with the lowest average per game Garcia v Cortez’s must have been fun to watch then
 
Comparison -- 2024 vs. 2025 vs. 2026

How do the stats compare for this year's Bigfoot 10-Ball versus those for the past two years? This comparison uses all 15 matches each year -- 238 games tracked in 2024, 225 in 2025, and 234 in 2026.

I'm aware of three differences in rules and equipment for these years. (1) The corner pocket mouths were 4 1/4" in 2024, 4 1/2" this year, and I'm not sure about 2025. (2) No shot clock for the first time this year. (3) The balls were racked for the first time this year in a computer-generated random pattern.

These stats are for 2024 first, then 2025, then 2026.

• Successful breaks -- 59%, 66%, 63%​
• Breaker won game -- 54%, 56%, 54%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 18%, 19%, 25%,​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 31%, 29%, 40%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 39%, 36%, 47%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 35%, 36%, 30%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 29%, 28%, 38%​
• Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 70%, 67%, 76%​
• Avg. number of balls made on all breaks -- 0.9, 1.1, 1.1​
• Avg. number of balls made on successful breaks -- 1.4, 1.6, 1.6​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 1.3, 1.6, 1.8​
• Games per foul -- 2.7, 3.0, 3.4​
• Games with one or more safeties -- 46%, 53%, 45%​
• Games (excl. B&Rs) with one or more safeties -- 56%, 65%, 60%​
• Average number of games won by match loser -- 5.9, 5.0, 5.9​
• Average minutes per match -- 101, 96, 117​
• Average minutes per game (including timeouts) -- 6.4, 6.4, 7.3​
So play was a little better this year, perhaps helped by the table. And eliminating the time clock led to slower play on average.
 
Last edited:
Comparison -- 2024 vs. 2025 vs. 2026

How do the stats compare for this year's Bigfoot 10-Ball versus those for the past two years? This comparison uses all 15 matches each year -- 238 games tracked in 2024, 225 in 2025, and 234 in 2026.

I'm aware of three differences in rules and equipment for these years. (1) The corner pocket mouths were 4 1/4" in 2024, 4 1/2" this year, and I'm not sure about 2025. (2) No shot clock for the first time this year. (3) The balls were racked for the first time this year in a computer-generated random pattern.

These stats are for 2024 first, then 2025, then 2026.

• Successful breaks -- 59%, 66%, 63%​
• Breaker won game -- 54%, 56%, 54%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 18%, 19%, 25%,​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 31%, 29%, 40%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 39%, 36%, 47%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 35%, 36%, 30%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 29%, 28%, 38%​
• Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 70%, 67%, 76%​
• Avg. number of balls made on all breaks -- 0.9, 1.1, 1.1​
• Avg. number of balls made on successful breaks -- 1.4, 1.6, 1.6​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 1.3, 1.6, 1.8​
• Games per foul -- 2.7, 3.0, 3.4​
• Games with one or more safeties -- 46%, 53%, 45%​
• Games (excl. B&Rs) with one or more safeties -- 56%, 65%, 60%​
• Average number of games won by match loser -- 5.9, 5.0, 5.9​
• Average minutes per match -- 101, 96, 117​
• Average minutes per game (including timeouts) -- 6.4, 6.4, 7.3​
So play was a little better this year, perhaps helped by the table. And eliminating the time clock led to slower play on average.

helped by the table? isn't it the same table
 
The pockets were wider this year than they were in 2024. I never heard mention of the pocket dimensions last year, so I don't know about that comparison.

really? didn't know that. they tried 4.25" one or two years but that was 2023 iirc, and i think only the 9fts. icbw
 
Back
Top