Break Stats -- 2022 Alfa Las Vegas Open (US Pro Billiard Series) 10-Ball, March 2022

AtLarge

AzB Gold Member
Gold Member
Silver Member
Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2022 Alfa Las Vegas Open 10-Ball event played March 23-26 at the Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada with free streaming on Billiard TV and on YouTube. This was the third of the 6 events planned for this year's CSI/Predator US Pro Billiard Series. The commentators were Mark White, George Teyechea, and Tony Robles. Wiktor Zielinski won the event, defeating Aloysius Yapp in the final match.

This was a 192-player event with double-elimination down to 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side). A random draw then matched one player from each side against each other, with single-elimination play from that point to the conclusion. Each match was two races to 4. If the same player won both races, he won the match. If the two races to 4 were split, a shootout determined the winner. The stats are for all 19 streamed matches, of which 11 ended with a shootout. These 19 matches represented just 5.6% of the total of about 341 matches played in the event (351 planned, but about 10 forfeited).

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Predator Apex 9-foot table (4¼" corner pockets);​
- Predator Arcadia cloth (blue);​
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
- Predator Arena lights;​
- referee racks using a Predator triangle rack, with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- early combinations or caroms on the 10-ball, if called, are game winners;​
- a 10-ball made in any pocket on a break is spotted (not a game win);​
- jump cues allowed;​
- foul on all balls;​
- 3-foul rule in effect (occurred once);​
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break and after a push out) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The 19 streamed matches (219 games) were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played. Matches 1 through 12 were in the double-elimination stage, and matches 13-19 in the single-elimination stage. The stats are for 217 games, as the stream was down for a while during match #9.

Wed. March 23, 2022
1. Roman Hybler defeated Max Eberle 4-2, 1-4, shootout​
2. Jung-Lin Chang d. Yukio Akagariyama 4-1, 4-1​
3. Alex Kazakis d. Blaine Barcus 4-0, 4-1​
4. Jonas Souto d. Shane Van Boening 1-4, 4-3, shootout​
5. Roland Garcia d. Billy Thorpe 3-4, 4-2, shootout​

Thurs. March 24
6. Wiktor Zielinski d. Konrad Juszczyszyn 4-2, 4-1​
7. David Alcaide d. Jon Bernardez 4-0, 4-1​
8. Alex Montpellier d. Ping Han Ko 0-4, 4-3, shootout​
9. Dimitri Jungo d. Jayson Shaw 3-4, 4-2, shootout​
10. Darren Appleton d. Carlo Biado 4-1, 1-4, shootout​

Fri. March 25
11. Ping-Chung Ko d. Daniel Sardoncillo 4-2, 4-2​
12. Hybler d. Skyler Woodward 4-3, 4-2​
13. Van Boening d. Alex Pagulayan 4-2, 3-4, shootout (Round of 64)​
14. Biado d. Kazakis 4-3, 4-2 (Round of 64)​
15. Mika Immonen d. Chia-Chen Hsieh 4-2, 1-4, shootout (Round of 32)​

Sat. March 26
16. Aloysius Yapp d. Mateusz Sniegocki 4-1, 3-4, shootout (Quarterfinal)​
17. Zielinski d. Immonen 4-2, 2-4, shootout (Semifinal)​
18. Yapp d. Wojciech Szewczyk 4-3, 2-4, shootout (Semifinal)​
19. Zielinski d. Yapp 4-3, 4-0 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 56% (67 of 119) for match winners, 47% (46 of 98) for match losers, and 52% (113 of 217) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 59% (70 of 119) for match winners, 41% (40 of 98) for match losers, and 51% (110 of 217) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 12% (14 of 119) for match winners, 10% (10 of 98) for match losers, and 11% (24 of 217) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 21% (14 of 67) for match winners, 22% (10 of 46) for match losers, and 21% (24 of 113) in total​

Here's a breakdown of the 217 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 69 (32% of the 217 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 44 (20%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 4 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 12 (6%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 37 (17%)​
Breaker lost the game: 51 (24%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 51% (110 of 217) of all games,
He won 61% (69 of 113) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 39% (41 of 104) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 24 break-and-run games represented 11% of all 217 games, 22% of the 110 games won by the breaker, and 21% of the 113 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 21 break-and-run games consisted of 2 2-packs (1 each by Hybler and Immonen) and 20 singles. No one broke and ran more than 2 games in a row in these streamed matches. (The commentators reported that Immonen broke and ran all 4 games in one set in a non-streamed match, the first time this has happened this year or last year in the US Pro Billiard Series events.)

10-Balls on the break -- Eight 10-balls were made on legal breaks and 1 on a fouled break. Previously in this series, 10-balls made on legal breaks counted as game wins.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2022 Las Vegas Open 10-Ball event:
[This relates only to the 19 streamed matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 6 times. Three of those games were won by the breaker (2 by B&R) and 3 were lost.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.7 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3.

• 32% (70 of 217) of the games ended in one inning – 11% (24) won by the breaker (B&R) and 21% (46) won by the non-breaker. Eighteen percent (39 of 217) of the games lasted more than 3 innings. The game with the most innings ended on the breaker's 9th visit to the table.

• 26% (56 of 217) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 21% (24 of 113)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 69% (11 of 16)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 24% (21 of 88)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 50% of the time (107 of 216)​
- Won the game in a later inning 20% of the time (43 of 216)​
- Lost the game 31% of the time (66 of 216)​
[Note -- total games used here are 216 rather than 217 to eliminate a game that ended on 3 consecutive fouls with no balls pocketed after the break.]​

• The loser won an average of 1.8 games in the 38 races to 4 in the 19 matches. Four of those 38 races ended at a score of 4-0, 11 at 4-1, 13 at 4-2, and 10 at 4-3.

• Eleven of the 19 matches had a shootout, with 5 of the 11 going to sudden death. In all but one of the 11 shootouts, the winner of the match's lag chose to shoot first in the shootout, and he lost 6 of those 10 shootouts. The one winner of the lag who chose to shoot second in the shootout lost the shootout.

• The average elapsed time for the two races to 4 in each match was about 74 minutes, or 6.4 minutes per game. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made for the second race to 4 (i.e., shootouts not included), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. These breaks, about two minutes each, often occurred after every two games and between races to 4.

• The average elapsed time for the 11 shootouts (excluding the commercial breaks that preceded most of them) was about 6.4 minutes, or about 38 seconds per shot for the 111 shots taken in those shootouts. One of the shootouts (Yapp d. Sniegocki) was more than twice as long as any of the others, going 13 shots apiece.

• The match that was longest in elapsed time (excluding shootouts), at 94 minutes, was Yapp d. Szewczyk. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 7.5, was Hybler d. Eberle.

• The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at 58 minutes, was Kazakis d. Barcus. The two matches lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.2, were Garcia d. Thorpe and Zielinski d. Immonen.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 13.7 games, other fouls 1 for every 2.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.3 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 52% of all games and 59% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 56% (67 of 119) for match winners, 47% (46 of 98) for match losers, and 52% (113 of 217) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 59% (70 of 119) for match winners, 41% (40 of 98) for match losers, and 51% (110 of 217) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 12% (14 of 119) for match winners, 10% (10 of 98) for match losers, and 11% (24 of 217) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 21% (14 of 67) for match winners, 22% (10 of 46) for match losers, and 21% (24 of 113) in total​
Thanks for stats
That is very low B&R %
 
Thanks for stats
That is very low B&R %
Yes, it may be the lowest B&R percentage in any event I have tracked. The percentage has been low in all of these US Pro Billiards Series events with 4¼" pockets, but this was the lowest. One factor was that successful breaks, the starting point for B&Rs, were low. An additional small factor was that there were 5 10-balls on the break in games that were not B&Rs. If those 10s had been counted as game wins (as in other events in this series), it would have added a couple points to the B&R percentage. Just a tough table, I guess (and some less-than-spectacular shooting).
 
Back
Top