Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2024 Predator WPA World 10-Ball Championship played February 27 - March 2, 2024 at the Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada with free streaming on Billiard TV's YouTube channel. The commentators were Jim Wych, Mark White, Eric Hjorleifson, Tim De Ruyter, George Teyechea, Chris Reinhold, and Mika Immonen. Carlo Biado won the event, defeating Naoyuki Oi in the final match.
This was an invitational 64-player event with double-elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side). The 8 players (out of the final 16) with the highest WPA rankings were then seeded into the final bracket and the positions of the other 8 were drawn randomly. It was then single elimination to the end. In the double-elimination stage, each match was the best two out of three races to 4. In the single-elimination stage, each match was the best three out of five races to 4. In both the double- and single-elimination stages, if the score was tied at hill/hill (3-3) in the deciding set of the match, a shootout determined the winner of the set (and, therefore, of the match).
The 23 matches (390 games) I tracked were all of the matches that were streamed on the two feature tables (Table 1 and Table 2) and were available for replay on YouTube. Only 1 of these matches ended with a shootout. These 23 matches were 20% of the total of 116 matches played in the event (119 scheduled, 3 not played).
The conditions for the streamed matches included:
The 23 matches tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played. They total 390 games, but 1 game was not played (a penalty on Woodward in Match 1), and the stream was down for 4 games (Match 19). So the stats are for 385 games.
Tues. February 27, 2024
Wed. Feb. 28
Thurs. Feb. 29
Fri. March 1
Sat. March 2
Overall results
Breaker won the game:
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Here's a breakdown of the 385 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Break-and-run games -- The 74 break-and-run games represented 19% of all 385 games, 36% of the 204 games won by the breaker, and 35% of the 212 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).
The 74 break-and-run games consisted of 2 3-packs (1 each by Biado and Oi), 8 2-packs (3 by Biado, and 1 each by Kazakis, Shaw, Van Boening, Gorst, and Oi), and 52 singles. No one in these 23 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.
Three matches contained 6 B&Rs, 4 matches had 5, 4 matches had 4, 2 matches had 3, 4 matches had 2, 6 matches had 1, and no matches had no B&Rs.
10-Balls on the break -- Eighteen 10-balls were made on the break (4.7% of all 385 breaks). They were spotted.
This was an invitational 64-player event with double-elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side). The 8 players (out of the final 16) with the highest WPA rankings were then seeded into the final bracket and the positions of the other 8 were drawn randomly. It was then single elimination to the end. In the double-elimination stage, each match was the best two out of three races to 4. In the single-elimination stage, each match was the best three out of five races to 4. In both the double- and single-elimination stages, if the score was tied at hill/hill (3-3) in the deciding set of the match, a shootout determined the winner of the set (and, therefore, of the match).
The 23 matches (390 games) I tracked were all of the matches that were streamed on the two feature tables (Table 1 and Table 2) and were available for replay on YouTube. Only 1 of these matches ended with a shootout. These 23 matches were 20% of the total of 116 matches played in the event (119 scheduled, 3 not played).
The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Predator Apex 9-foot table (4¼" corner pockets);
- Predator Arcadia Reserve Tournament Blue cloth;
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;
- Predator Arena lights;
- referee racks using a Predator Aerorack triangle rack, with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;
- early combinations or caroms on the 10-ball, if called, are not game winners; the 10-ball is spotted and the shooter continues;
- a 10-ball made in any pocket on a break is spotted (not a game win);
- jump cues allowed;
- foul on all balls;
- 3-foul rule in effect (loss of game occurred twice);
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break and after a push out) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and
- lag for opening break.
The 23 matches tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played. They total 390 games, but 1 game was not played (a penalty on Woodward in Match 1), and the stream was down for 4 games (Match 19). So the stats are for 385 games.
Tues. February 27, 2024
1. Eklent Kaçi defeated Skyler Woodward 4-3, 4-0
2. Jayson Shaw d. Denis Grabe 4-3, 3-4, 3-3, shootout
3. Alex Pagulayan d. Joshua Filler 4-3, 4-3
4. Ko Pin Yi d. Naoyuki Oi 4-1, 4-2
5. Carlo Biado d. Shane Van Boening 4-0, 4-1
6. Ko Ping Chung d. Alex Kazakis 3-4, 4-2, 4-0
Wed. Feb. 28
7. Ruben Bautista d. Filler 4-1, 1-4, 4-2
8. Wiktor Zielinski d. Tyler Styer 4-2, 4-1
9. Shaw d. John Morra 4-1, 2-4, 4-1
10. Max Lechner d. Kazakis 0-4, 4-2, 4-1
11. Ko PC d. Albin Ouschan 4-3, 4-2
12. Ko PY d. Pagulayan 3-4, 4-0, 4-0
Thurs. Feb. 29
13. Oi d. Luca Menn 4-3, 4-1
14. Konrad Juszczyszyn d. Shaw 4-3, 4-2
15. Van Boening d. Pagulayan 4-1, 4-0
16. Woodward d. Wu Kun Lin 4-3, 2-4, 4-1
Fri. March 1
17. Fedor Gorst d. Van Boening 4-1, 0-4, 4-3, 4-2 (Round of 16)
18. Biado d. Chang Jung-Lin 4-2, 4-3, 4-1 (Round of 16)
19. Biado d. Ko PC 4-1, 0-4, 4-1, 3-4, 4-1 (Quarterfinal)
20. Gorst d. Ouschan 1-4, 4-1, 4-3, 0-4, 4-2 (Quarterfinal)
Sat. March 2
21. Biado d. Gorst 1-4, 4-3, 4-2, 4-2 (Semifinal)
22. Oi d. Grabe 4-2, 3-4, 3-4, 4-2, 4-0 (Semifinal)
23. Biado d. Oi 4-1, 3-4, 4-2, 4-1 (Final)
Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 60% (129 of 216)
Match losers -- 49% (83 of 169)
Total -- 55% (212 of 385)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 63% (135 of 216)
Match losers -- 41% (69 of 169)
Total -- 53% (204 of 385)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 24% (52 of 216)
Match losers -- 13% (22 of 169)
Total -- 19% (74 of 385)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 40% (52 of 129)
Match losers -- 27% (22 of 83)
Total -- 35% (74 of 212)
Here's a breakdown of the 385 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 141 (37% of the 385 games)
Breaker lost the game: 71 (18%)
Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 1 (0%)
Breaker lost the game: 13 (3%)
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 62 (16%)
Breaker lost the game: 97 (25%)
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 53% (204 of 385) of all games,
He won 67% (141 of 212) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).
He won 36% (63 of 173) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).
Break-and-run games -- The 74 break-and-run games represented 19% of all 385 games, 36% of the 204 games won by the breaker, and 35% of the 212 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).
The 74 break-and-run games consisted of 2 3-packs (1 each by Biado and Oi), 8 2-packs (3 by Biado, and 1 each by Kazakis, Shaw, Van Boening, Gorst, and Oi), and 52 singles. No one in these 23 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.
Three matches contained 6 B&Rs, 4 matches had 5, 4 matches had 4, 2 matches had 3, 4 matches had 2, 6 matches had 1, and no matches had no B&Rs.
10-Balls on the break -- Eighteen 10-balls were made on the break (4.7% of all 385 breaks). They were spotted.
