Break Stats -- 2024 U.S. Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), August 2024

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2024 US Open Pool Championship played August 19-24, 2024 at Harrah's Resort Atlantic City, in New Jersey. Pay-per-view streaming was provided in the USA on DAZN. This was a 223-player 9-Ball event, produced by Matchroom Sport. Fedor Gorst won the tournament, defeating Shane Van Boening in the final match.

The event was double elimination down to the final 64 players, 32 from the winners' side and 32 from the one-loss side. It was then single-elimination play to the conclusion. Races were of 5 different lengths during the 6 days -- to 8 in the first 3 rounds on the losers' side, to 9 for all other rounds up to the Last 64, to 10 for the Last 64 round through the quarterfinals, to 11 for the semifinals, and to 13 for the finals. On the matches I watched, the commentators were Phil Yates, Karl Boyes, Scott Frost, and Jeremy Jones, with Andy Goldstein sitting in for two matches. The referees were Marcel Eckardt, Ben Taylor-Fuente, Julian Roper, and John Leyman. On Friday and Saturday, the announcer/interviewer was Abigail Davies and the MC was Tahir Hajat.

Conditions -- The conditions for these streamed matches included:
• Diamond 9-foot table with 4" corner pockets;​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break or a push out), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 17 matches (272 games) played on the "TV Table" from Wednesday through Saturday -- 1 match in the Losers' 3rd round on Wednesday, 4 matches in the Qualification rounds on Wednesday, 5 matches in the Last 64 and Last 32 rounds on Thursday, and 7 matches played From the Last 16 to the end on Friday and Saturday. These 17 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Wednesday, August 21
1. Marvin Asis defeated Earl Strickland 8-5 (Losers' 3rd Round)​
2. Shane Van Boening d. Imran Majid 9-5 (Winners' Qualification Round)​
3. Chris Melling d. Carlo Biado 9-7 (Winners' Qualification Round)​
4. Fedor Gorst d. Payne McBride 9-6 (Losers' Qualification Round)​
5. Joshua Filler d. Jeremy Sossei 9-0 (Losers' Qualification Round)​

Thursday, August 22
6. Filler d. Mickey Krause 10-9 (Last 64)​
7. Gorst d. Ko Ping Chung 10-6 (Last 64)​
8. Filler d. Bernie Regalario 10-7 (Last 32)​
9. Skyler Woodward d. Carlo Biado 10-7 (Last 32)​
10. Van Boening d. Duong Quoc Hoang 10-6 (Last 32)​

Friday, August 23
11. Gorst d. Woodward 10-5 (Last 16)​
12. Van Boening d. Jayson Shaw 10-5 (Last 16)​
13. Gorst d. Jefrey Roda 10-5 (Quarterfinal)​
14. Van Boening d. Vitaliy Patsura 10-7 (Quarterfinal)​

Saturday, August 24
15. Gorst d. Niels Feijen 11-6 (Semifinal)​
16. Van Boening d. Filler 11-7 (Semifinal)​
17. Gorst d. Van Boening 13-10 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 73% (119 of 162)​
Match losers -- 63% (69 of 110)​
Total -- 69% (188 of 272)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 58% (94 of 162)​
Match losers -- 32% (35 of 110)​
Total -- 47% (129 of 272)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 31% (51 of 162)​
Match losers -- 13% (14 of 110)​
Total -- 24% (65 of 272)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 43% (51 of 119)​
Match losers -- 20% (14 of 69)​
Total -- 35% (65 of 188)

Here's a breakdown of the 272 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 104 (38% of the 272 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 84 (31%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 17 (6%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 23 (8%)​
Breaker lost the game: 42 (15%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 47% (129 of 272) of all games,​
He won 55% (104 of 188) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 30% (25 of 84) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 65 break-and-run games represented 24% of all 272 games, 50% of the 129 games won by the breaker, and 35% of the 188 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 65 break-and-run games consisted of one 3-pack (by Van Boening; included a 9-ball on the break), nine 2-packs (4 by Van Boening, 2 by Gorst, and 1 each by Asia, Filler and Woodward) and 44 singles. No one in these 17 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.

9-Balls on the break -- The 65 break-and-run games included 3 9-balls on the break (1.1% of all breaks).
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2024 US Open Pool Championship (9-Ball):
[This relates only to the 17 streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just once, by Patsura in a B&R game. Three balls were made on the break 11 times; the breaker won 8 of those 11 games, 4 by B&R.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 64% 1 ball, 30% 2 balls, and 6% 3 or 4 balls.

• Number of innings:
46% (125 of 272) of the games ended in one inning – 40 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 53 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
23% (62 of 272) of the games ended in the second inning.​
31% (85 of 272) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 11th visit.​

• 36% (97 of 272) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 35% (65 of 188)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 79% (15 of 19)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 26% (17 of 65)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 59% of the time (159 of 269)​
- Won the game in a later inning 18% of the time (49 of 269)​
- Lost the game 23% of the time (61 of 269)​
[Note -- total games used here are 269 rather of 272 to eliminate the 3 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The loser won an average of 6.3 games in the 9 races to 10 (excludes the shorter races to 8 or 9 on Wednesday and the longer semifinals and final). Jut one match went to hill/hill (it was in a race to 10), and one match was a 9-0 shutout.

• The average minutes per game for all 17 matches was 6.7. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were taken only in the Last 16 and subsequent matches. They were significant in those matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each. The 10 matches on Wednesday and Thursday, which had no commercial breaks, averaged 6.3 minutes per game. The 7 matches on Friday and Saturday, which did have commercial breaks, averaged 7.2 minutes per game, or an estimated average of 6.6 minutes per game if there had been no commercial breaks.

• The two matches that were highest in average minutes per game, both at 7.7, were Gorst d. Ko PC (no commercial breaks) and Gorst d. Feijen (with commercial breaks). The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.6, was Filler d. Sossei (no commercial breaks).

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 14.3 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.1 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.1 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 49% of all games and in 64% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
So Gorst played a little over 100 matches versus various opponents in the same time span of the 120 match.

I think we know which is more impressive.

Essentially a 120 match is like a week at a tournament.

The point is moot now. 120 will just be a distant memory and we celebrate the new US Open champion.
 
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So Gorst played a little over 100 matches versus various opponents in the same time span of the 120 match. ...
In this US Open event, Gorst played 143 games in 9 matches (8 wins and 1 loss), with an overall record in games of 86-57 (winning percentage 60.1%).
 
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