Break Stats -- 2025 Jacoby Scottish Open (9-Ball), May 2025

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2025 Jacoby Scottish Open played April 30 - May 4, 2025 at McGoldrick's Pool & Sports Bar in Glasgow, Scotland, with free streaming on YouTube and pay-per-view streaming on wnttv.com. This was a 79-player 9-Ball event, with double elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side) and then single-elimination to the end. Mickey Krause won the tournament, defeating Aloysius Yapp in the final match.

The most frequent commentators were Graeme Hamilton, David Black, and Cristian Surdea. The referees were Julian Roper and Alan Reynolds.

Conditions -- The conditions for these streamed matches included:
• Rasson OX 9-foot table with 4¼" corner pockets;​
• new Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Shark Rack racking template (by Shane Conroy);​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees are to enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• no shot clock;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 21 matches (296 games) that were played on the feature streaming table (Table 21) with commentary. This was 14.3% of the total of 147 matches played in the event (149 scheduled less 2 forfeits). The races were to 10 on the winners' side and 8 on the losers' side in the double-elimination stage, then to 10 in the single-elimination stage. The 21 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played. The stats are for 294 games instead of 296, because 2 games were lost in whole or part to tardy switching of the camera back to the feature table from a view of matches on the other 6 OX pool tables in the room.

Wednesday, April 30
1. Duong Quoc Hoang defeated Andri Januarta 10-6​
2. Dimitris Loukatos d. Kostas Koukiadakis 10-2​
3. Jayson Shaw d. Fraser Patrick 10-5​

Thursday, May 1
4. Jonas Souto d. Quinten Pongers 10-3​
5. Felix Vogel d. Moritz Neuhausen 10-8​
6. Pongers d. Brandon Jacoby 8-1​
7. Neuhausen d. Liam Monk 8-2​
8. Wiktor Zielinski d. Kledio Kaçi 10-5​

Friday, May 2
9. Pijus Labutis d. AJ Manas 10-8​
10. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Riku Romppanen 10-5​
11. Pongers d. Koukiadakis 8-2​
12. Elliott Sanderson d. George Antonakis 8-1​
13. Mika van Berkel d. Chris Papageorgiou 8-5​
14. Niels Feijen d. Georgi Georgiev 8-6​

Saturday, May 3
15. Eklent Kaçi d. Duong 10-9​
16. Aloysius Yapp d. Robbie Caputo 10-7​
17. Romppanen d. Duong 10-7​

Sunday, May 4
18. Zielinski d. Shaw 10-4 (Last 16)​
19. Mickey Krause d. E. Kaçi 10-2 (Quarterfinal)​
20. Krause d. Zielinski 10-7 (Semifinal)​
21. Krause d. Yapp 10-3 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 88% (168 of 190)​
Match losers -- 87% (90 of 104)​
Total -- 88% (258 of 294)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 69% (132 of 190)​
Match losers -- 38% (39 of 104)​
Total -- 58% (171 of 294)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 36% (68 of 190)​
Match losers -- 23% (24 of 104)​
Total -- 31% (92 of 294)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 40% (68 of 168)​
Match losers -- 27% (24 of 90)​
Total -- 36% (92 of 258)

Here's a breakdown of the 294 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 156 (53% of the 294 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 102 (35%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 5 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 11 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 10 (3%)​
Breaker lost the game: 10 (3%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 58% (171 of 294) of all games,​
He won 60% (156 of 258) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 42% (15 of 36) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 92 break-and-run games represented 31% of all 294 games, 54% of the 171 games won by the breaker, and 36% of the 258 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 92 break-and-run games consisted of two 3-packs (1 each by Souto and Pongers), 17 two-packs, and 52 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 92 break-and-run games included 4 game-winning 9-balls on the break (1.4% of all breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2025 Jacoby Scottish Open (9-Ball):

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just once, by Loukatos in a B&R.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.3 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5 and the distribution was 59% 1 ball, 36% 2 balls, and 4% 3 or 4 balls.

• Number of innings:
53% (156 of 294) of the games ended in one inning – 92 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 64 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
28% (83 of 294) of the games ended in the second inning.​
19% (55 of 294) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The two games with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 7th visit.​

• 36% (105 of 294) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 36% (92 of 258)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 63% (10 of 16)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 15% (3 of 20)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 61% of the time (178 of 290)​
- Won the game in a later inning 13% of the time (39 of 290)​
- Lost the game 25% of the time (73 of 290)​
[Note -- total games used here are 290 rather than 294 to eliminate the 4 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The loser won an average of 5.4 games in the 15 races to 10 and 2.8 games in the 6 races to 8. Just one of the matches went to hill/hill. The most lopsided matches were two in which the loser won just 1 game.

• The average elapsed times per match were 101 minutes for the 15 races to 10 and 71 minutes for the 6 races to 8. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was longest in elapsed time, at about 144 minutes, was E. Kaçi d. Duong 10-9. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 7.8, was Loukatos d. Koukiadakis 10-2. The race to 10 that was both shortest in elapsed time, at about 70 minutes, and lowest in minutes per game, at 4.6, was Shaw d. Patrick 10-5. The average minutes per game for all 21 matches was 6.5.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 18.4 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.5 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.9 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 40% of all games and in 59% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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