Break Stats -- 2025 UK Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), May 2025

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2025 UK Open Pool Championship played May 6-11, 2024 at the Telford International Centre in Telford, England. Pay-per-view streaming was provided in the USA on wnttv.com. This was a 256-player 9-Ball event (with no-shows reducing it to 239 players), produced by Matchroom Sport, with double elimination down to 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side) and then single-elimination to the end. Aloysius Yapp won the tournament, defeating Jonas Souto in the final match.

The commentators were Phil Yates, Michael McMullan, Jeremy Jones, and Karl Boyes. The referees on the main TV table on the last 3 days were Marcel Eckardt, Ben Taylor-Fuente, Julian Roper, and three whose names I did not hear. The announcers/interviewers were Hannah Wilkes and Ashleigh Wilmot, and the MC was Tahir Hajat.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches I watched included:
• Diamond 9-foot table (I didn't hear the corner pocket size mentioned, but probably 4");​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees are to enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• a 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (no violations);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 12 matches (187 games) played on Table 1 in the single-elimination portion of the event (Stage 2, last 64 players). These matches were 19% of the total of 63 matches played in Stage 2. All Stage 2 matches were races to 10 except for the semifinals to 11 and the final to 13. These 12 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Friday, May 10
1. Aloysius Yapp defeated Robbie Capito 10-7 (Last 64)​
2. Jayson Shaw d. Chang Jung Lin 10-6 (Last 64)​
3. Duong Quoc Hoang d. AJ Manas 10-4 (Last 32)​
4. Carlo Biado d. Szyman Kural 10-6 (Last 32)​
5. Tyler Styer d. Joshua Filler 10-8 (Last 32)​

Saturday, May 11
6. Yapp d. Biado 10-2 (Last 16)​
7. Shaw d. Nguyen Anh Tuan 10-5 (Last 16)​
8. Mickey Krause d. Fraser Patrick 10-7 (Quarterfinal)​
9. Jonas Souto d. Shaw 10-3 (Quarterfinal)​

Sunday, May 12
10. Souto d. Krause 11-5 (Semifinal)​
11. Yapp d. Styer 11-8 (Semifinal)​
12. Yapp d. Souto 13-1 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 82% (97 of 119)​
Match losers -- 60% (41 of 68)​
Total -- 74% (138 of 187)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 70% (83 of 119)​
Match losers -- 38% (26 of 68)​
Total -- 58% (109 of 187)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 32% (38 of 119)​
Match losers -- 15% (10 of 68)​
Total -- 26% (48 of 187)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 39% (38 of 97)​
Match losers -- 24% (10 of 41)​
Total -- 35% (48 of 138)

Here's a breakdown of the 187 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 95 (51% of the 187 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 43 (23%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 0 (0%)​
Breaker lost the game: 13 (7%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 14 (7%)​
Breaker lost the game: 22 (12%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 58% (109 of 187) of all games,​
He won 69% (95 of 138) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 29% (14 of 49) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 48 break-and-run games represented 26% of all 187 games, 44% of the 109 games won by the breaker, and 35% of the 138 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 48 break-and-run games consisted of one 4-pack (by Yapp in the final match), two 3-packs (one each by Styer and Yapp), six 2-packs (2 by Yapp and 1 each by Biado, Styer, Shaw, and Souto), and 26 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 48 break-and-run games included 4 game-winning 9-balls on the break (2.1% of all breaks). One additional 9-ball was made on a fouled break, so it was spotted.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2025 UK Open Pool Championship (9-Ball):
[This relates only to the 12 streamed Stage 2 matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

The most balls made on a single break was 3, done just 3 times -- twice in game losses (by Patrick and Styer) and once in a game win (Souto).

The average number of balls made on the break was 1.0 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3, and the distribution was 76% 1 ball, 22% 2 balls, and 2% 3 balls.

Number of innings:
• 47% (88 of 187) of the games ended in one inning – 48 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 40 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 29% (54 of 187) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 24% (45 of 187) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 8th visit.​

35% (66 of 187) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 35% (48 of 138)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 92% (12 of 13)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 17% (6 of 36)​

The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 66% of the time (121 of 183)​
• Won the game in a later inning 14% of the time (25 of 183)​
• Lost the game 20% of the time (37 of 183)​
[Note -- total games used here are 183 rather than 187 to eliminate the 4 games in which no ball was made after the break.​

The loser won an average of 5.3 games in the 9 races to 10 (excludes the longer semifinals and final). The closest match of all 12 was Styer's 10-8 win over Filler; the most lopsided match was Yapp's 13-1 win over Souto in the Final.

The average elapsed time for the 9 races to 10 was was about 96 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 12 matches was 6.4. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were taken only in the Last 16 and subsequent matches. They were significant in those matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each.

The race to 10 that was longest in elapsed time, at about 122 minutes, was Yapp d. Capito 10-7. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 8.2, was Yapp d. Styer 11-8 in a Semifinal.

The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 72 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.1, was Duong d. Manas 10-4.

Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 14.4 games, other fouls 1 for every 6.4 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.4 games.

One or more safeties were played in about 44% of all games and in 59% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
2023 vs 2024 vs. 2025

How do the stats compare for this year's UK Open versus those for the last two years? For all 3 years, my stats are for all 12 matches streamed from the single-elimination portion of the event (Fri. - Sun.) on the feature table with commentary (Table 1 on Friday and the "TV Table" or Table 1 on the weekend). That was 180 games in 2023, 195 games in 2024, and 187 games in 2025. I'm aware of only one difference between the years in rules and equipment -- corner-pocket mouths of 4" in 2023, (purportedly) slightly less than 4" in 2024, and then (perhaps, though I am not sure) back to 4" in 2025.

These stats are for 2023 first, then 2024, then 2025.
• Successful breaks -- 74%, 71%, 74%​
• Breaker won game -- 60%, 58%, 58%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 32%, 19%, 26%​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 43%, 28%, 35%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 49%, 35%, 47%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 27%, 45%, 24%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 41%, 28%, 35%​
• Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 75%, 69%, 80%​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 2.4, 1.3, 2.4​
• Games per foul -- 4.4, 2.9, 4.5​
• Matches won by winner of lag -- 33%, 25%, 50%​
• Minutes per game (including commercial breaks) -- 6.4, 7.7, 6.4​
• Winning 9-balls on the break (% of all breaks) -- 3 (1.7%), 5 (2.6%), 4 (2.1%)​
 
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