Break Stats -- 2026 Super Billiards Expo's Professional Players Championship (9-Ball)

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Super Billiards Expo's 2026 Professional Players Championship played April 9-12, 2026 at the Greater Philadelphia Expo Center in Oaks, Pennsylvania. Streaming was available free on YouTube and by subscription on wnttv.com. Wiktor Zielinski won the event, defeating Hubert Lopotko in the final match.

The commentators were Scott Frost, Frank Maialetti, Jeremy Jones, and Brett Garson.

Conditions -- The conditions for the feature table included:
• Diamond 9-foot table with 4¼" (said Scott Frost, who was not on site) corner pockets;​
• Simonis Tournament Blue cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• breaker racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• alternate breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• no shot clock;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

This was a 176-player event, with double elimination (Stage 1) down to 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side), and then single elimination (Stage 2) to the end. These stats are for just 7 matches -- all of the Stage 2 (single-elimination) matches that were streamed on feature Table 4 with commentary. These 7 matches (105 games) were 11% of the 63 matches played in the single-elimination stage of the event. The 7 matches are as follows:

Sat., April 11
1. Fedor Gorst defeated Kevin Clark 10-5 (Last 64)​
2. Oscar Dominguez d. Darren Appleton 10-4 (Last 64)​
3. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Billy Thorpe 10-7 (Last 32)​
4. John Morra d. Gorst 10-6 (Last 16)​

Sun., April 12
5. Hubert Lopotko d. Naoyuki Oi 10-6 (Quarterfinal)​
6. Wiktor Zielinski d. Dominik Jastrzab 10-5 (Semifinal)​
7. Zielinski d. Lopotko 10-4 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 85% (45 of 53)​
Match losers -- 72% (39 of 54)​
Total -- 79% (84 of 107)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 79% (42 of 53)​
Match losers -- 48% (26 of 54)​
Total -- 64% (68 of 107)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 28% (15 of 53)​
Match losers -- 15% (8 of 54)​
Total -- 21% (23 of 107)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 33% (15 of 45)​
Match losers -- 21% (8 of 39)​
Total -- 27% (23 of 84)

Here's a breakdown of the 107 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 59 (55% of the 107 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 25 (23%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 6 (6%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 7 (7%)​
Breaker lost the game: 8 (7%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 64% (68 of 107) of all games,​
He won 70% (59 of 84) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 39% (9 of 23) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 23 break-and-run games represented 21% of all 107 games, 34% of the 68 games won by the breaker, and 27% of the 84 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 23 break-and-run games consisted of one alternate-break 3-pack (by Gorst), 1 alternate-break 2-pack (Zielinski), and 18 singles. So only twice in these matches did anyone break and run multiple games in a row on his own break.

9-balls on the break -- The 23 B&R games included 2 game-winning 9-balls on the break (1.9% of all 107 breaks).
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2026 Professional Players Championship:
[This relates only to the 7 tracked matches, not to all matches in the event.]

■ The most balls made on a single break was 3, done twice. One of those two games was a B&R game, and the other one was a game loss.

■ The average number of balls made on the break was 1.2 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 63% 1 ball, 35% 2 balls, and 2% 3 balls.

■ Number of innings:
• 41% (44 of 107) of the games ended in one inning – 66 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 64 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 29% (31 of 107) of the games ended on the second inning.​
• 30% (32 of 107) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with the longest two games ending on breaker's 6th visit.​

■ 28% (30 of 107) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 27% (23 of 84)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 63% (5 of 8)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 13% (2 of 15)​

■ The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 56% of the time (59 of 105)​
• Won the game in a later inning 19% of the time (20 of 105)​
• Lost the game 25% of the time (26 of 105)​
[Note -- total games used here are 105 rather than 107 to eliminate the 2 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

■ The match loser won an average of 5.3 games in these races to 10. The closest match was 10-7, and the fewest games won in a match was 4, twice.

■ The match that was longest in elapsed time, at about 127 minutes, was Lopotko d. Oi 10-6. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 8.6, was the Final, Zielinski d. Lopotko 10-4. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

■ The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 68 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.6, was Gorst d. Clark 10-5.

■ The average elapsed time for these races to 10 was about 98 minutes. The average minutes per game was about 6.4 minutes.

■ Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 13.4 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.1 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.9 games.

■ One or more safeties were played in about 47% of all games and in about 60% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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