Stats -- 2018 Big Dog One-Pocket Championship, June 2018

[AtLarge]

Here are some statistics from the 2018 Big Dog One-Pocket Championship, played June 27-29 at the Midwest Billiards and Cue Expo at Big Dog Billiards in Des Moines, IA with pay-per-view streaming by PoolActionTV.

This was a 14-player, double-elimination event, with all races to 4. The winner was Alex Pagulayan, beating Dennis Orcollo in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets and blue Simonis 860 cloth;
- Aramith balls with a measles cue ball;
- triangle rack;
- rack your own with alternating breaks;
- re-break if a ball is made on the break;
- no shot clock;
- 3 fouls in a row is loss of game (did not happen); and
- lag for opening break.

Nine matches were streamed on the main streaming table. I was able to track stats on 7 full matches and 2 games of an 8th match (40 games in total). The tracked matches are listed here in the order in which they were played:

Wed. June 27

• 1. Efren Reyes defeated Dennis Orcollo 4-2

Thurs. June 28

• 2. Alex Pagulayan d. Chip Compton 4-1
• 3. Josh Roberts d. Danny Smith 4-3
• 4. Pagulayan d. Reyes 4-1 (stats include only the first 2 games of this match)
• 5. Orcollo d. Reyes 4-1

Fri. June 29

• 6. Orcollo d. Billy Thorpe 4-1
• 7. Orcollo d. Roberts 4-0 (Semifinal)
• 8. Pagulayan d. Orcollo 4-2 (Final)

■ Breaks from breaker's right side of table -- 25 of 40 (63%)

■ Games won by breaker

• When breaking from his left side of table -- 6 of 15 (40%)
• When breaking from his right side of table -- 12 of 25 (48%)
  Total -- 18 of 40 (45%)

■ Games won by player who scored the first point (or had it scored for him) -- 26 of 40 (65%)

■ Matches won by winner of lag -- 3 of 8 (38%)

■ High run-outs

• 9-and-out -- Once: by Orcollo (Match 5)
• 8-and-outs -- 11 times: 5 by Orcollo (Matches 1, 5, 7 twice, and 8), 3 by Pagulayan (Matches 2 twice and 8), 2 by Reyes (Match 1), and 1 by Roberts (Match 3)

■ Race lengths (excludes Match 4)

• Longest in total length (2 hrs., 57 min.) and highest in average minutes per game (35 min.) -- Orcollo d. Thorpe 4-1
• Shortest in total length (1 hr., 30 min.) -- Orcollo d. Roberts 4-0
• Lowest in average minutes per game (18 min.) -- Reyes d. Orcollo 4-2 and Roberts d. Smith 4-3
• Average race length -- 2 hrs., 9 min.
• Average minutes per game -- 24 min.

■ Average score of the 8 tracked matches -- 4 - 1.4. Only one match was a shutout and only 1 went to hill/hill.

■ Average score of all 26 matches in the event -- 4 - 1.3. Eight matches were shutouts and 5 went to hill/hill.

■ Ball counts by length of run -- The total ball counts resulted from the following runs and fouls.

• 1 ball -- 50 times
• 2 balls -- 23
• 3 balls -- 17
• 4 balls -- 13
• 5 balls -- 9
• 6 balls -- 6
• 7 balls -- 5
• 8 balls -- 12
• 9 balls -- 1
• Plus balls pocketed by opponents -- 31
• Minus fouls -- 63
• TOTAL ball count (40 games) -- 388
• Average game score (these 40 games) -- 8 - 1.7

■ Distribution of run-outs to win the games:

• 1 ball -- 10 (25% of 40 games)
• 2 balls -- 5
• 3 balls -- 5
• 4 balls -- 2
• 5 balls -- 2
• 6 balls -- 2
• 7 balls -- 2
• 8 balls -- 11 (30% for 8-9 combined)
• 9 balls -- 1
• Average (mean) "out" run -- 4.4 balls
• Average (median) "out" run -- 3.5 balls
  

 

[GideonF]

Am I reading this right that the breaker won less than 50 percent of the matches? I thought the break was a significant advantage in 1p?

 

[jtompilot]

Am I reading this right that the breaker won less than 50 percent of the matches? I thought the break was a significant advantage in 1p?

I think Buffalo’s tournament the breaker won around 63%. Big drop off I think was caused by the larger games won spread.

 

[AtLarge]

Am I reading this right that the breaker won less than 50 percent of the matches? I thought the break was a significant advantage in 1p?

The breaker-won-game percentage fluctuates quite a bit from event to event. Small numbers can produce fluctuating or atypical results.

As you noted, it was just 45% (18 of 40) at this event.

At the Buffalo's event last month, it was 67% (44 of 66).

At the Accu-Stats MIH event last June, it was 66% (59 of 90).

For the streamed matches I have watched from the DCC and Southern Classic events from 2011 through 2018, the breaker-won percentage (for the games for which I have that information) varied from 41% to 84% over those 10 events! Aggregating all 389 of those games, the breaker won 216 (56%), or about 5 wins for every 4 losses.

And for all of the events mentioned here, combined, the breaker won 58% of the games tracked (337 of 585).