Recent content by Swighey

Some really wild definitions of beginner on this thread.

Certainly right for the higher ranked players. Gorst has a very very good chance against Filler, anyone over 800 has a decent chance, probably begins to drop somewhere around 780. I'm amused as you though that people actually believe playing to 10 is a short race.

Know my shot before I get down to play it, keep my head still, don't move on the shot. I've learned all that but unfortunately I haven't learned to always do it.....

Yes, 11-9 is more likely than 11-10 and 10-11from 10-9. There are however more possibilities to be included before the final probabilities are calculated: 9-10 is also possible and from here the final outcome can be 9-11, 10-11 or 11-10, 11-10 being less likely than if it were 10-9. I'd be...

Another way to look at it is like this: If Filler and Gorst played each other in 10 matches with (somehow) their current Fargo difference of 13 then the most likely outcome would be Filler wins 6 matches and Gorst wins 4. The second most likely outcome would be they win 5 each. This is based on...

Yes, but 11-10 to the higher rated player is still the most likely result. It's that close!

Interesting. On the webpage it's 11-11 up to a 14 point difference. Anyway, it's somewhere round about 52-48% so one of us is right and the other is almost right.... but I'm guessing the app is more up with things. 13 points is still a small difference though. I can't see anyone giving weight...

. The 11-10 expected result (i.e the most likely of all outcomes - although 11-9 and 10-11 would also be likely) only kicks in at a difference of 15 fargo points. 11-11 is still a fair race with a 13 point difference.

It does. It accounts for everything. That's how it works.

It's not at all statistically clear. A difference of 13 is way way waaaay below the swing point for a handicap in pretty much any race length. Filler's fargo margins verses Gorst are so slim that it makes no difference.

They have a great format, I agree. But I think it's a great format for the likes of me and most people and a decent format for the players that play in it. Anyway, let's just give it time - the 9 ball game at the pro level will eventually go back to alternate breaks for the same reasons that...

Yes they do. Rules should always be the same for both players. No rehash here - just saying that if it's all about the break then let them both break. That's all.

He wasn't just on fire in the UK Open, that was an exceptional performance that is at pace with the general advancement of pool at the elite level. The level of play is through the roof these days - while the 30 and 40k winners pots for some of the tournaments might seem small in comparison to...

By extension, if we want to see players who master the break rewarded then both players should have equal opportunity to break - hence alternate breaks.

I'm with you on this, agreed 100% about Phil Yates. I like them all - I've always like Karl Boyes and even though he went into full on clown mode recently when he didn't know the rules, I still rate him highly as a commentator. I love JJ's calm zen and knowledge - perfect commentator for both...