Break Stats -- 2025 Ultimate Pool USA Kansas City Shootout (8-Ball), July 2025

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Ultimate Pool USA Kansas City Shootout (8-Ball), played July 17-18, 2025 at Side Pockets Restaurant & Sports Bar in Blue Springs, Missouri. Streaming was free on YouTube. Joven Bustamante won the event, defeating Justin Bergman in the final match.

This was a 24-player invitational, single-elimination event. Eight seeded players received byes into the second round, played on Friday. The other 16 played in the first round on Thursday evening. All races were to 6 unless cut short by the match clock (see below). The primary commentators were Steven Wyatt, Tony Holgate, and Mike DeMarco. The referees were Richard Rhodes, Darryl Hibberd, and Dean Winter.

The conditions for this event included:
• Brunswick 7-foot table with quite generous pockets;​
• CPBA cloth (gray);​
• Brunswick Centennial balls with a black-triangle-spots cue ball;​
• referee racks using a Black Edition Smart Rack (aluminum), with the 8-ball on the spot;​
• alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
• table open after the break, but "dirty" (mixed-suit) combinations not allowed on the first shot;​
• ball in hand behind the head string after a pocket scratch on the break, but incoming player can shoot in any direction;​
• ball in hand anywhere on the table after the cue ball is sent off the table on the break;​
• an 8-ball made on the break, with no foul, wins the game;​
• an 8-ball made on a fouled break is loss of game;​
• no call shots;​
• intentional fouls not allowed (loss of game);​
• no jump shots allowed with any cue;​
• foul on all balls;​
• a match clock of 30 minutes of playing time (excludes racking);​
• a shot clock of 30-seconds during the first 20 minutes on the match clock and 15 seconds thereafter, with one 15-second extension allowed per player per game;​
• if the shot clock runs out, the player ahead in completed games wins the match. If the score is tied in completed games, they play a speed-pool shootout. Each player breaks 6 balls that are racked in a triangle, and then pockets all 6 balls. The player who does this in the shorter elapsed time wins the match.​
• lag for opening break and for choice of who goes first in a shootout.​

The stats are for all 23 matches (198 games) played in the event. The 5 games that were halted when the match clock expired are not included. In the order played, the matches were:

Thurs. July 17 -- First Round
1. Joe Prince defeated Kieron Hall 6-2​
2. Shane Petrick d. Janet Atwell 5-2 (match clock expired)​
3. Eric Charlton d. Nick Evans 6-2​
4. Ricky Evans d. Jeremy Hundley 6-0​
5. Shane Thompson d. Manny Perez 5-4 (match clock expired)​
6. Dennis Hatch d. Coby Japp 4-4 + shootout after match clock expired​
7. Declan Brennan d. Ashley Benoit 6-1​
8. Chase Stumfoll d. Emily Duddy 6-0​

Fri. July 18 -- Last 16
9. Craig Waddingham d. Prince 6-2​
10. Tom Cousins d. Petrick 6-2​
11. Corey Deuel d. Charlton 6-4​
12. Joven Bustamante d. R. Evans 6-5​
13. Thompson d. Skyler Woodward 5-4 (match clock expired)​
14. Hatch d. Johnny Archer 5-5 + shootout after match clock expired​
15. Justin Bergman d. Brennan 6-2​
16. David Matlock d. Stumfoll 6-3​

Fri. July 18
17. Waddingham d. Cousins 6-3 (Quarterfinal)​
18. Bustamante d. Deuel 6-5 (Quarterfinal)​
19. Thompson d. Hatch 6-3 (Quarterfinal)​
20. Bergman d. Matlock 5-5 + shootout after match clock expired (Quarterfinal)​
21. Bustamante d. Waddingham 6-4 (Semifinal)​
22. Bergman d. Thompson 6-3 (Semifinal)​
23. Bustamante d. Bergman 6-2 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 67% (67 of 100)​
Match losers -- 58% (57 of 98)​
Total -- 63% (124 of 198)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 67% (67 of 100)​
Match losers -- 35% (34 of 98)​
Total -- 51% (101 of 198)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 40% (40 of 100)​
Match losers -- 24% (24 of 98)​
Total -- 32% (64 of 198)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 60% (40 of 67)​
Match losers -- 42% (24 of 57)​
Total -- 52% (64 of 124)

Here's a breakdown of the 198 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 81 (41% of the 198 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 43 (22%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 6 (3%)​
Breaker lost the game: 15 (8%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 14 (7%)​
Breaker lost the game: 39 (20%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 51% (101 of 198) of all games,​
He won 65% (81 of 124) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 27% (20 of 74) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 64 break-and-run games represented 32% of all 198 games, 63% of the 101 games won by the breaker, and 52% of the 124 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 64 break-and-run games consisted of 4 alternate-break 3-packs (two by Thompson and one each by Deuel and Bustamante), 11 alternate-break 2-packs, and 30 singles.

8-balls on the break -- The 64 break-and-run games included five 8-balls on the break (2.5% of all 198 breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2025 Ultimate Pool USA Kansas City Shootout (8-Ball)

The most balls made on a single break was 5, done just once, by Bergman on a scratched break in a game he lost. Four balls were made on the break 3 times -- 2 game losses and one along with an 8-ball for a win on the break.

The average number of balls made on the break was 1.2 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.7, and the distribution was 45% 1 ball, 38% 2 balls, 15% 3 balls, and 2% 4 balls.

Number of innings:
• 69% (137 of 198) of the games ended in one inning – 64 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 73 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 19% (37 of 198) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 12% (24 of 198) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 7th visit.​

53% (104 of 198) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 52% (64 of 124)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 62% (13 of 21)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 51% (27 of 53)​

The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 53% of the time (102 of 193)​
• Won the game in a later inning 16% of the time (31 of 193)​
• Lost the game 31% of the time (60 of 193)​
[Note -- total games used here are 193 rather than 198 to eliminate the 5 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 9.4 games, other fouls 1 for every 6.0 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.6 games.

One or more safeties were played in about 11% of all games and in about 16% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
That Justin Bergman always rises to the top, doesn't he? Congratulations to Jovan Bustamante, no relation to Francisco. But with a last name like that, it seems like pool royalty, doesn't it?

Thanks for the stats, AtLarge! :)
 
That "shootout after the match expired" rule is interesting. Keeps everybody on schedule, though, which is a good thing.

There is nothing worse than having to sweat a match with slow-like players and the tournament ends up continuing to the wee hours of the morning. Yuck! Derby City Classic comes to mind, though I do love DCC. It's one of the best American pool happenings ever.
 
Boston vs. Kansas City

The Boston Shootout was just 4 weeks ago. The rules and equipment, with one minor exception, were the same for the Boston and Kansas City events. The exception was switching balls (both by Saluc) from Aramiths in Boston to Brunswick Centennials in Kansas City. The number of games was essentially the same in the two events, 195 in Boston and 198 in Kansas City. But B&R games and total games won by the breaker were considerably higher in Boston -- 85 and 126 in Boston vs. 64 and 101 in Kansas City. And missed shots were much higher in Kansas City. Here's a comparison of some of the stats.
[Caveat: I did not hear anyone state the pocket dimensions for the table in either event. But they seemed "generous" in both events.]

Boston stats first, then Kansas City:

• Successful breaks -- 66%, 63%​
• Breaker won game -- 65%, 51%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 44%, 32%​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 66%, 52%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 74%, 69%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 7%, 12%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 61%, 53%​
• Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 71%, 69%​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 2.7, 1.6​
• Games per foul -- 3.8, 3.7​
• Matches won by winner of lag -- 43%, 61%​
• Winning 8-balls on the break (% of all breaks) -- 5 (2.6%), 5 (2.5%)​
 
Geez, I need to pay more attention. I thought this was a replay of last year's Kansas City open because the chat was closed when I tuned into the stream for all of 20 seconds.
 
I know some people knock these tournaments because it is played on bar tables, but I find them very entertaining- it is interesting to see how they approach runouts and the shot clock keeps the matches moving along quickly
 
I know some people knock these tournaments because it is played on bar tables, but I find them very entertaining- it is interesting to see how they approach runouts and the shot clock keeps the matches moving along quickly
Yeah, and look at the B&R percentage after a successful break by excellent players and tell me again why 500 FargoRate players need to be playing 10 ball on 3.75” pockets on a 10’ table.😉
 
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