Break Stats -- 2025 World Pool Championship (9-Ball), July 2025

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2025 World Pool Championship played July 21-26, 2025 at Green Halls in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, with pay-per-view streaming in the USA on wnttv. This was a 128-player 9-Ball event, produced by Matchroom Sport, with double elimination (Stage 1) down to 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side) and then single-elimination (Stage 2) to the end. Carlo Biado won the tournament, defeating Fedor Gorst in the final match.

The commentators on the feature TV Table were Phil Yates, Michael McMullan, Jeremy Jones, Karl Boyes, and Scott Frost. The referees on this table were Ben Taylor-Fuente, Marcel Eckardt, and a young guy with short dark hair whose name I know not. The main announcer/interviewer was Anna Woolhouse and the MC was Richard Hawke.

Conditions -- The conditions for the feature streamed matches included:
• Rasson Mr-Sung Accura 9-foot table (pocket dimensions not stated while I was watching);​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees are to enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break and after a push out), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation happened once);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 11 matches (199 games) that were played on the main arena's Table 1, with commentary, during the single-elimination portion of the event (Stage 2, last 64 players). These matches were 17.5% of the total of 63 matches played in Stage 2. All Stage 2 matches were races to 11 except for the final match, which was to 15. These 11matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Thursday, July 24
1. Fedor Gorst defeated Jonas Souto Comino 11-9 (Last 64)​
2. Ko Ping Chung d. Mohammed Soufi 11-3 (Last 64)​
3. Anton Raga d. Johann Chua 11-6 (Last 32)​
4. Jefrey Roda d. Jayson Shaw 11-9 (Last 32)​

Friday, July 25
5. Gorst d. Mario He 11-5 (Last 16)​
6. Ameer Ali d. Raga 11-6 (Last 16)​
7. Gorst d. Roda 11-4 (Quarterfinal)​
8. Kledio Kaçi d. Ali 11-9 (Quarterfinal)​

Saturday, July 26
9. Carlo Biado d. Bernie Regalario 11-3 (Semifinal)​
10. Gorst d. K. Kaçi 11-7 (Semifinal)​
11. Biado d. Gorst 15-13 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 79% (96 of 121)​
Match losers -- 69% (54 of 78)​
Total -- 75% (150 of 199)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 67% (81 of 121)​
Match losers -- 44% (34 of 78)​
Total -- 58% (115 of 199)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 26% (32 of 121)​
Match losers -- 21% (16 of 78)​
Total -- 24% (48 of 199)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 33% (32 of 96)​
Match losers -- 30% (16 of 54)​
Total -- 32% (48 of 150)

Here's a breakdown of the 199 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 96 (48% of the 199 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 54 (27%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 12 (6%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 17 (9%)​
Breaker lost the game: 18 (9%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 58% (115 of 199) of all games,​
He won 64% (96 of 150) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 39% (19 of 49) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 48 break-and-run games represented 24% of all 199 games, 42% of the 115 games won by the breaker, and 32% of the 150 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 48 break-and-run games consisted of 2 three-packs (one each by K. Kaçi and Gorst), 6 two-packs, and 30 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 48 break-and-run games included 3 9-balls on the break (1.5% of all breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2025 World Pool Championship (9-Ball) event:
[This relates only to the 11 streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

The most balls made on a single break was 3, done just 3 times: once in a B&R game, once in a game win that was not by B&R, and once in a game loss.

The average number of balls made on the break was 1.0 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.2 and the distribution was 79% 1 ball, 19% 2 balls, and 2% 3 balls.

Number of innings:
• 44% (87 of 199) of the games ended in one inning – 48 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 39 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 21% (42 of 199) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 35% (70 of 199) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most innings ended on breaker's 9th visit to the table.​

34% (67 of 199) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 32% (48 of 150)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 86% (12 of 14)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 20% (7 of 35)​

The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 56% of the time (109 of 195)​
• Won the game in a later inning 19% of the time (38 of 195)​
• Lost the game 25% of the time (48 of 195)​
[Note -- total games used here are 195 rather than 199 to eliminate the 4 games in which no ball was made after the break (3 9s on the break and 1 game lost on 3 consecutive fouls before a ball was pocketed after the break).​

The loser won an average of 6.1 games in the 10 races to 11 (excludes the final match, a race to 15). The closest matches were 3 at 11-9 and the final at 15-13. The most lopsided matches were two at 11-3.

The average elapsed time for the 10 races to 11 was 126 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 199 games was 7.4. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking, timeouts, and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were significant in these matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each.

The race to 10 that was longest in elapsed time, at 171 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 8.6, was K.Kaçi d. Ali 11-9.

The two matches that was shortest in elapsed time, at 85 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 6.1, were Ko PC d. Soufi 11-3 and Biado d. Regalario 11-3.

Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 14.2 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.0 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.9 games.

One or more safeties were played in about 49% of all games and in 64% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
2023 vs. 2024 vs. 2025 World 9-Ball

How do the stats compare for this year's World Pool Championship versus those for the past two years? This comparison uses only Stage 2 matches for each year -- 11 matches each year, with 206 games in 2023, 203 games in 2024, and 199 games in 2025.

The only difference between the years in rules and equipment that I'm aware of is the tables. In 2023 it was a Diamond with 4¼" corners. In 2024 and 2025 it was a Rasson Mr-Sung; the 2024 table had 4" corners, and I imagine this year's table did also (but I did not hear anyone state the pocket specs).

These stats are for 2023 first, then 2024, then 2025.

• Successful breaks -- 78%, 77%, 75%​
• Breaker won game -- 60%, 56%, 58%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 32%, 23%, 24%,​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 41%, 30%, 32%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 56%, 39%, 44%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 20%, 35%, 35%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 41%, 32%, 34%​
• Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 77%, 76%, 75%​
• Avg. number of balls made on all breaks -- 1.2, 1.0, 1.0​
• Avg. number of balls made on successful breaks -- 1.4, 1.2, 1.2​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 2.9, 1.8, 1.9​
• Games per foul -- 4.5, 3.6, 3.7​
• Games with one or more safeties -- 38%, 51%, 49%​
• Games (excl. B&Rs) with one or more safeties -- 56%, 66%, 64%​
• Minutes per game (including commercial breaks) -- 6.6, 7.4, 7.4​
• Matches won by winner of lag (out of 11 matches) -- 6, 8, 7​
• Winning 9-balls on the break (% of all breaks) -- 3 (1.5%), 5 (2.5%), 3 (1.5)​
 
Last edited:
Great job. Thanks.

I like the way the event went. A 58% breaker won the game is about where I like it. A 24% break and run rate works, too, keeping the B&R special. One or more safeties played in 49% of the racks is also about where I like things, keeping the play diverse and entertaining.

Of course, the withdrawal symptoms are starting to set in, but it was one hell of an event.
 
Thanx, AtLarge
Not on your stream table…..Robbie Capito won 10Gs for running a 5-pack….and Fedor had a 4-pack.
 
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Great job. Thanks.

I like the way the event went. A 58% breaker won the game is about where I like it. A 24% break and run rate works, too, keeping the B&R special. One or more safeties played in 49% of the racks is also about where I like things, keeping the play diverse and entertaining.

Of course, the withdrawal symptoms are starting to set in, but it was one hell of an event.

soon florida open right? there are so many events now i've lost track. but pretty sure they said players get a very short vacay before florida
 
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