Break Stats -- 2025 U.S. Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), August 2025

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2025 U.S. Open Pool Championship played August 18-23, 2025 at Harrah's Resort Atlantic City, in New Jersey. Pay-per-view streaming was provided on wnttv.com. This was a 253-player (256 less 3 no shows) 9-Ball event, produced by Matchroom Sport. Aloysius Yapp won the tournament, defeating Fedor Gorst in the final match.

The event was double elimination down to the final 64 players, 32 from the winners' side and 32 from the one-loss side. It was then single-elimination play to the conclusion. Races were of 5 different lengths during the 6 days -- to 8 in the first 3 rounds on the losers' side, to 9 for all other rounds up to the Last 64, to 10 for the Last 64 round through the quarterfinals, to 11 for the semifinals, and to 13 for the finals. On the matches I watched, the commentators were Phil Yates, Karl Boyes, Scott Frost, and Jeremy Jones. The referees were Marcel Eckardt, Ben Taylor-Fuente, John Leyman, and one whose name I do not know. On Friday and Saturday, the announcer/interviewer was Abigail Davies and the MC was Tahir Hajat.

Conditions -- The conditions for these streamed matches included:
• Diamond Paragon 9-foot table with 4" corner pockets;​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break or a push out), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 12 matches (204 games) played on the feature Table 1, with commentary, in the single-elimination portion (Stage 2) of the event -- 5 matches in the Last 64 and Last 32 rounds on Thursday, and 7 matches played from the Last 16 to the end on Friday and Saturday. These 12 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Thursday, August 21
1. Jesús Atencio defeated Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz 10-8 (Last 64)​
2. Ko Pin Yi d. Eklent Kaçi 10-4 (Last 64)​
3. Jayson Shaw d. Max Lechner 10-6 (Last 64)​
4. Joshua Filler d. Chang Yu Lung 10-7 (Last 32)​
5. Shaw d. Emil Gangflot 10-4 (Last 32)​

Friday, August 22
6. Ko d. Shaw 10-2 (Last 16)​
7. Fedor Gorst d. Wiktor Zielinski 10-9 (Last 16)​
8. Aloysius Yapp d. Filler 10-8 (Quarterfinal)​
9. Gorst d. Michael Baoanan 10-9 (Quarterfinal)​

Saturday, August 23
10. Yapp d. Ko 11-4 (Semifinal)​
11. Gorst d. Johann Chua 11-7 (Semifinal)​
12. Yapp d. Gorst 13-11 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 82% (98 of 120)​
Match losers -- 79% (66 of 84)​
Total -- 80% (164 of 204)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 70% (84 of 120)​
Match losers -- 51% (43 of 84)​
Total -- 62% (127 of 204)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 33% (39 of 120)​
Match losers -- 26% (22 of 84)​
Total -- 30% (61 of 204)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 40% (39 of 98)​
Match losers -- 33% (22 of 66)​
Total -- 37% (61 of 164)

Here's a breakdown of the 204 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 115 (56% of the 204 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 49 (24%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 9 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 10 (5%)​
Breaker lost the game: 19 (9%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 62% (127 of 204) of all games,​
He won 70% (115 of 164) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 30% (12 of 40) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 61 break-and-run games represented 30% of all 204 games, 48% of the 127 games won by the breaker, and 37% of the 164 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 61 break-and-run games consisted of four 3-packs (2 by Ko and 1 each by Yapp and Gorst), five 2-packs, and 39 singles. No one in these 12 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.

9-Balls on the break -- The 61 break-and-run games included 3 9-balls on the break (1.5% of all breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2025 U.S. Open Pool Championship (9-Ball):
[This relates only to the 12 streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 6 times The breaker won 5 of those 6 games, 4 by B&R.

The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3, and the distribution was 70% 1 ball, 27% 2 balls, and 4% 3 balls.

Number of innings:
• 48% (97 of 204) of the games ended in one inning – 61 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 36 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 30% (62 of 204) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 22% (45 of 204) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 9th visit.​

38% (77 of 204) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 37% (61 of 164)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 64% (7 of 11)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 31% (9 of 29)​

The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 63% of the time (126 of 201)​
• Won the game in a later inning 15% of the time (30 of 201)​
• Lost the game 22% of the time (45 of 201)​
[Note -- total games used here are 201 rather of 204 to eliminate the 3 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

The loser won an average of 6.3 games in the 9 races to 10 (excludes the longer semifinals and final). Two matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided was 10-2.

The average minutes per game for all 12 matches was 6.9. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were taken only in the Last 16 and subsequent matches. They were significant in those matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each. The 5 matches on Thursday, which had no commercial breaks, averaged 6.7 minutes per game. The 7 matches on Friday and Saturday, which did have commercial breaks, averaged 7.0 minutes per game, or an estimated average of 6.5 minutes per game if there had been no commercial breaks.

The match that was highest in average minutes per game, at 8.1, was Gorst d. Baoanan 10-9 (with commercial breaks). The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 6.0, was Yapp d. Ko (with commercial breaks).

Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 18.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 6.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.1 games.

One or more safeties were played in about 43% of all games and in 62% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Great stuff. To me it all boils down to something we all can understand: The break in 9ball is HUGE. We all get that but these #'s show just how much. Some would say its too big a factor but hey, that's just 9-rock. Want to take the break out play 10ball.
 
thank you for the superb detailed stats, again.

I watched a lot and noticed on Diamond tables in the US, players tend to break better, but on Rasson, especially at World Pool Championship, the 1 ball hit the middle pocket jaws A LOT. Matchroom may have made the middle pockets at WPC a bit smaller imo.

softer rails on Diamond tables made a lot of opening shots possible after the breaks, like the long thin cuts cueball would travel up down table, if on Rasson players would choose safeties.
 
Want to take the break out play 10ball.
Not really, in 10 ball you have both balls behind the 1 tracking for the sides and the corner balls tracking 4 rails for the corners.

To paraphrase what you said, it’s just the way 9-10 ball are. There is no “fixing it”, they’ve changed the rules, and set different conditions on the break in 9 ball, and good players do what they do, they experiment and figure out a way. There’s no need to fix it really, if 9 or 10 ball is the game, then just play it. They could go to full rack “61” rotation, then someone of these guys will bitch about that, it’s just the nature of some people. 🤷🏻‍♂️
 
Not really, in 10 ball you have both balls behind the 1 tracking for the sides and the corner balls tracking 4 rails for the corners.

To paraphrase what you said, it’s just the way 9-10 ball are. There is no “fixing it”, they’ve changed the rules, and set different conditions on the break in 9 ball, and good players do what they do, they experiment and figure out a way. There’s no need to fix it really, if 9 or 10 ball is the game, then just play it. They could go to full rack “61” rotation, then someone of these guys will bitch about that, it’s just the nature of some people. 🤷🏻‍♂️
10b game outcomes aren't decided by break anywhere near as often 9b.
 
10b game outcomes aren't decided by break anywhere near as often 9b.
That’s an opinion, although I disagree. Especially with all the wonky rule changes and parameters in place in the current 9 ball pro game with the WNT. With 9 on the spot and break boxes, the cut break is what’s used by most tour players to pocket the 1 in the side, and sometimes the wing or a random ball will fall.

The nature of the cut break and random placement of the 2 ball makes it almost impossible to play shape on the 2 which is why many racks now start with a mini safety battle after the break.

With 10 ball, if you have the proper break down cold, you’re generally going to make at least 2, if not 3 balls on the break and the 1 ball is going to set up near the corner pocket on the opposite side you break from at the head string end of the table allowing you to play shape on it easily.
 
That’s an opinion, although I disagree. Especially with all the wonky rule changes and parameters in place in the current 9 ball pro game with the WNT. With 9 on the spot and break boxes, the cut break is what’s used by most tour players to pocket the 1 in the side, and sometimes the wing or a random ball will fall.

The nature of the cut break and random placement of the 2 ball makes it almost impossible to play shape on the 2 which is why many racks now start with a mini safety battle after the break.

With 10 ball, if you have the proper break down cold, you’re generally going to make at least 2, if not 3 balls on the break and the 1 ball is going to set up near the corner pocket on the opposite side you break from at the head string end of the table allowing you to play shape on it easily.
Yeah. Predator 10-ball uses no template and a lot of cement in racking with triangle makes it random though. My pro friends not want to go those because race to 4 sets and racks are so bad they say "no thanks" for flying to another part of world get that.
 
Yeah. Predator 10-ball uses no template and a lot of cement in racking with triangle makes it random though. My pro friends not want to go those because race to 4 sets and racks are so bad they say "no thanks" for flying to another part of world get that.
Understandable. Truthfully, Predator now using their tables for their 10 ball event is more than enough reason to avoid that event IMO. 🤷🏻‍♂️
 
Great stats. Thank you.

The general feeling at the Open was that players were dominating with their breaks more than they have of late and your stats confirm it.

For me, personally, breaker won the game at 62% is not where I like things to be in major competition. I like it more around 57% or 58%.

Are the players starting to master the WNT break or not? I'll reserve judgment until we see the stats from the Hanoi Open and the Philippines Open.
 
With 10 ball, if you have the proper break down cold, you’re generally going to make at least 2, if not 3 balls on the break and the 1 ball is going to set up near the corner pocket on the opposite side you break from at the head string end of the table allowing you to play shape on it easily.
Chris Melling has, similarly, contended for years that the result of the 10ball break is more predictable than the 9ball break. I think so, too.
 
Understandable. Truthfully, Predator now using their tables for their 10 ball event is more than enough reason to avoid that event IMO. 🤷🏻‍♂️

not much wrong with their tables. they had some issues in the beginning but it got sorted pretty quickly, and the new ones are basically gold crowns. the problem has been the slug racks. whether due to the refs or the predator triangle rack, it's sometimes been comical.
 
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