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  1. Rocket354

    US Open 08/18-23

    I've definitely seen much worse refs than Marcel, and I think he did a good job overall this match, this one possible non-call excepted. I will say that while he was excellent at keeping the crowd quiet during shots, he overdid it a bit. One lady was crinkling open a candy wrapper during a shot...
  2. Rocket354

    US Open 08/18-23

    I agree. A fatal flaw with pool ever again becoming much of a spectator sport is that instead of most sports that appear difficult pool appears easy. In other sports fans are waiting for the relatively rare amazing feat (scoring a goal in soccer, hitting a home run in baseball, etc), whereas...
  3. Rocket354

    Miscue with Taom v10 chalk

    No player I've encountered has ever made the claim that V10 has a more restrictive miscue limit than other chalks. Empirical testing by Dr. Dave has shown that all chalks appear to have the same miscue limit, and give the same spin (relative to cue ball speed). You are likely misinterpreting...
  4. Rocket354

    NEW Bulletproof Synthetic Playing Tips.

    Inspired by this thread (and a few others) I decided to take the plunge and install a Recoil hard tip to try out. TLDR: I love it! I think I've found my new playing tip. Full version: I prefer hard tips. I've played with Triangles for 12+ years now. I don't know if it's the quality that's gone...
  5. Rocket354

    Team Names Not Allowed

    Not sure how it started, but to be fair, banning "All Balls Matter" might be considered a bit uptight. Most of the older banned names are sexually suggestive.
  6. Rocket354

    WAXGATE and the Effects of Slick Cloth and Waxed Balls

    Great video. One correction: at one point you refer to a draw shot by eventual champion Carlo Biado, when it is clearly Chua at the table. Also, most examples from the tournament were from the Chua-KPC match. If the conditions were slick in general, shouldn't more matches have unexpected CB...
  7. Rocket354

    Fargo on Bar boxes

    Depends on your definition of A and B. I view them as P(Shane wins given he breaks) and P(Shane wins given he does not break) since those are the only two options in most any race. In winner- or loser-break format the probability of winning a given game is dependent on the previous games. In...
  8. Rocket354

    Fargo on Bar boxes

    Er...independent trials has a mathematical definition. It is P(AUB) = P(A)*P(B). Any real world competition of course involves a psychological element, but when alternating breaks as in this example, the probability of the person, say Shane, who won the lag winning the third game is the same...
  9. Rocket354

    Hey Cuetec, please make a Cynergy CF shaft in 12.25mm-12.3mm

    What are the most common problems you see with Cuetec?
  10. Rocket354

    Fargo on Bar boxes

    Your initial answer referred to packages, which is only relevant in winner break formats. Otherwise, the other person gets to the table every other game to restart their own (presumably independent) trial. Bob's example was helpful. It works because each run is its own trial as each shot is not...
  11. Rocket354

    Why Pool Leagues Should Embrace “ALL BALL FOULS”

    There's conscious bias and unconscious bias. The second is much harder to avoid and affects us all--including, of course, myseelf. I could absolutely be misinterpreting how you present your arguments and otherwise ignore some raised points, but everything you do seems to align more with what...
  12. Rocket354

    RIP Chang Jun-Lin

    Perhaps. I've heard heart attack and stroke. That's one super-fast autopsy...
  13. Rocket354

    Why Pool Leagues Should Embrace “ALL BALL FOULS”

    Back to convoluted non-answers. If Tony's 777 and Sky's 812 are inaccurate for 1p because they are about even, and also inaccurate for 9b because Sky has a distinct advantage, then in what sense does Fargo "work"? It appears to be a (very) good assessment of relative average skill, but fails...
  14. Rocket354

    RIP Chang Jun-Lin

    This is what Fedor posted: The bolded part stood out to me a bit. Is there an implication there? Also, pretty quick cause of death determination, but perhaps any discussion that way should wait. RIP, Chang Jung-Lin. You were always a pleasure to watch and are gone way too soon.
  15. Rocket354

    Why Pool Leagues Should Embrace “ALL BALL FOULS”

    ...So then why aren't there subscores? It sounds like an opportunity for improvement in line with the exact goal of FargoRate. A relative new person to the pool scene might look at Tony's 777 and Skyler's 812 and conclude Skyler has an advantage in a 1p matchup. Your answer also contradicts what...
  16. Rocket354

    Fargo on Bar boxes

    So, this is only an element in winner-breaks formats? Also, can you address the second part of my question, that is the race calculators having to change based on table size, and now apparently, break format?
  17. Rocket354

    Fargo on Bar boxes

    What you are suggesting is that for a binominal distribution (n=200, p=.55) you actually get two different standard deviations even though the actual standard deviation of a binominal distribution is sqrt[np(1-p)]. Therefore, the only conclusion is that p != .55 in one of those cases. The only...
  18. Rocket354

    Why Pool Leagues Should Embrace “ALL BALL FOULS”

    Maybe clarifying your belief on the utility of one all-encompassing rating across all pool disciplines would be helpful. Let's take two players. Say, Tony C with a 777 Fargo, and Skyler W with an 812. Do you believe the relative win frequency between these two folks would be exactly the same...
  19. Rocket354

    Why Pool Leagues Should Embrace “ALL BALL FOULS”

    Thanks for the correction. I was watching a lot of matches and my memory mixed up who lost to whom (Max, while performing well overall in both 9b and 10b, did have a couple losses to significantly lower-ranked players). Point stands. There are subcategories in pool skill and thinking FargoRate...
  20. Rocket354

    Why Pool Leagues Should Embrace “ALL BALL FOULS”

    perhaps nitpicking here, but Mike Page rarely proves anything, but often cherry picks various specific locations with whatever statistical alignment he is looking for. I am a big believer in Fargo above any eye test and as a general representation of a player's skill. But to think some players...
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