Search results

  1. mikepage

    Pia Filler Makes History as First (and only) Female Pro on WNT

    Yes, we've been doing that for several years. These games have almost no impact on the players who travel around and play a lot--the ones we pay attention to. The value of these games in the system is more subtle. Let's say from each of Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, South Carolina there are...
  2. mikepage

    Pia Filler Makes History as First (and only) Female Pro on WNT

    Here is her record against world-top-100 types. These opponents average around 810, so winning a third of the games is about what is expected of a 710. That's about where she's at here, winning 54 games and losing 105 [specific performance rating of 717 for these 159 games]. The SPR for all...
  3. mikepage

    Fargo rule question

    If you click on a team in this link, say "Motor City Shooters," the 11th one down, you will see a summary of the season for that team. You can see April 18th is recorded and April 25 is not. That means the April 25 scoresheet is in a pile of paper on your LO's desk. For divisions that score on...
  4. mikepage

    Fargo rule question

    Generally league games are recorded through the scoring mobile APP. When you identify Bob Jewett as player3, Bob's name propagates to every place player3 plays. If Bob is absent and Penelope Muffat (yes FR needs her full name) comes off the bar stool to sub, then she is identified as player3...
  5. mikepage

    Fargo rule question

    Yes, the games go only to the people who play them.
  6. mikepage

    A diversified, skill-level talent pool completes Day One at the SBE

    OK got it. Most of those 29 players not showing a rating actually have one. We do an independent matching to records in our database, so games will go to the right records. Thanks for keeping us updated with your reporting!
  7. mikepage

    A diversified, skill-level talent pool completes Day One at the SBE

    Just a clarification. Tommy Kennedy is rated 737, not 540.
  8. mikepage

    Fargo rating curve compared to golf handicap?

    If the population is chosen as all people, whether they are in FargoRate or not, whether they've every touched a pool cue or not, then in areas where pool is moderately popular, there seems to be about 1 700+ player per million population.
  9. mikepage

    Fargo rating curve compared to golf handicap?

    The distribution shifts a lot depending on how the population is chosen. Here is the 180,000 people with 50 or more games in the system Average is 446 and middle person is 452 Top 0.1% is 786 Top 1% is 708 Top 5% is 631 Top 10% is 592 Top 20% is 546 Top third is 501 Top 50% is 452 Standard...
  10. mikepage

    Matchroom WNT Premier League Pool (PLP) 18-25 March2024, Connecticut, $100K Prize Fund

    The crossover between best of 3 races to 3 and a straight set is a straight set to 10. The better player should be indifferent between these two. With a race to 9, the better player should prefer the short sets; race to 11 the other way.
  11. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    When you say mysterious group, it was EVERY player between 600 and 700 two years ago. When you say unnamed, there were 5,000 of them! Here is every US player, named, who had an established rating over 700 2 years ago and logged at least some play last two years. Those in red (123 of them) went...
  12. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    I think you are meaning their actual skill might deteriorate a bit if they're not playing. Perhaps. Keep in mind, though, that FargoRate wouldn't know about that and would need a LOT of games going into the system to track it. If people are not playing or are barely playing, that means FargoRate...
  13. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    That would be a poor way to do the peg for that reason. If we look at every player who two years ago had an established rating between 600 and 700 and has played at all in the last two years, we get about 5,000 players. Those are the good regional players. The average robustness of that group...
  14. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    That's the distinction I'm warning about, between better-relative and better-absolute.
  15. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    There are many more players in the first category. If you look at the plot in the first post, the dots representing a lot of play each are an average of 1,000 players. The one dot alone representing the least play is an average over 12,000 players. Plus there are many players who haven't logged...
  16. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    I have one. What if we look at players who were very active up to 2015 and then stopped playing (or at least logging games)? If the general pool of their opponents has been riding a 3-point per year tide rise, then these inactive players should be up 25 points or something. Look at Chris...
  17. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    Need to be careful to not conflate more dominant with better
  18. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    There are 8354 players who had an established rating 2 years ago (average robustness 500) and logged between 1 and 100 games in the last two years (average 50). Forget the new games for a minute, and just think of the contribution to the rating from the original 500 games. If there was a general...
  19. mikepage

    Are Fargo Ratings inflating?

    51 players on top 100 list are now over 800 (vs. 35 players two years ago) The top rating is 848 (vs. 830 two years ago) Are Fargo Ratings inflating? That's not an easy question to answer. But here is evidence they're not--or at least any drift is small. We compared the ratings now to the...
Back
Top