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Break Stats -- Derby City 9-Foot 9-Ball, Jan. 2015
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Break Stats -- Derby City 9-Foot 9-Ball, Jan. 2015 - 01-31-2015, 10:26 PM

Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2015 Derby City Classic 9-Ball event, streamed by Accu-Stats from the Derby City Classic at the Horseshoe Southern Indiana in Elizabeth, Indiana.

The conditions for this event included: Diamond 9-foot table with standard pro-cut pockets, Simonis cloth, Diamond wooden rack, Cyclop TV balls with a measles cue ball, winner breaks, rack your own, break from anywhere behind the line, no jump cues allowed, all slop counts, and a 40-second shot clock (one extension per player per rack unless at hill/hill, then two extensions per player).

The 11 streamed matches (156 games) were as follows. The figures in parentheses are the Accu-Stats Total Performance Averages (TPA), as calculated by Accu-Stats (no TPA was given for two of the matches):

Thurs., Jan.29
  • F. Bustamante (.838) defeated J. Klatt (.800) 9-8

Fri., Jan. 30
  • J. Pinegar (.955) d. J. Shaw (.000) 9-0
  • D. Orcollo (.880) d. S. Daulton (.831) 9-7
  • W. Kiamco (.914) d. C. Biado (.724) 9-3
  • A. Pagulayan (.986) d. S. Van Boening (.640) 9-1
  • S. Woodward d. J. Calderon 9-7

Sat., Jan. 31
  • D. Orcollo (.807) d. S. Frost (.789) 9-6
  • A. Pagulayan d. D. Orcollo 9-8
  • W. Kiamco (.887) d. J. Sossei (.792) 9-6
  • A. Pagulayan (.961) d. W. Kiamco (.833) 9-4
  • W. Kiamco (.894) d. A. Pagulayan (.864) 9-7

Overall results -- The breaker made at least one ball (and did not foul) 65% of the time (102 of 156), won 57% of the games (89 of 156), and broke and ran 29% of the games (46 of 156).

Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 156 games.

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
  • Breaker won the game: 69 (44% of the 156 games)
  • Breaker lost the game: 33 (21%)

Breaker fouled on the break:
  • Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)
  • Breaker lost the game: 8 (5%)

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
  • Breaker won the game: 18 (12%)
  • Breaker lost the game: 26 (17%)

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 57% (89) of all 156 games,
  • He won 68% (69 of 102) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.
  • He won 20% (2 of 10) of the games in which he fouled on the break.
  • He won 41% (18 of 44) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.
  • He won 37% (20 of 54) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.

Break-and-run games: The 46 break-and-run games represented 29% of all 156 games, 52% of the 89 games won by the breaker, and 45% of the 102 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 46 break-and-run games consisted of 1 four-pack (by Kiamco), 2 three-packs (both by Pagulayan), 7 two-packs and 22 singles. No one broke and ran 5 or more games in a row. These 46 games included 8 9-balls on the break that counted as wins (5.1% of all breaks) and 3 that did not count (breaker fouled).
  
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02-10-2015, 06:03 PM

Miscellany from the 2015 DCC 9-Ball data:
[Note -- Based on only the 11 streamed matches.]

The most balls made on the break was three.

The average number of balls made on all breaks was 1.1. The average number of balls made on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) was 1.5.

Following the 10 breaking fouls, the incoming player ran out the game 7 times (70%).

The loser won an average of 5.2 games in these races to 9.

The average elapsed time for the matches was 72 minutes, or 5.1 minutes per game. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking, bathroom/smoking breaks, calls to the referee, and "discussions."

The match that was both longest in elapsed time (102 min.) and highest in average minutes per game (6.0) was Pagulayan def. Orcollo.

The shortest match (46 min.) was Pinegar d. Shaw. The match that was lowest in average minutes per game (4.2) was the first "finals" match -- Pagulayan d. Kiamco.
  
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02-10-2015, 06:36 PM

Thanks for the effort!


Quote:
"The first essential step in the direction of learning any subject is to find principles of numerical reckoning and practicable methods for measuring some quality connected with it. I often say that when you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind." - Lord Kelvin
  
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