Since it is 10ball, a fairly long race to 13 and most of all winner-break... how can u not make Shane a favorite!?
Although I love Earl (not in every aspect though), I don't see him win this. Too tough of a competition. Jason is a flow player and not the kind of grinder you need to be in round-robin stages, where every point counts. I can't say much about Kevin. Seen a little of him at the US Open, but not enough to judge his chances. So he is the dark horse for me.
That leaves us with Darren and Thorsten. In nailbiting dogfights, I see Darren as the best of the six. This gives him the second best chance to win in my eyes. Darren's match against Shane will be crucial. Thorsten has definitely a decent chance to win as well. But occasionally Thorsten seems to rush shots, even tuff ones. I believe that will cost him a match or too to much to win.
My point of view... If a had to put my money on someone, it wud be Shane for sure!