Break Stats -- 2021 Diamond Las Vegas Open (US Pro Billiard Series) 10-Ball, September 2021

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2021 Diamond Las Vegas Open 10-Ball event played September 1-4 at the Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada with free streaming on Billiard TV and on YouTube. This is one of the 5 events comprising this year's CSI/Predator US Pro Billiard Series. The primary commentators were Jeremy Jones and George Teyechea. Wu Kun-Lin won the event.

This was a 128-player event with double-elimination down to 32 players (16 on the winners' side and 16 on the one-loss side). A random draw then matched one player from each side against each other, with single-elimination play from that point to the conclusion. Each match was two races to 4. If the same player won both races, he won the match. If the two races to 4 were split, a shootout determined the winner. The stats are for all 20 streamed matches, of which 8 ended with a shootout. These 20 matches represented 8.4% of the total of 239 matches played in the event.

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets (4½" corners);​
- Predator Arcadia cloth (blue);​
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
- Predator Arena lights;​
- referee racks using a Predator triangle rack, with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- early combinations or caroms on the 10-ball, if called, are game winners, as is a 10-ball in any pocket on a legal break;​
- jump cues allowed;​
- foul on all balls;​
- 3-foul rule in effect (did not occur);​
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The 20 matches (220 games) tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played. [Note: The stats are for 218 games instead of 220, because two of the games were not played -- a penalty game given to Van Boening when Boza was late for their match and another penalty game given to Van Boening when Al-Shaheen was late for their match.]

Wed. September 1, 2021
1. Masato Yoshioka defeated Eric Carlton 4-1, 4-2​
2. Skyler Woodward d. Oscar Dominguez 4-2, 4-2​
3. Dennis Orcollo d. Mario He 4-2, 4-2​
4. Shane Van Boening d. Gerson Martinez Boza 4-1, 4-3​
5. Alex Kazakis d. Jason Bell 4-0, 4-0​

Thurs. Sept. 2
6. Wiktor Zielinski d. Alex Pagulayan 4-0, 2-4, shootout​
7. Woodward d. Darren Appleton 4-3, 3-4, shootout​
8. Marco Teutscher d. Matt Krah 4-1, 4-0​
9. Chang Jung-Lin d. Tony Chohan 4-3, 3-4, shootout​
10. Carlo Biado d. Waleed Majid 4-1, 4-3​

Fri. Sept. 3
11. Pagulayan d. He 4-0, 4-1​
12. Aloysius Yapp d. Woodward 4-1, 2-4, shootout​
13. Orcollo d. Thorsten Hohmann 4-1, 4-2​
14. Van Boening d. Chris Reinhold 0-4, 4-1, shootout​
15. Biado d. Kazakis 4-1, 4-0​

Sat. Sept 4
16. Jesus Atencio d. Naoyuki Oi 3-4, 4-1, shootout​
17. Van Boening d. Atencio 4-2, 4-3​
18. Omar Al-Shaheen d. Van Boening 4-1, 1-4, shootout (Semifinal)​
19. Wu Kun-Lin d. Denis Grabe 0-4, 4-2, shootout (Semifinal)​
20. Wu d. Al-Shaheen 4-3, 4-1 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 60% (77 of 129) for match winners, 57% (51 0f 89) for match losers, and 59% (128 of 218) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 66% (85 of 129) for match winners, 37% (33 0f 89) for match losers, and 54% (118 of 218) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 24% (31 of 129) for match winners, 15% (13 of 89) for match losers, and 20% (44 of 218) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 40% (31 of 77) for match winners, 25% (13 of 51) for match losers, and 34% (44 of 128) in total​

Here's a breakdown of the 218 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 86 (39% of the 218 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 42 (19%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 5 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 12 (6%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 27 (12%)​
Breaker lost the game: 46 (21%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 54% (118 of 218) of all games,
He won 67% (86 of 128) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 36% (32 of 90) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 44 break-and-run games represented 20% of all 218 games, 37% of the 118 games won by the breaker, and 34% of the 128 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 44 break-and-run games consisted of 1 3-pack (by Biado), 10 2-packs, and 21 singles.

10-Balls on the break -- Four 10-balls were made on the break (1.8% of all 218 breaks).
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2021 Diamond Las Vegas Open 10-Ball event:
[This relates only to the 20 streamed matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done twice -- once by Dominguez, who lost that game, and once by Biado (B&R).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.9 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4.

• 42% (92 of 218) of the games ended in one inning – 20% (44) won by the breaker (B&R) and 22% (48) won by the non-breaker. Sixteen percent (34 of 218) of the games lasted more than 3 innings. The two longest games ended on the breaker's 8th visit to the table.

• 34% (74 of 218) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 34% (44 of 128)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 59% (10 of 17)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 27% (20 of 73)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 50% of the time (108 of 214)​
- Won the game in a later inning 22% of the time (47 of 214)​
- Lost the game 28% of the time (59 of 214)​
[Note -- total games used here are 214 rather than 218 to eliminate the 4 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The loser won an average of 1.5 games in the 40 races to 4 in the 20 matches. Eight of those 40 races ended at a score of 4-0, 13 at 4-1, 10 at 4-2, and 9 at 4-3.

• Eight of the 20 matches had a shootout, with 3 of the 8 going to sudden death. For all 3 that went to sudden death, the first player to shoot missed his first shot and the second player to shoot made his.

• The average elapsed time for the two races to 4 in each match was about 70 minutes, or 6.4 minutes per game. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made for the second race to 4 (i.e., shootouts not included), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. These breaks, about two minutes each, often occurred after every two games and between races to 4.

• The longest match in elapsed time (excluding shootouts), at 97 minutes, was Chang J-L d. Tony Chohan. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 7.7, was Teutscher d. Krah.

• The match shortest in elapsed time, at 45 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.0, was Van Boening d. Reinhold.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 12.8 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.3 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.

• About 40% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 
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Who won? I can't find any new article about who won. I hope I can find out on FB. It looks like it was between Wu and Omar?
 
Who won? I can't find any new article about who won. I hope I can find out on FB. It looks like it was between Wu and Omar?
Sat. Sept 4
16. Jesus Atencio d. Naoyuki Oi 3-4, 4-1, shootout
17. Van Boening d. Atencio 4-2, 4-3
18. Omar Alshaheen d. Van Boening 4-1, 1-4, shootout (Semifinal)
19. Wu Kun-Lin d. Denis Grabe 0-4, 4-2, shootout (Semifinal)
20. Wu d. Alshaheen 4-3, 4-1 (Final)
 
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Thanks. I was hoping to read something about the finals, not the stats, though I do appreciate the stats very much.
 
I was really leery of the format, but after watching several matches I actually like the format. It's more exciting than I expected. It's short enough to allow some crazy random pool stuff to happen, yet long enough that the better player should pull ahead. The shootout is actually exciting, can't fault anyone but yourself for missing in the shootout.
 
I would prefer One Game Sudden Death for Shoot Out. Either winner of the first set breaks or re-lag. In a lot of cases it would be shorter and actual shoot out and have higher drama factor.
 
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