Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2021 Predator World 10-Ball Championship played September 6-10 at the Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada with free streaming on Billiard TV and on YouTube. The primary commentators were Jeremy Jones and George Teyechea. Eklent Kaçi won the event, defeating Naoyuki Oi in the final match.
This was an invitational 64-player event with double-elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side). The 8 players (out of the final 16) with the highest WPA rankings were then seeded into the final bracket and the positions of the other 8 were drawn randomly. The matches were races to 8 in the double-elimination portion and races to 10 thereafter. The stats are for all 19 matches streamed on the arena table. These 19 matches represented 16% of the total of 119 matches played in the event.
The conditions for the streamed matches included:
The 19 matches (279 games) tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played.
Mon. September 6, 2021
Tues. Sept. 7
Wed. Sept. 8
Thurs. Sept 9
Fri. Sept. 10
Overall results
Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 279 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Break-and-run games -- The 59 break-and-run games represented 21% of all 279 games, 44% of the 134 games won by the breaker, and 39% of the 151 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).
With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 59 break-and-run games consisted of 5 alternate-break 2-packs (2 by Kaçi and 1 each by Woodward, Van Boening, and Al-Shaheen) and 49 singles. No one in these 19 matches broke and ran more than 2 games in a row on his own breaks.
10-Balls on the break -- Thirteen 10-balls were made on the break (4.7% of all 279 breaks). They were spotted.
This was an invitational 64-player event with double-elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side). The 8 players (out of the final 16) with the highest WPA rankings were then seeded into the final bracket and the positions of the other 8 were drawn randomly. The matches were races to 8 in the double-elimination portion and races to 10 thereafter. The stats are for all 19 matches streamed on the arena table. These 19 matches represented 16% of the total of 119 matches played in the event.
The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets (4½" corners);
- Predator Arcadia cloth (blue);
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;
- Predator Arena lights;
- referee racks using a Predator triangle rack, with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;
- spot any 10-ball made on the break;
- early combinations or caroms on the 10-ball are not game wins; spot the 10-ball and continue shooting;
- jump cues allowed;
- foul on all balls;
- 3-foul rule in effect (did not occur);
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and
- lag for opening break.
The 19 matches (279 games) tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played.
Mon. September 6, 2021
1. Skyler Woodward defeated Joshua Filler 8-5
2. Mika Immonen d. Dennis Orcollo 8-5
3. Billy Thorpe d. Chang Jung-Lin 8-7
4. Konrad Juszczyszyn d. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz 8-7
Tues. Sept. 7
5. Omar Al-Shaheen d. David Alcaide 8-5
6. Chang J-L d. Jesus Atencio 8-5
7. Jayson Shaw d. Corey Deuel 8-6
8. Carlo Biado d. Mario He 8-4
Wed. Sept. 8
9. Shane Van Boening d. Chris Reinhold 8-6
10. Ralf Souquet d. Jeffrey De Luna 8-5
11. Shaw d. Eklent Kaçi 8-4
12. Van Boening d. Mario He 8-5
Thurs. Sept 9
13. Van Boening d. Bader Alawadhi 10-4
14. Kaçi d. Al-Shaheen 10-8
15. Naoyuki Oi d. Biado 10-9 (Quarterfinal)
16. Aloysius Yapp d. Shaw 10-5 (Quarterfinal)
Fri. Sept. 10
17. Oi d. Johann Chua 10-9 (Semifinal)
18. Kaçi d. Yapp 10-8 (Semifinal)
19. Kaçi d. Oi 10-6 (Finals)
Overall results
■ Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 57% (81 of 141) for match winners, 51% (70 of 138) for match losers, and 54% (151 of 279) in total
■ Breaker won the game -- 57% (81 of 141) for match winners, 38% (53 of 138) for match losers, and 48% (134 of 279) in total
■ Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 26% (37 of 141) for match winners, 16% (22 of 138) for match losers, and 21% (59 of 279) in total
■ Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 46% (37 of 81) for match winners, 31% (22 of 70) for match losers, and 39% (59 of 151) in total
Here's a more detailed breakdown of the 279 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 92 (33% of the 279 games)
Breaker lost the game: 59 (21%)
Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 1 (0%)
Breaker lost the game: 13 (5%)
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 41 (15%)
Breaker lost the game: 73 (26%)
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 48% (134 of 279) of all games,
He won 61% (92 of 151) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).
He won 33% (42 of 128) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).
Break-and-run games -- The 59 break-and-run games represented 21% of all 279 games, 44% of the 134 games won by the breaker, and 39% of the 151 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).
With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 59 break-and-run games consisted of 5 alternate-break 2-packs (2 by Kaçi and 1 each by Woodward, Van Boening, and Al-Shaheen) and 49 singles. No one in these 19 matches broke and ran more than 2 games in a row on his own breaks.
10-Balls on the break -- Thirteen 10-balls were made on the break (4.7% of all 279 breaks). They were spotted.
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