Break Stats -- 2022 International 10-Foot (Bigfoot) 10-Ball, November 2022

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2022 International Bigfoot 10-Ball Challenge played October 31 - November 2, 2022 at the Sheraton Norfolk Waterside Hotel in Norfolk, VA with pay-per-view streaming by Accu-Stats. This was an invitational 16-man, single-elimination event. Fedor Gorst won the event, defeating Joshua Filler in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- Diamond 10-foot table with standard pro-cut pockets (4½" corners) and Simonis 860 cloth (not new);​
- Aramith Tournament balls with a red-measles cue ball;​
- Accu-Rack Pro10 racking template;​
- referee racks with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);​
- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- jump cues not allowed;​
- foul on all balls;​
- all slop counts (except spot any 10-ball made on the break);​
- 30-second shot clock with one automatic extension per player per rack; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The event's 15 matches (266 games), all streamed from the same table, were as follows (shown in the order in which they were played). The figures in parentheses are the Accu-Stats Total Performance Averages (TPA), as calculated by Accu-Stats and shown on the stream. TPAs were not provided for Matches 3, 6, and 13 and for Alcaide in Match 5. TPAs were being shown during Match 8, but the stream went down near the end of the match, so the final TPAs were not shown. The stream was down for 5 games in Matches 8 and 9, so the stats are for 261 games instead of 266.

Mon., Oct. 31 (All matches in Round 1)
1. Roland Garcia (.885) defeated Alex Pagulayan (.875) 11-10​
2. Aloysius Yapp ( .880) d. Jeff De Luna (.810) 11-5​
3. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Mika Immonen 11-6​
4. Albin Ouschan (.820) d. Omar Al-Shaheen (.738) 11-8​
5. Fedor Gorst (.970 -- tied for best of the event) d. David Alcaide 11-1​

Tues., Nov. 1 (Matches 6, 7, and 8 in Round 1; Matches 9 and 10 in Round 2)
6. Chang Jung-Lin d. Alex Kazakis 11-9​
7. Joshua Filler (.827) d. Robeto Gomez (.808) 11-9​
8. Jayson Shaw d. Lee Vann Corteza 11-4​
9. Yapp (.904) d. Garcia (.877) 11-9​
10. Ouschan (.940) d. Chang (.898) 11-9​

Wed., Nov. 2 (Matches 11 and 12 in Round 2, Matches 13 and 14 Semifinals, and Match 15 Finals)
11. Filler (.885) d. Sanchez-Ruiz (.824) 11-8​
12. Gorst (.970 -- tied for best of the event) d. Shaw (.871) 11-5​
13. Filler d. Yapp 11-5​
14. Gorst (.934) d. Ouschan (.835) 11-6​
15. Gorst (.952) d. Filler (.843) 11-7​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 67% (88 of 131)​
Match losers -- 64% (83 of 130)​
Total -- 66% (171 of 261)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 66% (87 of 131)​
Match losers -- 42% (54 of 130)​
Total -- 54% (141 of 261)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 27% (36 of 131)​
Match losers -- 13% (17 of 130)​
Total -- 20% (53 of 261)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 41% (36 of 88)​
Match losers -- 20% (17 of 83)​
Total -- 31% (53 of 171)

Here's a breakdown of the 261 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 108 (41% of the 261 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 63 (24%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 4 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 18 (7%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 29 (11%)​
Breaker lost the game: 39 (15%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 54% (141 of 261) of all games,​
He won 63% (108 of 171) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 37% (33 of 90) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 53 break-and-run games represented 20% of all 261 games, 38% of the 141 games won by the breaker, and 31% of the 171 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 53 break-and-run games consisted of 1 alternate-break 5-pack (by Yapp), 1 alternate-break 4-pack (Gorst), 1 alternate-break 3-pack (Kazakis), 6 alternate-break 2-packs, and 29 singles.

10-balls on the break -- The 10-ball was made on the break two times (0.8% of all 261 breaks), but it was immediately spotted (with the breaker continuing to shoot) rather than counting as a win.
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2022 International Bigfoot 10-Ball Challenge:

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done four times, once each by Ouschan (a game win), Gomez (loss), Garcia (loss) and Shaw (loss).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5.

• Number of innings:
46% (120 of 261) of the games ended in one inning – 53 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 67 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
41% (108 of 262) of the games ended on the second or third inning.​
13% (33 of 261) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's third visit to the table, with the longest game ending on the n0n-breaker's 13th visit.​

• 34% (88 of 261) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 31% (53 of 171)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 68% (15 of 22)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 29% (20 of 68)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 55% of the time (143 of 261)​
- Won the game in a later inning 15% of the time (40 of 261)​
- Lost the game 30% of the time (78 of 261)​

• The match loser won an average of 6.7 games in these races to 11. Only one match went to hill/hill; the fewest games won in a match was 1.

• The match that longest in elapsed time, at about 143 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.5, was Filler d. Sanchez-Ruiz 11-8. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The shortest match in elapsed time, at 76 minutes, was Gorst d. Alcaide 11-1. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.1, was Ouschan d. Al-Shaheen 11-8.

• The average elapsed time for these 15 races to 11 was 113 minutes, averaging 6.4 minutes per game.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 12.1 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 41% of all games and in about 51% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Even though the numbers are small, here are the break-and-run results for each player.

First-Round Losers (1 match each)
Pagulayan -- 2 B&Rs out of 11 breaks = 18%​
De Luna -- 0 of 8 = 0%​
Immonen -- 1 of 9 = 11%​
Al-Shaheen -- 1 of 9 = 11%​
Alcaide -- 0 of 6 = 0%​
Kazakis -- 3 of 10 = 30%​
Gomez -- 1 of 10 = 10%​
Corteza -- 1 of 7 = 14%​
Total -- 9 of 70 = 13%​

Second-Round Losers (2 matches each)
Garcia -- 7 of 18 = 39%​
Chang -- 5 of 20 = 25%​
Sanchez-Ruiz -- 0 of 17 = 0%​
Shaw -- 0 of 15 = 0%​
Total -- 12 of 70 = 19%​

Third-Round Losers (3 matches each)
Yapp -- 7 of 24 = 29%​
Ouschan -- 7 of 28 = 25%​
Total -- 14 of 52 = 27%​

Finalists (4 matches each)
Filler -- 3 of 37 = 8%​
Gorst -- 15 of 32 = 47%
Total -- 18 of 69 = 26%​

Total -- 53 of 261 = 20%

As mentioned in post #1, the 53 break-and-run games consisted of 1 alternate-break 5-pack (by Yapp), 1 alternate-break 4-pack (Gorst), 1 alternate-break 3-pack (Kazakis), 6 alternate-break 2-packs, and 29 singles.

The players who broke in the 5 games in this event that are not included in the stats (because the stream was down) were Corteza (1 game), Garcia (2 games), and Yapp (2 games).
 
... break-and-run results for each player. ...

Finalists (4 matches each)
Filler -- 3 of 37 = 8%​
Gorst -- 15 of 32 = 47%
Total -- 18 of 69 = 26%​
...
When Filler won this event last year, his B&R% was 27%. When he won the Bigfoot event at the DCC this year, his B&R% was 47%.

A B&R starts, of course, with a successful break. Filler broke successfully on only 41% of his breaks in this event this year (vs. 67% for the rest of the field), compared with his 52% in this event last year and 75% at the DCC Bigfoot this year.
 
Great stats!

The only stat I can add is everyone is playing for 3rd, looks like it will be this way for a long time to come.

Great stats! Thank you very much
 
Mean of Accu-Stats Bigfoot match TPAs at the International Open:

■ For match winners
2022 -- .906 (based on 11 scores reported)​
2021 -- .874 (12)​

■ For match losers
2022 -- .838 (10)​
2021 -- .820 (11)​

■ Total
2022 -- .874 (21)​
2021 -- .848 (23)​

[These mean values are likely to be a little different from aggregate TPAs calculated for each of these 3 groups.]
 
TPAs in the 900s and Fedor Gorst

Of the 23 TPAs posted for Bigfoot matches at the International Open in 2021 and 2022, 10 have been in the 900s.

Of the 240 TPAs posted for the Bigfoot matches at the Derby City Classic in 2014 through 2022, 44 have been in the 900s.

Fedor Gorst this week posted two scores of .970, the highest in any of these 10 events. The highest 3 scores posted previously were .957 by Van Boening (2015), .956 by Filler (2019), and .951 by Shaw (2017).

Gorst played a total of 8 Bigfoot matches in the 2022 DCC (second place to Filler) and 2022 International (1st place). His TPAs were in the 900s for all 8 matches. At the DCC he averaged .934 and at the International he averaged .957. Just amazing!

[But he isn't infallible -- he lost his first match at the International last year, with a TPA of .797.]
 
TPAs in the 900s and Fedor Gorst

Of the 23 TPAs posted for Bigfoot matches at the International Open in 2021 and 2022, 10 have been in the 900s.

Of the 240 TPAs posted for the Bigfoot matches at the Derby City Classic in 2014 through 2022, 44 have been in the 900s.

Fedor Gorst this week posted two scores of .970, the highest in any of these 10 events. The highest 3 scores posted previously were .957 by Van Boening (2015), .956 by Filler (2019), and .951 by Shaw (2017).

Gorst played a total of 8 Bigfoot matches in the 2022 DCC (second place to Filler) and 2022 International (1st place). His TPAs were in the 900s for all 8 matches. At the DCC he averaged .934 and at the International he averaged .957. Just amazing!

[But he isn't infallible -- he lost his first match at the International last year, with a TPA of .797.]

.970 twice and .957 avg is sick. what has his TPA been in the 9-ball?
 
.970 twice and .957 avg is sick. what has his TPA been in the 9-ball?
I just started watching the 9-Ball today, with the Last 16 matches. They credited Gorst with .986 in his match with Neuhausen, but I think that was incorrect. I explained why in the "9-Ball Schedule" thread.
 
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