Break Stats -- 2022 U.S. Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), October 2022


AzB Gold Member
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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the last 3 days of the 6-day 2022 US Open Pool Championship played October 10-15 at Harrah's Resort Atlantic City, in New Jersey. Streaming was free on the first 4 days (I watched on and by pay-per-view on the last 2 days (on DAZN in the USA). This was a 256-player 9-Ball event produced by Matchroom Sport. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz won the tournament, defeating Max Lechner in the final match.

The event was double elimination down to the final 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side). It was then single-elimination play from that point to the conclusion. Races were of 5 different lengths during the 6 days -- to 8 in the first 3 rounds on the losers' side, to 9 for all other rounds up to the Last 16, to 10 for the Last 16 round and for the quarterfinals, to 11 for the semifinals, and to 13 for the finals. The commentators in these streamed matches were Michael McMullan, Phil Yates, Jeremy Jones, and Karl Boyes. The referees were Brendan Moore, Marcel Eckardt, Desislava Bozhilova, and John Leyman. Hannah Wilkes did some announcing and interviewing.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches I tracked included:
• Diamond 9-foot tables with 4 1/4" corner pockets;​
• Simonis 860 shark grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-dots cue ball;​
• Racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot (2-ball not necessarily in back location);​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to each side of the long string;​
• no 3-point (illegal-break) rule, but referees enforce a "forceful break" requirement;​
• no shot clock until the last 16 players, then a 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 13 matches (205 games) streamed on the final three days on the feature table with commentary (Table 1 on Thursday and the "TV Table" on Friday and Saturday). These matches constituted just 2.7% of the total of 475 matches played in the tournament (4 scheduled matches did not occur because of withdrawals and forfeits), but 21% of the matches in the single-elimination portion of the event (final 64 players). These 13 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Thursday, Oct. 13
1. Lee Vann Corteza defeated Jayson Shaw 9-2 (Last 64)​
2. Tyler Styer d. Fedor Gorst 9-7 (Last 64)​
3. Alex Kazakis d. Shane Van Boening 9-8 (Last 64)​
4. Carlo Biado d. Naoyuki Oi 9-6 (Last 32)​
5. Joshua Filler d. Styer 9-6 (Last 32)​

Fri. Oct 14
6. Chris Melling d. Corteza 10-2 (Last 16)​
7. Eklent Kaçi d. Filler 10-1 (Last 16)​
8. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Chang Jung-Lin 10-5 (Last 16)​
9. Sanchez-Ruiz d. Kazakis 10-8 (Quarterfinal)​
10. Carlo Biado d. Hsieh Chia-Chen 10-0 (Quarterfinal)​

Sat. Oct 15
11. Sanchez-Ruiz d. Biado 11-10 (Semifinal)​
12. Max Lechner d. Ko Ping Chung 11-10 (Semifinal)​
13. Sanchez-Ruiz d. Lechner 13-10 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 85% (104 of 123)​
Match losers -- 71% (58 of 82)​
Total -- 79% (162 of 205)​
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 67% (83 of 123)​
Match losers -- 43% (35 of 82)​
Total -- 58% (118 of 205)​
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 37% (45 of 123)​
Match losers -- 26% (21 of 82)​
Total -- 32% (66 of 205)​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 43% (45 of 104)​
Match losers -- 36% (21 of 58)​
Total -- 41% (66 of 162)​

Here's a breakdown of the 205 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 105 (51% of the 205 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 57 (28%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 4 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game:11 (5%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 9 (4%)​
Breaker lost the game: 19 (9%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 58% (118 of 205) of all games,​
He won 65% (105 of 162) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 30% (13 of 43) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 66 break-and-run games represented 32% of all 205 games, 56% of the 118 games won by the breaker, and 41% of the 162 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 66 break-and-run games consisted of 5 three-packs (2 by Sanchez-Ruiz and 1 each by Corteza, Styer, and Ko P-C), 12 two-packs, and 27 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 66 break-and-run games included 5 9-balls on the break (2.4% of all breaks) -- 2 by Sanchez-Ruiz and 1 each by Styer, Van Boening, and Ko P-C). Another 9-ball was made on a fouled break, so it was spotted.
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AzB Gold Member
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Miscellany from the data for the 2022 US Open Pool (9-Ball) Championship:
[This relates only to the 13 matches I tracked on the final three days, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done twice -- once each by Styer (included the 9-ball) and Sanchez-Ruiz (a win by B&R).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.3 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5.

• Number of innings:
54% (110 of 205) of the games ended in one inning – 66 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 44 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
37% (76 of 205) of the games ended on the second or third inning.​
9% (19 of 205) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's third visit to the table, with the longest two games ending on the breaker's 7th visit.​

• 43% (88 of 205) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 41% (66 of 162)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 73% (11 of 15)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 39% (11 of 28)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 70% of the time (139 of 200)​
- Won the game in a later inning 11% of the time (21 of 200)​
- Lost the game 20% of the time (40 of 200)​
[Note -- total games used here are 200 rather than 205 to eliminate the 5 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• Three of the matches went to hill/hill. The most lopsided match was one at 10-0.

• The average minutes per game for all 205 games was 6.8. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were significant in these matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each.

• The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.3, was Melling d. Corteza 10-2. The match highest in average minutes per game (it was prior to the use of the shot clock), at 7.7, was Styer d. Gorst 9-7.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 13.7 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.3 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.6 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 40% of all games and in about 58% of games that were not B&Rs.


AzB Gold Member
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Is that an abnormally high successful break percentage?
For events with the 9-ball racked on the spot and breaking from a box, yes this 79% result is high. It was even higher (84%) for the recent SVB/Orcollo challenge match in the Philippines, but the corners there were 4½" instead vs. 4¼" here, and the box was slightly wider there. And it was 75% last week at Sandcastle, but, again, the pockets were 4½".

The good breakers have pretty much figured out how to make a ball on the break in this format with a template. In the Sanchez-Ruiz/Lechner final match today, they made the 1-ball in the side pocket in all 23 games (although 3 were fouled breaks).


AzB Silver Member
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23 consecutive games? As they used to say on TV, “these guys are good.”

At least it’s not the wing ball, which is downright boring to watch go in over and over again.