Break Stats -- 2022 World 8-Ball Championship, November 2022

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2022 World 8-Ball Championship played November 19-22, 2022 at the Puerto Rico Convention Center in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Streaming was free on Billiard TV, YouTube, and Facebook. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz won the event, defeating Wiktor Zielinski in the final match. The main commentators were Marcus Chamat, Tim De Ruyter, Tony Robles, Mark White, and Jim Wych. The main referees were John Leyman and Dwayne Payne.

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Predator Apex 9-foot table (4¼" corner pockets);​
- Predator Arcadia cloth (blue);​
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
- Predator Arena lights;​
- referee racks using a Predator Aerorack triangle rack;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- table open after the break;​
- ball in hand behind the head string after a foul on the break;​
- for an 8-ball made on the break, it is breaker's choice to spot the 8-ball and continue shooting or to re-break;​
- call shots;​
- foul on all balls;​
- 3-foul rule not in effect;​
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

This was a 127-player event, with double elimination down to 32 players (16 on the winners' side and 16 on the one-loss side), and then single elimination to the end. These stats are for all 16 matches streamed on feature Table 1 plus 3 matches streamed on feature Table 2 when junior tournament final matches were being shown on Table 1 on Monday. These 19 matches (244 games) were 8.2% of the total of 233 matches played in the event (237 scheduled for 127 players less 4 forfeits). They are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Saturday, Nov. 19
1. Shane Van Boening defeated Alan Rolon 8-3​
2. Chang Jung-Lin d. Tim De Ruyter 8-6​
3. Jayson Shaw d. Dimitris Loukatos 8-7​
4. Joshua Filler d. Mateusz Sniegocki 8-2​

Sunday, Nov. 20
5. Ko Pin Yi d. Thorsten Hohmann 8-3​
6. Petri Makkonen d. Masato Yoshioka 8-6​
7. Konrad Juszczyszyn d. Ralf Souquet 8-6​
8. Fedor Gorst d. Aloysius Yapp 8-4​
9. Wiktor Zielinski d. Rolon 8-3​
10. Mickey Krause d. Naoyuki Oi 8-4​

Monday, Nov. 21
11. Max Lechner d. Jonas Souto 8-1​
12. Van Boening d. Wu Kun Lin 8-6​
13. Gorst d. Sniegocki 8-0​
14. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Gorst 10-5​
15. Shaw d. Filler 10-8​

Tuesday, Nov. 22
16. Shaw d. Alex Pagulayan 5-1, match conceded because of injury (Quarterfinal)​
17. Sanchez-Ruiz d. He 10-7 (Semifinal)​
18. Zielinski d. Shaw 10-7 (Semifinal)​
19. Sanchez-Ruiz d. Zielinski 10-6 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 64% (94 of 148)​
Match losers -- 48% (46 of 96)​
Total -- 57% (140 of 244)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 70% (103 of 148)​
Match losers -- 42% (40 of 96)​
Total -- 59% (143 of 244)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 50% (74 of 148)​
Match losers -- 29% (28 of 96)​
Total -- 42% (102 of 244)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 79% (74 of 94)​
Match losers -- 61% (28 of 46)​
Total -- 73% (102 of 140)

Here's a breakdown of the 244 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 110 (45% of the 244 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 30 (12%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 15 (6%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 31 (13%)​
Breaker lost the game: 56 (23%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 59% (143 of 244) of all games,​
He won 79% (110 of 140) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 32% (33 of 104) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 102 break-and-run games represented 42% of all 244 games, 71% of the 143 games won by the breaker, and 73% of the 140 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 102 break-and-run games consisted of 1 7-pack (by Gorst), 2 5-packs (Ko PY and Sanchez-Ruiz), 2 4-packs (Souquet and Lechner), 7 3-packs, 9 2-packs, and 38 singles.

8-balls on the break -- 5 (2.0% of all 244 breaks). In each case, the breaker chose to spot the 8-ball and continue playing rather than re-breaking.
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2022 World 8-Ball Championship
[This relates only to the 19 matches I tracked, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 5 times -- once each by Chang, Filler, Krause, He, and Zielinski. All 5 became B&R wins.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.8 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3.

• Number of innings:
77% (188 of 244) of the games ended in one inning – 102 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 86 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
19% (47 of 244) of the games ended in the second inning.​
4% (9 of 244) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with two real long games -- one ending on the breaker's 12th visit and one ending on the breaker's 29th visit.​

• 67% (163 of 244) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 73% (102 of 140)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 76% (13 of 17)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 55% (48 of 87)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 71% of the time (174 of 244)​
- Won the game in a later inning 7% of the time (18 of 244)​
- Lost the game 21% of the time (52 of 244)​

• For the 13 races to 8 (i.e., excluding the 6 races to 10) the match loser won an average of 3.9 games. Of all 19 matches, only one went to hill/hill; the fewest games won in a match was 0.

• The race to 8 that was both longest in elapsed time, at about 103 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.4, was Makkonen d. Yoshioka 8-6. The longest race to 10 was about 118 minutes for Sanchez-Ruiz d. He 10-7. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking, timeouts, and commercial beaks. These breaks, about one minute for some and two minutes for others, often occurred after every two or three games.

• The shortest match in elapsed time, at about 48½ minutes, was Gorst d. Sniegocki 8-0. The match that was lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.6, was Krause d. Oi 8-4.

• The average elapsed times were 67 minutes for the 13 races to 8 and 96 minutes for the 5 full races to 10 (excludes the match conceded after 6 games). The average minutes per game for all 19 matches was 5.7.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 14.4 games, other fouls 1 for every 12.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.9 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 8% of all games and in about 14% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 64% (94 of 148)
Match losers -- 48% (46 of 96)
Total -- 57% (140 of 244)


This sure makes me feel better about my 8-ball break :LOL:
 
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