Break Stats -- 2023 World 8-Ball Championship, October 2023

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2023 World 8-Ball Championship played October 17-22, 2023 at the Sportpark Klagenfurt in Klagenfurt, Austria. Streaming was free on Billiard TV and YouTube. Shane Van Boening won the event, defeating Sanjin Pehlivanovic in the final match.

The commentators for the matches I tracked were Tim De Ruyter, Eric Hjorleifson, George Teyechea, Benjamin Balhassen, Daryl Peach, and Albin Ouschan. The referees were all from the EPBF (European Pocket Billiard Federation), but I do not know their names except for the referee in the Final -- Roman Mirakhmedov, who is the EPBF head referee.

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Predator Apex 9-foot table (4¼" corner pockets);​
- Predator Arcadia cloth (blue);​
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
- Predator Arena lights;​
- referee racks using a Predator Aerorack triangle rack;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- table open after the break;​
- ball in hand behind the head string after a foul on the break;​
- for an 8-ball made on the break, it is breaker's choice to spot the 8-ball and continue shooting or to re-break;​
- call shots;​
- foul on all balls;​
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

This was a 92-player event (96 planned), with double elimination down to 32 players (16 on the winners' side and 16 on the one-loss side), and then single elimination to the end. These stats are for 18 matches -- all 9 matches streamed on feature Table 1 on Days 1 and 2 plus all all 9 matches streamed on feature Tables 1 and 2 on Days 3-6. These 18 matches (254 games) were 11 % of the total of 166 matches played in the event (175 scheduled for 96 players less 9 not played because of forfeits and a withdrawal), including 29% (9 of 31) of the matches played in the single-elimination stage of the event. The 18 matches are as follows:

Tuesday, October 17
1. Oliver Szolnoki defeated Niels Feijen 8-6​
2. Aleksa Pecelj d. Joey Tate 8-0​
3. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Roman Hybler 8-1​
4. Chang Yu Lung d. Shane Van Boening 8-6​
5. Mieszko Fortunski d. Francesco Candela 8-5​
6. Pijus Labutis d. Joey Tate 8-6​

Wednesday, Oct. 18
7. Naoyuki Oi d. Albin Ouschan 8-1​
8. Van Boening d. Hsieh Chia Chen 8-2​
9. David Alcaide d. Ralf Souquet 8-5​

Thursday, Oct. 19
10. Van Boening d. Ouschan 10-8 [Last 32]​
11. Sanchez-Ruiz d. Mika Immonen 10-3 [Last 32]​

Friday, Oct. 20
12. Max Lechner d. Joshua Filler 10-9 [Last 16]​
13. Van Boening d. Alex Kazakis 10-4 [Last 16]​

Saturday, Oct. 21
14. Van Boening d. Sanchez-Ruiz 10-5 (Quarterfinal)​
15. Sanjin Pehlivanovic d. Mario He 10-7 (Quarterfinal)​
16. Pehlivanovic d. Lechner 10-8 (Semifinal)​
17. Van Boening d. Szewczyk 10-9 (Semifinal)​

Sunday, Oct. 22
18. Van Boening d. Pehlivanovic 10-7 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 54% (83 of 153)​
Match losers -- 42% (42 of 101)​
Total -- 49% (125 of 254)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 64% (98 of 153)​
Match losers -- 37% (37 of 101)​
Total -- 53% (135 of 254)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 43% (66 of 153)​
Match losers -- 29% (29 of 101)​
Total -- 37% (95 of 254)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 80% (66 of 83)​
Match losers -- 69% (29 of 42)​
Total -- 76% (95 of 125)

Here's a breakdown of the 254 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 101 (40% of the 254 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 24 (9%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 12 (5%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 32 (13%)​
Breaker lost the game: 83 (33%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 53% (135 of 254) of all games,​
He won 81% (101 of 125) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 26% (34 of 129) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 95 break-and-run games represented 37% of all 254 games, 70% of the 135 games won by the breaker, and 76% of the 125 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 95 break-and-run games consisted of 3 5-packs (one each by Pecelj, Filler, and Van Boening), 1 4-pack (Lechner), 2 3-packs (Ouschan and Lechner), 19 2-packs, and 32 singles.

8-balls on the break -- 3, including one on a foul (1.2% of all 254 breaks). In each case, the breaker chose to spot the 8-ball and continue playing rather than re-breaking.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2023 World 8-Ball Championship
[This relates only to the 18 matches I tracked, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 9 times -- 8 B&R wins and 1 loss.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.8 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4.

• Number of innings:
78% (199 of 254) of the games ended in one inning – 95 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 104 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
15% (39 of 254) of the games ended in the second inning.​
6% (16 of 254) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 6th visit.​

• 70% (179 of 254) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 76% (95 of 125)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 79% (11 of 14)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 63% (73 of 115)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 73% of the time (186 of 254)​
- Won the game in a later inning 5% of the time (12 of 254)​
- Lost the game 22% of the time (56 of 254)​

• The match losers won an average of 3.6 games in the 9 races to 8 and 6.7 games in the 9 races to 10. Two went to hill/hill (Lechner d. Filler and Van Boening d. Szewczyk); the fewest games won in a match was 0 (Pecelj d. Tate).

• The race to 8 that was both longest in elapsed time, at about 103 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.4, was Szolnoki d. Feijen 8-6. The longest race to 10 was about 122 minutes for Van Boening d. Szewczyk 10-9. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking, timeouts, and commercial beaks. These breaks, some quite brief and some up to two minutes, usually occurred after every four games (but none in the Final).

• The shortest match in elapsed time, at about 40 minutes, was Pecelj d. Tate 8-0. The match that was lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.5, was Lechner d. Filler 10-9.

• The average elapsed times were 68 minutes for the 9 races to 8 and 97 minutes for the 9 races to 10. The average minutes per game for all 18 matches was 5.8.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 18.1 games, other fouls 1 for every 15.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.9 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 9% of all games and in about 14% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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Dunno whether it is relevant or not, but racking area was not tapped at Klagenfurt events.
 
I wonder how this compares to typical pro 8 ball tournaments?

Number of innings:
78% (199 of 254) of the games ended in one inning – 95 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 104 games on the non-breaker's first inning.
15% (39 of 254) of the games ended in the second inning.
 
I wonder how this compares to typical pro 8 ball tournaments?

Number of innings:
78% (199 of 254) of the games ended in one inning – 95 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 104 games on the non-breaker's first inning.
15% (39 of 254) of the games ended in the second inning.
Past events processed by AtLarge include last year's WC8B in Puerto Rico:

And some other stuff:



Luckily he processed those, otherwise we'd have to tie him up and make watching a US Open 8-Ball or any other pro event to come up with comparable data 😁
 
A few stats on the semifinal matches (mostly repeated from a post yesterday on another thread) and the final match:

Semi: Pehlivanovic defeated Lechner 10-8
- Successful breaks numbered 11. All 11 became B&Rs, 6 by Pehlivanovic and 5 by Lechner.​
- Dry breaks numbered 7. 6 of the 7 were run out by the non-breaker on his first, and only, visit.​
- So 17 of the 18 games ended in 1 inning. The other game ended on the breaker's second visit.​
- The only miss or foul by either player in the entire match was Lechner's miss on the 8-ball (in Game 16, leading 8-7) after bad position from his last solid.​

Semi: Van Boening defeated Szewczyk 10-9
- SVB was dry on 7 of 10 breaks, Szewczyk was dry or fouled on 7 of 9.​
- B&Rs numbered 1 -- by SVB.​
- Each player missed 4 shots (counting a couple of 2-ways as safeties).​
- SVB fouled once, Szewczyk twice (on 2 breaks).​
- 1-inning games -- 15 of 19 (14 runout by the non-breaker on his first visit)​

Final: Van Boening defeated Pehlivanovic 10-7
- Successful breaks -- 5 of 10 by SVB, 1 of 7 by SP​
- Breaker won game -- 4 of 10 for SVB, 1 of 7 for SP​
- B&Rs -- 1 of 10 for SVB, none for SP​
- Missed shots -- 2 each​
- Fouls -- 2 for SVB, none for SP​
- 1-inning games -- 15 of 17​
- 2nd visits by breaker -- 2​
- Visits beyond breaker's 2nd -- none​
 
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Comparing stats for the World 8-Ball Championships of 2022 and 2023
(based on the matches I tracked -- 244 games in 2022, 254 games in 2023)


The break was tougher this year than last. Too much wiener schnitzel, apple strudel, and beer? But things were similar or slightly better this year after the break. Results for 2022 first, then 2023.

Successful breaks -- 57%, 49%​
Breaker won the game -- 59%, 53%​
B&Rs on all breaks -- 42%, 37%​
B&Rs on successful breaks -- 73%, 76%​
Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 67%, 70%​
Runouts by the player who made the first ball after the break, in that same inning -- 71%, 73%​
Games won by the player at the table following the break -- 74%, 77%​
Games ending in one inning -- 77%, 78%​
Games involving safeties, in all games -- 8%, 9%​
Games involving safeties, in games that were not B&Rs -- 14%, 14%​
Average number of balls made on all breaks -- 0.8, 0.8​
Average number of balls made on successful breaks -- 1.3, 1.4​
Games per breaking foul -- 14.4, 18.8​
Games per foul other than breaking fouls -- 12.8, 15.9​
Games per missed shot -- 2.9, 2.9​
Average number of minutes per game (including timeouts and commercial breaks) -- 5.7, 5.8​
 
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Comparing stats for the World 8-Ball Championships of 2022 and 2023
(based on the matches I tracked -- 244 games in 2022, 254 games in 2023)


The break was tougher this year than last. Too much wiener schnitzel, apple strudel, and beer? But things were similar or slightly better this year after the break. Results for 2022 first, then 2023.

Successful breaks -- 57%, 49%​
Breaker won the game -- 59%, 53%​
B&Rs on all breaks -- 42%, 37%​
B&Rs on successful breaks -- 73%, 76%​
Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 67%, 70%​
Runouts by the player who made the first ball after the break, in that same inning -- 71%, 73%​
Games won by the player at the table following the break -- 74%, 77%​
Games ending in one inning -- 77%, 78%​
Games involving safeties, in all games -- 8%, 9%​
Games involving safeties, in games that were not B&Rs -- 14%, 14%​
Average number of balls made on all breaks -- 0.8, 0.8​
Average number of balls made on successful breaks -- 1.3, 1.4​
Games per breaking foul -- 14.4, 18.8​
Games per foul other than breaking fouls -- 12.8, 15.9​
Games per missed shot -- 2.9, 2.9​
Average number of minutes per game (including timeouts and commercial breaks) -- 5.7, 5.8​

Thank you. I thought there were a lot of one inning games this year, but apparently no real difference over last year.
 
I'm surprised at the the percentage of successful breaks, I would have guessed much higher. I guess the 4 1/4" pockets are a big factor in the rate of successful breaks.
 
For future reference, in case I can't find it easily elsewhere, here is Shane's path to victory in the 2023 World 8-Ball Championship:

1. Bye​
2. Chang Yu Lung 6-8​
3. Sina Valizadeh 8-0​
4. Hsieh Chia Chen 8-2​
5. Daniel Gutenberger 8-6​
6. Albin Ouschan 10-8​
7. Alex Kazakis 10-4​
8. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz 10-5​
9. Wojciech Szewczyk 10-9​
10. Sanjin Pehlivanovic 10-7​
Total -- 80-49 (winning percentage 62%)​
And, for comparison, here is his path to victory in the 2022 World Pool Championship (9-Ball):

1. Waleed Majid 9-4​
2. Jan Van Lierop 9-6​
3. Bahram Lotfy 11-9​
4. Mika Immonen 11-10​
5. Ko Pin-Yi 11-8​
6. Chang Jung-Lin 11-8​
7. Alex Kazakis 11-7​
8. Albin Ouschan 13-6​
Total -- 86-58 (winning percentage 60%)​
 
For the 18 matches I tracked (which included Shane in 7 of them):

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Van Boening -- 51% (32 of 63)​
All others -- 49% (93 of 191)​
Total -- 49 % (125 of 254)​
Breaker won game:
Van Boening -- 56% (35 of 63)​
All others -- 52% (100 of 191)​
Total -- 53% (135 of 254)​
Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
Van Boening -- 40% (25 of 63)​
All others -- 37% (70 of 191)​
Total -- 37% (95 of 254)​
Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks:
Van Boening -- 78% (25 of 32)​
All others -- 75% (70 of 93)​
Total -- 76% (95 of 125)​

Shane played in 9 matches in this event. The 2 not included in the matches I tracked for posts #1 and #2 were played on Days 1 and 2 on Table 2 versus Valizadeh and Gutenberger. But those 2 matches are on YouTube, and I have now also watched them. They improve SVB's overall stats (includes all 9 of his matches) as follows:

Successful breaks -- 55% (43 of 78)​
Breaker won game -- 62% (48 of 78)​
B&Rs, on all breaks -- 44% (34 of 78)​
B&Rs, on successful breaks -- 79% (34 of 43)​
 
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