Break Stats -- Bar Box Classic 8-Ball, May 2021

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate statistics from the inaugural Bar Box Classic, 8-Ball Division, played May 5-7 at Leisure Time Billiards & Sports Bar in East Moline, Illinois. Pay-per-view streaming was provided by PoolActionTV. The primary commentators were Larry Schwartz (remotely) and Ray Hansen (on site). Others who commentated some were Jerry Johnson, Joe Villalpando, Dave Coles, and John Gabriel.

This was a 38-player, double-elimination event with all races to 9. The winner was Shane Van Boening, defeating Dennis Orcollo in the final match (second set not needed). The stats are for all 12 matches on the primary streaming table; this represented 16% of the total of 74 matches played in the event.

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Valley 7-foot table with Ridgeback Rails and generous pockets;​
- new Simonis 860 Tournament Blue cloth;​
- Aramith Premier balls;​
- triangle rack;​
- rack your own, with the head ball on the spot and two balls of the same group on the back corners;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- take the group you make more of on the break (table open if breaker makes same number of each group, or fouls, or breaks dry);​
- ball in hand behind the head string after a foul on the break;​
- for an 8-ball made on the break, it is breaker's choice to spot the 8-ball and continue shooting or to re-break;​
- call shots;​
- jump cues not allowed;​
- cue ball fouls only; and​
- no shot clock.​

The 12 matches (172 games) streamed and tracked were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played.

Wednesday, May 5, 2021
1. Shane Van Boening defeated Sergio Rivas 9-4​
2. Warren Kiamco d. Julio Burgos 9-6​

Thursday, May 6
3. Corey Deuel d. Ikwe Runnels 9-6​
4. Jesse Bowman d. John Morra 9-7​
5. Van Boening d. Deuel 9-6​
6. Blake Baker d. Dennis Orcollo 9-6​
7. David Matlock d. Chad Vilmont 9-7​
8. Van Boening d. John Gabriel 9-1​

Friday, May 7
9. Van Boening d. Bowman 9-5 (Hotseat match)​
10. Orcollo d. Deuel 9-5 (loser 4th)​
11. Orcollo d. Bowman 9-8 (Semifinal)​
12. Van Boening d. Orcollo 9-3 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 72% (75 of 104) for match winners, 60% (41 of 68) for match losers, and 67% (116 of 172) in total

Breaker won the game -- 64% (67 of 104) for match winners, 40% (27 of 68) for match losers, and 55% (94 of 172) in total

Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 43% (45 of 104) for match winners, 28% (19 of 68) for match losers, and 37% (64 of 172) in total

Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 60% (45 of 75) for match winners, 46% (19 of 41) for match losers, and 55% (64 of 116) in total

Here's a breakdown of the 172 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 76 (44% of the 172 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 40 (23%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 5 (3%)​
Breaker lost the game: 13 (8%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 13 (8%)​
Breaker lost the game: 25 (15%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 55% (94 of 172) of all games,
He won 73% (76 of 116) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 32% (18 of 56) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 64 break-and-run games represented 37% of all 172 games, 68% of the 94 games won by the breaker, and 55 of the 116 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 64 break-and-run games consisted of 1 4-pack (by Van Boening), 4 3-packs (2 by Orcollo and 1 each by Kiamco and Bowman), 13 2-packs, and 22 singles.

8-Balls on the break -- 7 8-balls were made on the break (4% of all breaks). The breaker chose to rebreak once; the other 6 were spotted.
 
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AtLarge

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Miscellany from the data for the 2021 Bar Box Classic, 8-Ball Division:
[This relates only to the 12 streamed matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 5, done twice (once each by Deuel and Orcollo); both games were won by B&R.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.2 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.7.

• 74% (128 of 172) of the games ended in one inning – 37% (64) won by the breaker (B&R) and also 37% (64) won by the non-breaker. 21% (36) ended in the second inning, and the remaining 5% (8 games) ended in the third inning (5 or 6 visits).

• 55% (95 of 172) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 55% (64 of 116)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 61% (11 of 18)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 53% (20 of 38)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 66% of the time (113 of 172)​
- Won the game in a later inning 9% of the time (16 of 172)​
- Lost the game 25% of the time (43 of 172)​

• The loser won an average of 5.3 games. Only one match went to hill/hill; the most lopsided match was 9-1.

• The average elapsed time for the 12 matches was about 74 minutes, or 5.1 minutes per game. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was both longest in elapsed time, at 118 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.4, was Matlock d. Vilmont 9-7.

• The match that was both shortest in elapsed time, at 47 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 3.9, was Van Boening d. Orcollo 9-3.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 9.6 games, other fouls also 1 for every 9.6 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.5 games.

• About 12% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 

terryhanna

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Great stuff!! Thanks AtLarge for doing these.

It really gives some great insight to the event details.
 

AtLarge

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Anybody know if other match scores are tabulated anywhere for this tournament?
Sorry, Mike. A hand-written flow chart with most of the match results (winner/loser) is on PoolActionTV's Facebook page, but it does not show the match scores.
 
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