Break Stats -- 2024 Hanoi Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), October 2024

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2024 Hanoi Open Pool Championship played October 8-13, 2024 at the Hanoi Indoor Games Gymnasium in Hanoi, Vietnam. Streaming was provided free on YouTube and by pay-per-view on DAZN on the weekend in the USA. This was a 246-player 9-Ball event (256 planned, about 10 no-shows), produced by Matchroom Sport, with double elimination down to 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side) and then single-elimination to the end. Johann Chua won the tournament, defeating Ko Pin Yi in the final match.

For the 7 matches I tracked, the commentators were Phil Yates, Michael McMullan, Jeremy Jones, and Karl Boyes. The referees on Sunday were Marcel Eckardt and Ben Taylor-Fuente. The referees on Saturday were several from the host country; I did not hear their names. The announcer/interviewer was Abigail Davies, and the Master of Ceremonies was Vuong Tat Hien.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches I tracked included:
• Rasson Mr-Sung Acurra 9-foot table with 4" corner pockets (according to Jeremy Jones);​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• a 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break or a push out), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for the 7 matches (113 games) played on the "TV Table" on the weekend. These 7 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Saturday, October 12
1. Johann Chua defeated Jeffrey Ignacio 10-3 (Last 16)​
2. Carlo Biado d. Ko Ping Chung 10-7 (Last 16)​
3. Ko Pin Yi d. Jayson Shaw 10-9 (Quarterfinal)​
4. Biado d. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz 10-5 (Quarterfinal)​

Sunday, October 13
5. Ko PY d. Jefrey Roda 11-2 (Semifinal)​
6. Chua d. Biado 11-5 (Semifinal)​
7. Chua d. Ko PY 13-7 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 79% (56 of 71)​
Match losers -- 62% (26 of 42)​
Total -- 73% (82 of 113)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 75% (53 of 71)​
Match losers -- 48% (20 of 42)​
Total -- 65% (73 of 113)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 34% (24 of 71)​
Match losers -- 21% (9 of 42)​
Total -- 29% (33 of 113)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 43% (24 of 56)​
Match losers -- 35% (9 of 26)​
Total -- 40% (33 of 82)

Here's a breakdown of the 113 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 62 (55% of the 113 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 20 (18%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 1 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 4 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 10 (9%)​
Breaker lost the game: 16 (14%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 65% (73 of 113) of all games,​
He won 76% (62 of 82) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 35% (11 of 31) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 33 break-and-run games represented 29% of all 113 games, 45% of the 73 games won by the breaker, and 40% of the 82 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 33 break-and-run games consisted of two 3-packs (one each by Chua and Ko PC), eight 2-packs, and 11 singles. No one in these 7 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.

9-Balls on the break -- The 33 break-and-run games included 3 9-balls on the break (2.7% of all breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2024 Hanoi Open Pool Championship (9-Ball):
[This relates only to the 7 streamed matches I tracked, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just once, by Biado. He won the game but not by B&R. Three balls were made on the break 5 times. The breaker won 4 of those games (2 by B&R and 1 by a 9 on the break) and lost 1.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5, and the distribution was 63% 1 ball, 29% 2 balls, and 7% 3 or 4 balls.

• Number of innings:
44% (50 of 113) of the games ended in one inning – 56 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 33 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
18% (20 of 113) of the games ended in the second inning.​
38% (43 of 113) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 11th visit.​

• 35% ( 40 of 113) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 40% (33 of 82)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 60% (3 of 5)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 15% (4 of 26)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 58% of the time (64 of 110)​
- Won the game in a later inning 22% of the time (24 of 110)​
- Lost the game 20% of the time (22 of 110)​
[Note -- total games used here are 110 rather than 113 to eliminate the 3 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The average minutes per game for all 7 matches was 6.6. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were significant in these matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each. The average minutes per game if there had been no commercial breaks is estimated at 6.1.

• The match that was highest in average minutes per game, at 7.2, was the Final, Chua d. Ko PY 13-7. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.4, was Chua d. Ignacio 10-3.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 22.6 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.4 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 49% of all games and in 69% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
2023 vs. 2024 Hanoi Open 9-Ball

How do the stats compare for this year's Hanoi Open Pool Championship versus last year's? Last year I tracked 12 matches in the single-elimination portion of the event vs. just 7 this year. So for this comparison I trimmed down last year's data to "the same" matches -- all 7 TV Table matches on Saturday and Sunday. This was 128 games in 2023 and 113 games in 2024.

The only difference between the two years in rules and equipment that I'm aware of is that the 2-ball was racked at random last year, whereas it had to be on one of the 2 wings or in the back location this year.

These stats are for 2023 first, then 2024.

• Successful breaks -- 76%, 73%​
• Breaker won the game -- 60%, 65%​
• B&R games on all breaks -- 27%, 29%​
• B&R games on successful breaks -- 36%, 40%​
• Games ending in 1 inning -- 43%, 44%​
• Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 28%, 38%​
• Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 33%, 35%​
• Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 79%, 80%​
• Avg. number of balls made on all breaks -- 1.0, 1.1​
• Avg. number of balls made on successful breaks -- 1.2, 1.5​
• Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 1.5, 1.4​
• Games per foul -- 4.4, 4.0​
• Games with one or more safeties -- 47%, 49%,​
• Games (excl. B&Rs) with one or more safeties -- 65%, 69%,​
• Minutes per game (including commercial breaks) -- 6.6, 6.6​
• Matches won by winner of lag -- 4 of 7, 3 of 7​
• Winning 9-balls on the break (% of all breaks) -- 3 (2.3%), 3 (2.7%)​

Fairly consistent (a few exceptions), even with so few matches!
 
Thanks for the stats. Great job.

Breaker won the game % highest we have seen in a long time at a Matchroom major. It is not at all surprising as, to the naked eye, the stream table played very loose and the runouts came easier than they have in quite a while.
 
great job as always. i noticed that dr dave has compiled your stats going back to 2011:


for those wanting to compare to old US opens etc.
 
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