Break Stats -- 2024 World 8-Ball Championship, September 2024

AtLarge

AzB Gold Member
Gold Member
Silver Member
Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2024 Yalin WPA Men's World 8-Ball Championship played September 2-8, 2024 at the Claudelands Events Centre (Globox Arena) in Hamilton, New Zealand. Streaming was free on YouTube's Billiard TV channel. Joshua Filler won the event, defeating Hsu Jui-An in the final match.

The commentators for the matches I tracked were Tim De Ruyter (on site), George Teyechea (on site), Mark White (remotely), and Eric Hjorleifson (remotely). The referees were from the EPBF (European Pocket Billiard Federation).

The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Predator Apex 9-foot table (4¼" corner pockets);​
- Predator Arcadia cloth (blue);​
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;​
- Predator Arena lights;​
- referee racks using a Predator Aerorack triangle rack;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- table open after the break;​
- ball in hand behind the head string after a foul on the break;​
- for an 8-ball made on the break, it is breaker's choice to spot the 8-ball and continue shooting or to re-break;​
- call shots;​
- foul on all balls;​
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break.​

This was a 64-player event, with double elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side), and then single elimination to the end. These stats are for 14 matches -- all 7 matches streamed on feature Table 1 on Days 1-3 plus all 7 matches streamed on feature Tables 1 and 2 on Days 4-7. These 14 matches (204 games) were 12% of the total of 113 matches played in the event (119 scheduled for 64 players less 6 not played because of forfeits), including 47% (7 of 15) of the matches played in the single-elimination stage of the event. The 14 matches are as follows:

Monday, September 2
1. Joshua Filler defeated Thorsten Hohmann 8-3​
2. Marco Teutscher d. Mieszko Fortunski 8-6​
3. Mario He d. Pham Phuong Nam 8-7​
4. Carlo Biado d. Kenko Suzuki 8-5​

Tues., Sept. 3
5. Naoyuki Oi d. Ralf Souquet 8-2​
6. Albin Ouschan d. Darren Appleton 8-5​

Wed., Sept. 4
7. Alex Kazakis d. Wojciech Szewczyk 8-7​

Thurs., Sept. 5
8. Teutscher d. Ouschan 10-6 [Last 16]​
9. Wu Kun Lin d. Alex Pagulayan 10-4 [Last 16]​

Fri., Sept. 6
10. Filler d. Chang Jung-Lin 10-8 [Quarterfinal]​
11. Hsu Jui-An d. Konrad Juszczyszyn 10-7 [Quarterfinal]​

Sat., Sept. 7
12. Filler d. Wu 10-2 (Semifinal)​
13. Hsu d. Teutscher 10-8 (Semifinal)​

Sun., Sept. 8
14. Filler d. Hsu 10-8 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 56% (68 of 121)​
Match losers -- 49% (41 of 83)​
Total -- 53% (109 of 204)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 67% (81 of 121)​
Match losers -- 46% (38 of 83)​
Total -- 58% (119 of 204)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 40% (49 of 121)​
Match losers -- 31% (26 of 83)​
Total -- 37% (75 of 204)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 72% (49 of 68)​
Match losers -- 63% (26 of 41)​
Total -- 69% (75 of 109)

Here's a breakdown of the 204 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 85 (42% of the 204 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 24 (12%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 5 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 3 (1%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 29 (14%)​
Breaker lost the game: 58 (28%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 58% (119 of 204) of all games,​
He won 78% (85 of 109) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 36% (34 of 95) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 75 break-and-run games represented 37% of all 204 games, 63% of the 119 games won by the breaker, and 69% of the 109 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 75 break-and-run games consisted of one 4-pack (Chang), four 3-packs (2 by Filler and 1 each by Ouschan and Hsu), 14 2-packs, and 31 singles.

8-balls on the break -- 3 (1.5% of all 204 breaks). In each case, the breaker chose to spot the 8-ball and continue playing rather than re-breaking.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2024 World 8-Ball Championship
[This relates only to the 14 matches I tracked, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just twice (both by Filler in B&Rs). Three balls were made on the break 9 times -- 6 B&R wins, 1 other win, and 2 losses.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.8 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5.

• Number of innings:
73% (148 of 204) of the games ended in one inning – 75 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 73 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
20% (40 of 204) of the games ended in the second inning.​
8% (16 of 204) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 8th visit.​

• 63% (129 of 204) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 69% (75 of 109)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 27% (2 of 8)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 60% (52 of 87)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 69% of the time (140 of 204)​
- Won the game in a later inning 7% of the time (15 of 204)​
- Lost the game 24% of the time (49 of 204)​

• Match losers won an average of 5.0 games in the 7 races to 8 and 6.1 games in the 7 races to 10. Two matches went to hill/hill (He d. Pham and Kazakis d. Szewczyk); the fewest games won in a match was 2 (Oi d. Souquet).

• The race to 8 that was both longest in elapsed time, at about 116 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 7.7, was He d. Pham 8-7. The race to 10 that was both longest in elapsed time, at about 128 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 8.0, was Teutscher d. Ouschan 10-6. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was both shortest in elapsed time, at about 54 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.9, was Filler d. Hohmann 8-3.

• The average elapsed times were 86 minutes for the 7 races to 8 and 102 minutes for the 7 races to 10. The average minutes per game for all 14 matches was 6.4.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 25.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 12.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.3 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 10% of all games and in about 16% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Here's a short version of how the 10-8 Filler/Hsu final match went, game by game.

F = Filler; H = Hsu

1. H B&R (0-1)
2. H dry; F ran all solids and missed the 8-ball; H ran out (0-2)
3. H B&R (0-3)
4. H wet, ran 4 solids and missed the 2-ball; F ran out (1-3)
5. F B&R (2-3)
6. F B&R (3-3)
7. F B&R (4-3)
8. F dry; H ran out (4-4)
9. H wet, missed the 7-ball; F ran out (5-4)
10. F wet, played poor safe; H ran out (5-5)
11. H dry; F ran out (6-5)
12. F dry; H ran out (6-6)
13. H B&R (6-7)
14. H dry; F ran out (7-7)
15. F B&R (8-7)
16. F dry; H ran out (8-8)
17. H dry; F ran out (9-8)
18. F B&R (10-8)

In 14 games -- the player at the table after the break ran out (8 B&Rs and 6 runouts by the non-breaker after dry breaks).
In 3 games -- the break was wet, but the breaker made a mistake and the non-breaker ran out.
In 1 game -- the break was dry, the non-breaker made a mistake, and the breaker ran out.

So, 17 1-inning games and 1 2-inning game.
 
Last edited:
... In 14 games -- the player at the table after the break ran out (8 B&Rs and 6 runouts by the non-breaker after dry breaks).
In 3 games -- the break was wet, but the breaker made a mistake and the non-breaker ran out.
In 1 game -- the break was dry, the non-breaker made a mistake, and the breaker ran out.

17 1-inning games and 1 2-inning game.
As I recall, in the IPT (8 ball) tournament in Reno, in a match that included Marlon Manalo, it went hill-hill, so 25 games. In those 25 games, the breaker returned to the table one time.

Pro 8 ball is very, very different from league 8 ball. There is no safety play. I find the pro version interesting to watch to see how they solve the problems.
 
Pro 8 ball is very, very different from league 8 ball. There is no safety play. I find the pro version interesting to watch to see how they solve the problems.

yea there is that, the problem solving. other than that these two made it look very, very easy in their semis and in the final. i wonder how many balls filler missed in the tournament as a whole?
 
... i wonder how many balls filler missed in the tournament as a whole?
He played 7 matches, 4 of which were in my stats. In those 4 matches he had a total of 5 missed shots.

His won/loss record in games for the 7 matches was 64-31, a winning percentage of 67%.
 
I’m curious whether side breaks or head ball breaks were the most successful.
That's a good question. I might make balls more often with a side break but I lose the cue ball and usually have poor spread. Overall, I do better when I stay within the Matchroom break box.

There's Accu- stats make it happen 8 ball event with Corey Deuel playing and Jason Shaw in the booth. Shaw talks about Corey complaining about clusters and Jason telling him "just break from the middle."
 
I’m curious whether side breaks or head ball breaks were the most successful.
Sorry, I don't have a count on that and don't want to guess.

In the final match, Hsu broke from near the long rail on his right side every time and was successful on 5 of 9. Filler broke 7 times from a bit to the right of center (successful 5 of 7) and twice from near the long rail on his right side (successful 1 of 2).
 
Last edited:
As I recall, in the IPT (8 ball) tournament in Reno, in a match that included Marlon Manalo, it went hill-hill, so 25 games. In those 25 games, the breaker returned to the table one time.

Pro 8 ball is very, very different from league 8 ball. There is no safety play. I find the pro version interesting to watch to see how they solve the problems.
I love to watch high level pro 8 ball as well . When I see the stat that almost 70% of the time they run out off a make - a - ball break on 4 1/4 inch pockets - truly shows the value of great stroke technique and just how well these present days top pros control the cue ball. Top level 8 ball like this just shows which players have the highest level of CB control and shot making along with having a very high level mind for the game.
 
Back
Top