Break Stats -- 2026 Arizona Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), August 2026

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2026 Arizona Open Pool Championship played August 13-16, 2026 at the Quechan Casino Resort in Winterhaven, CA (just outside Yuma, AZ). Pay-per-view streaming was provided in the USA on wnttv.com. This was a 114-player 9-Ball event produced by Matchroom Sport, with single elimination all the way. Denis Grabe won the tournament, defeating Aleksa Pecelj in the final match.

The commentators were Jeremy Jones, Karl Boyes, and Scott Frost. The announcer/interviewer was Jack Mitchell.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches I watched included:
• Diamond 9-foot table with 4" corner pockets;​
• CPBA Royal Apex Series grey cloth;​
• Dynaspheres Titan Series balls with a black-rotor-shaped-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball on one of the wings or in the back location;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees are to enforce a forceful-break requirement (called once, on Capito);​
• a 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (no violations);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 12 matches (196 games) played on feature Table 1 beginning with the round of the last 64 players. These matches were races to 10 except for the semifinals to 11 and the final to 13. These 12 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Friday, August 14
1. Shane Van Boening defeated Albin Ouschan 10-6 (Last 64)​
2. Carlo Biado d. Cristopher Tevez 10-6 (Last 64)​
3. Robbie Capito d. AJ Manas 10-6 (Last 64)​
4. Van Boening d. Felix Vogel 10-1 (Last 32)​
5. Capito d. Jayson Shaw 10-4 (Last 32)​

Saturday, August 15
6. Jesus Atencio d. Sanjin Pehlivanovic 10-4 (Last 16)​
7. Van Boening d. Biado 10-6 (Last 16)​
8. Denis Grabe d. Atencio 10-7 (Quarterfinal)​
9. Van Boening d. David Alcaide 10-8 (Quarterfinal)​

Sunday, August 16
10. Grabe d. Jefrey Roda 11-8 (Semifinal)​
11. Aleksa Pecelj d. Van Boening 11-10 (Semifinal)​
12. Grabe d. Pecelj 13-5 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 83% (101 of 122)​
Match losers -- 81% (60 of 74)​
Total -- 82% (161 of 196)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 65% (79 of 122)​
Match losers -- 38% (28 of 74)​
Total -- 55% (107 of 196)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 30% (36 of 122)​
Match losers -- 15% (11 of 74)​
Total -- 24% (47 of 196)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 36% (36 of 101)​
Match losers -- 18% (11 of 60)​
Total -- 29% (47 of 161)

Here's a breakdown of the 196 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 97 (49% of the 196 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 64 (33%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 1 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 8 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 9 (5%)​
Breaker lost the game: 17 (9%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 55% (107 of 196) of all games,​
He won 60% (97 of 161) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 29% (10 of 35) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 47 break-and-run games represented 24% of all 196 games, 44% of the 107 games won by the breaker, and 29% of the 161 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 47 break-and-run games consisted of three 3-packs (1 each by Biado, Capito, and Van Boening), seven 2-packs (2 by Van Boening, 2 by Grabe, and 1 each by Capito, Alcaide, and Pecelj), and 24 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 47 break-and-run games included 4 game-winning 9-balls on the break (2.0% of all 196 breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2026 Arizona Open Pool Championship (9-Ball):
[This relates only to the 12 streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

■ The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 5 times -- once each by Van Boening (in a game loss), Capito (a game win not by B&R), Atencio (a game win not by B&R, Alcaide (a game loss), and Pecelj (a game win not by B&R).

■ The average number of balls made on the break was 1.2 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 68% 1 ball, 29% 2 balls, and 3% 3 balls.

■ Number of innings:
• 48% (94 of 196) of the games ended in one inning – 48 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 26 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 21% (41 of 196 of 214) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 31% (61 of 196) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 10th visit.​

■ 35% (68 of 196) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 29% (47 of 161)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 89% (8 of 9)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 50% (13 of 26)​

■ The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 64% of the time (122 of 192)​
• Won the game in a later inning 10% of the time (19 of 192)​
• Lost the game 27% of the time (51 of 192)​
[Note -- total games used here are 192 rather than 196 to eliminate the 4 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

■ The loser won an average of 5.3 games in the 9 races to 10 (excludes the longer semifinals and final). The closest match was the hill/hill 11-10 semifinal between Pecelj and Van Boening; the most lopsided match was one that ended at 10-1.

■ The average elapsed time for the 10 races to 10 was about 95 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 13 matches was 6.2. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

■ The race to 10 that was longest in elapsed time, at about 129 minutes, was Van Boening d. Alcaide 10-8. The two matches highest in average minutes per game, at 7.2, were Atencio d. Pehlivanovic 10-4 and Van Boening d. Alcaide 10-8.

■ The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 59 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.3, was Van Boening d. Vogel 10-1.

■ Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 21.8 games, other fouls 1 for every 6.1 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.9 games.

■ One or more safeties were played in about 46% of all games and in 60% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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