Break Stats -- Turning Stone Classic XL 9-Ball Open, January 2025

AtLarge

AzB Gold Member
Gold Member
Silver Member
Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Turning Stone Classic XL 9-Ball Open played January 9-12, 2025 at the Turning Stone Resort Casino in Verona, New York. Free live streaming was provided by AZBtv on the Facebook page of UpState AL.

This was a 128-player double-elimination event. Lee Vann Corteza won the tournament, defeating Moritz Neuhausen in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches in this event included:
• Diamond 9-foot table with 4½" corner pockets;​
• Tournament Blue Simonis 860 cloth, new;​
• Aramith Tournament balls with a measles cue ball;​
• Diamond black polycarbonate triangle rack;​
• winner breaks from a central box (2 diamonds wide);​
• loser racks, with the 1-ball on the foot spot;​
• cue-ball fouls only except during the act of shooting;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (no violations occurred);​
• no jump cues allowed;​
• no shot clock;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for opening break.​
The stats are for 21 matches (301 games) out of the 23 matches shown on the main streaming table. I did not watch the 2 losers'-side matches that were streamed at 10 am on Friday and Saturday. These 21 tracked matches were 8.3% of the event's total of 253 matches played (1 match was forfeited), and are listed here in the order in which they were played. One game in Match 5 below was forfeited by Chinakhov for not being at the table when Mike Zuglan arrived for introductions. So the stats are for 300 games instead of 301.

Thursday, January 9, 2025
1. Ruslan Chinakhov defeated Derek Hart 9-3​
2. Jesse Piercey d. Dave Pinkston 9-7​
3. Tyler Henninger d. Brad Guthrie 9-5​
4. Erik Hjorleifson d. Jason Robichaud 9-1​

Friday, Jan. 10
5. Jayson Shaw d. Chinakhov 9-2​
6. Alvin Thompson d. Sean Santoro 9-6​
7. Christoph Neumayer d. Hjorleifson 9-6​
8. Jonathan Smith d. Martin Daigle 9-7​
9. Jeremy Sossei d. Mika Immonen 9-4​
10. Holden Chin d. Steve Motilal 9-8​

Saturday, Jan. 11
11. Dave Shlemperis d. Pat Fleming 9-6​
12. Neumayer d. Frankie Hernandez 9-6​
13. Matt Krah d. Chinakhov 9-7​
14. Hunter Lombardo d. Earl Herring 9-4​
15. Lee Vann Corteza d. Shaw 9-4​
16. Immonen d. Aaron Greenwood 9-2​

Sunday, Jan. 12
17. Moritz Neuhausen d. Danny Hewitt 9-8​
18. Neumayer d. Piercey 9-4​
19. Corteza d. Neuhausen 9-6 (Hotseat match)​
20. Neuhausen d. Neumayer 9-2 (Semifinal)​
21. Corteza d. Neuhausen 13-10 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 63% (114 of 181)​
Match losers -- 52% (62 of 119)​
Total -- 59% (176 of 300)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 66% (119 of 181)​
Match losers -- 39% (46 of 119)​
Total -- 55% (165 of 300)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 24% (44 of 181)​
Match losers -- 8% (9 of 119)​
Total -- 18% (53 of 300)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 39% (44 of 114)​
Match losers -- 14% (9 of 62)​
Total -- 30% (53 of 176)

Here's a breakdown of the 300 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 104 (35% of the 300 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 72 (24%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 7 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 10 (3%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 54 (18%)​
Breaker lost the game: 53 (18%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 55% (165 of 300) of all games,​
He won 59% (104 of 176) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 49% (61 of 124) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 53 break-and-run games represented 18% of all 300 games, 32% of the 165 games won by the breaker, and 30% of the 176 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 53 break-and-run games (including 9-balls on the break) consisted of one 5-pack (by Corteza), six 2-packs (two by Neuhausen and one each by Hjorleifson, Immonen, Chin, and Neumayer) and 36 singles. Only once in these 21 matches did anyone break and run more than 2 games in a row.

9-balls on the break -- The 53 break-and-run games included 5 9-balls on the break (1.7% of all 300 breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the Turning Stone Classic XL 9-Ball Open
[This relates only to the 21 tracked matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 10 times -- 6 game wins (4 by B&R) and 4 game losses.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 0.9 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 63% 1 ball, 32% 2 balls, and 6% 3 balls.

• Number of innings:
36% (107 of 300) of the games ended in one inning – 53 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 54 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
25% (74 of 300) of the games ended in the second inning.​
40% (119 of 300) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 11th visit.​

• 26% (79 of 300) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 30% (53 of 176)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 47% (8 of 17)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 17% (18 of 107)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 47% of the time (138 of 295)​
- Won the game in a later inning 20% of the time (60 of 295)​
- Lost the game 33% of the time (97 of 295)​
[Note -- total games used here are 295 rather than 300 to eliminate the 5 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​
`
• Excluding the Finals race to 13, the loser won an average of 4.9 games in the 20 races to 9. Two matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided match was one at 9-1.

• The average elapsed time for the 20 races to 9 was 85 minutes, or 6.1 minutes per game. Including the Finals, the average minutes per game for all 21 matches was 6.2. The elapsed time for each match was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The race to 9 that was both longest in elapsed time, at about 122 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 8.1, was Shlemperis d. Fleming 9-6.

• The match that was both shortest in elapsed time, at about 46 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 3.8, was Chinakhov d. Hart 9-3.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 17.6 games, other fouls 1 for every 2.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.2 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 49% of all games and in 60% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Back
Top