Break Stats -- Turning Stone Classic XXXVI 9-Ball Open, January 2023

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Turning Stone Classic XXXVI 9-Ball Open played January 5-8, 2023 at the Turning Stone Resort Casino in Verona, New York. Free live streaming was provided by AZBtv on the Facebook page of UpState AL and on YouTube.

This was a 128-player double-elimination event. Jayson Shaw won the tournament, defeating Skyler Woodward in the final match. This was Shaw's 9th win at Turning Stone (all in the last 15 events).

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches in this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with 4¼" corner pockets;​
- Tournament Blue Simonis 860 cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament balls with a measles cue ball;​
- Diamond black polycarbonate triangle rack;​
- winner breaks from a central box (2 diamonds wide);​
- loser racks, with the 1-ball on the foot spot;​
- cue-ball fouls only except during the act of shooting;​
- no jump cues allowed;​
- no shot clock;​
- all slop counts; and​
- lag for opening break.​

The stats are for 21 of the 23 matches (300 games) shown on the main streaming table. I did not watch 2 of the 23 matches -- the losers'-side matches that were streamed at 10 am on Friday and Saturday. These 21 tracked matches represented 8.3% of the event's total of 253 matches played (1 match was forfeited), and are listed here in the order in which they were played. [Note: The stats include a game in Match 16 below that was won by Gorst but was not counted in the match score.]

Thursday, January 5, 2023
1. Demetrius Jelatis defeated Eric Cloutier 9-5​
2. Vitaliy Patsura d. Brandon Shuff 9-6​
3. Landon Hollingsworth d. Jim Kearney 9-7​
4. Lukas Fracasso-Verner d. Dave Fernandez 9-4​

Friday, Jan. 6
5. Naoyuki Oi d. Kristina Tkach 9-0​
6. Matt Krah d. Mike Giurleo 9-7​
7. Danny Hewitt d. Oscar Dominguez 9-4​
8. Kyle Akaloo d. Joey Cicero 9-3​
9. Johnny Archer d. Mieszko Fortunski 9-6​
10. Greg Antonakos d. Pat Fleming 9-6​

Saturday, Jan. 7
11. Thorsten Hohmann d. Tkach 9-3​
12. Skyler Woodward d. Archer 9-5​
13. John Morra d. Dominguez 9-4​
14. Billy Thorpe d. Jesse Engel 9-8​
15. Jayson Shaw d. Fedor Gorst 9-8​
16. Gorst d. Morra 9-7 (Gorst won a 10th game that was not counted)​

Sunday, Jan. 8
17. Woodward d. Shaw 9-6​
18. Gorst d. Kevin West 9-2​
19. Woodward d. Jeremy Sossei 9-1 (Hotseat match)​
20. Shaw d. Sossei 9-2 (Semifinal)​
21. Shaw d. Woodward 13-12 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 64% (119 of 187)​
Match losers -- 59% (67 of 113)​
Total -- 62% (186 of 300)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 69% (129 of 187)​
Match losers -- 42% (48 of 113)​
Total -- 59% (177 of 300)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 26% (48 of 187)​
Match losers -- 15% (17 of 113)​
Total -- 22% (65 of 300)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 40% (48 of 119)​
Match losers -- 25% (17 of 67)​
Total -- 35% (65 of 186)

Here's a breakdown of the 300 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 128 (43% of the 300 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 58 (19%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 4 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 20 (7%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 45 (15%)​
Breaker lost the game: 45 (15%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 59% (177 of 300) of all games,​
He won 69% (128 of 186) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 43% (49 of 114) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 65 break-and-run games represented 22% of all 300 games, 37% of the 177 games won by the breaker, and 35% of the 186 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 65 break-and-run games (including 9's on the break) consisted of one 5-pack (by Woodward in the final match), one 3-pack (by Shaw), twelve 2-packs, and 33 singles.

9-balls on the break -- The 65 break-and-run games included 3 9-balls on the break (1.0% of all 300 breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the Turning Stone Classic XXXVI 9-Ball Open
[This relates only to the 21 tracked matches, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 15 times. Thirteen of those 15 games (87%) were won by the breaker.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.0 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 65% 1 ball, 27% 2 balls, and 8% 3 balls.

• Number of innings:
39% (118 of 300) of the games ended in one inning – 65 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 53 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
32% (95 of 300) of the games ended in the second inning.​
29% (87 of 300) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most innings ended on the non-breaker's 10th visit to the table.​

• 31% (94 of 300) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 35% (65 of 186)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 67% (16 of 24)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 14% (13 of 90)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 53% of the time (156 of 297)​
- Won the game in a later inning 18% of the time (52 of 297)​
- Lost the game 30% of the time (89 of 297)​
[Note -- total games used here are 297 rather than 300 to eliminate the 3 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​
`​
• Excluding the Finals race to 13, the loser won an average of 4.7 games in the 20 races to 9. Three matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided was one at 9-0.

• The average elapsed time for the 20 races to 9 was 86 minutes, or 6.2 minutes per game. Including the Finals, the average minutes per game for all 21 matches was 6.1. The elapsed time for each match was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was longest in elapsed time, at 121 minutes, was Thorpe d. Engel 9-8. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 8.0, was Morra d. Dominguez 9-4.

• The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at a little under 38 minutes, was Oi d. Tkach 9-0. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.0, was Hohmann d. Tkach 9-3.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 12.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 3.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.3 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 46% of all games and in 59% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
🎻 What a difference a day makes 🎷

Here's a comparison of results from the 10 matches I tracked on the first two days vs. the 11 tracked matches on the 3rd and 4th days.

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Days 1&2 -- 48% (66 of 138)​
Days 3&4 -- 74% (120 of 162)​
Total -- 62% (186 of 300)​

Breaker won the game:
Days 1&2 -- 51% (71 of 138)​
Days 3&4 -- 65% (106 of 162)​
Total -- 59% (177 of 300)​

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Days 1&2 -- 9% (12 of 138)​
Days 3&4 -- 33% (53 of 162)​
Total -- 22% (65 of 300)​

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Days 1&2 -- 18% (12 of 66)​
Days 3&4 -- 44% (53 of 120)​
Total -- 35% (65 of 186)​

In what may be a Turning Stone record (I haven't checked) for feature-table streamed matches -- on Day 2 (Friday) the total number of break-and-run games in 5 consecutive matches (#6-#10 in Post #1 above) was .......... 🥁 ....... ZERO!.
 
The best thing about this tournament is that you don't get to see annoying referees cleaning cue ball after every foul and every rack
 
The stats sure improve as the field is thinned….even though the tables play a tad tougher.

Thanx, AtLarge
 
🎻 What a difference a day makes 🎷

In what may be a Turning Stone record (I haven't checked) for feature-table streamed matches -- on Day 2 (Friday) the total number of break-and-run games in 5 consecutive matches (#6-#10 in Post #1 above) was .......... 🥁 ....... ZERO!.
I'd like to say
you mean I got a chance?!

I don't.
 
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