Break Stats -- WPBA Ho-Chunk Classic (9-Ball), Sept. 2018

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the WPBA's Ho-Chunk Classic 9-Ball event played September 13-16, 2018 at Ho-Chunk Gaming, Wisconsin Dells in Baraboo, WI. Pay-per-view live streaming was provided by PoolActionTV.

This was a 3-stage event with 32 players in Stage 1, 31 players in Stage 2 (including the top 16 from Stage 1), and 32 players in Stage 3 (the top 16 from Stage 2 plus 16 placed directly into Stage 3 based on their WPBA rankings). Allison Fisher won the tournament, defeating Ga-Young Kim in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches in this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut corner pockets;
- Tournament Blue Simonis 860 cloth;
- Aramith Tournament balls;
- Diamond triangle rack;
- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;
- rack your own, with the 1-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball in the rear;
- cue-ball fouls;
- jump cues allowed;
- no shot clock unless progress is inadequate (no clock was used in the streamed matches I watched);
- all slop counts (except not sure about 9-ball in foot pockets; it did not happen); and
- lag for opening break.

The stats are for just 8 matches (94 games) -- 2 matches played in Stage 2 and 6 in Stage 3. The matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.


Fri., Sept. 14, 2018
  • April Larson defeated Jeanette Lee 8-7; and
    Siming Chen d. Jia Li 8-1.

Sat., Sept. 15
  • Allison Fisher d. Vivian Villarreal 8-2; and
    Ga-Young Kim d. Melissa Little 8-2.

Sun., Sept. 16
  • Chen d. Jennifer Barretta 8-2;
    Fisher d. Kim 8-3 (hotseat match);
    Kim d. Larson 8-2 (Semifinal); and
    Fisher d. Kim 10-9 (Finals).


Overall results

  • ■ Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 55% (27 of 49) for match winners, 58% (26 of 45) for match losers, and 56% (53 of 94) in total

    ■ Breaker won the game -- 71% (35 of 49) for match winners, 31% (14 of 45) for match losers, and 52% (49 of 94) in total

    ■ Break-and-run games -- 20% (10 of 49) for match winners, 16% (7 of 45) for match losers, and 18% (17 of 94) in total

Here's a breakdown of the 94 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
  • Breaker won the game: 32 (34% of the 94 games)
  • Breaker lost the game: 21 (22%)

Breaker fouled on the break:
  • Breaker won the game: 2 (2%)
  • Breaker lost the game: 5 (5%)

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
  • Breaker won the game: 15 (16%)
  • Breaker lost the game: 19 (20%)

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 52% (49 of 94) of all games,

  • She won 60% (32 of 53) of the games in which she made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.
  • She won 29% (2 of 7) of the games in which she fouled on the break.
  • She won 44% (15 of 34) of the games in which she broke dry but did not foul.
  • She won 41% (17 of 41) of the games in which she either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.

Break-and-run games -- The 17 break-and-run games represented 18% of all 94 games, 35% of the 49 games won by the breaker, and 32% of the 53 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "package'' of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many she ran on her own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 17 break-and-run games consisted of two alternate-break 2-packs (1 each by Chen and Fisher) and 13 singles. No one in these 8 streamed matches broke and ran more than 2 games in a row.

9-balls on the break -- No 9-balls were made on the break in these 94 games.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2018 WPBA Ho-Chunk Classic 9-Ball event
[This relates only to the 8 streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

■ Most balls made on a single break -- 4, done just once, by Ga-Young Kim. She ran out that game from the break.

■ Average number of balls made on the break -- 0.8 on all breaks (includes dry and fouled breaks), 1.4 on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul). The distribution on successful breaks was 70% 1 ball, 26% 2 balls, 4% 3 balls or more.

■ Games that ended in one inning -- 31% (29 of 94) = 18% (17) won by the breaker (B&R) and 13% (12) won by the non-breaker.

■ Games that lasted 4 or more innings -- 20% (19 of 94).

■ Runouts by the player who was at the table following the break -- 27% (25 of 94) = 32% (17 of 53) by the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games), 43% (3 of 7) by the non-breaker after fouls on the break, and 15% (5 of 34) by the non-breaker after dry breaks.

■ The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 49% of the time (46 of 94)
• Won the game in a later inning 20% of the time (19 of 94)
• Lost the game 31% of the time (29 of 94)

■ Average match score for the 7 races to 8 (i.e., excluding the Finals race to 10) -- 8 - 2.7. The loser won 3 or fewer games in 6 of those 7 matches, and the other match went hill/hill.

■ Average elapsed time for the 7 races to 8 -- 84 minutes, or 7.8 minutes per game (measured from the lag until the winning ball was made or conceded, so it includes time for racking and timeouts).

■ Length of the Finals match -- 3 hours and 22 minutes for the 19 games, for an average of 10.6 minutes per game.

■ Frequency of fouls and misses -- breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 13.4 games, other fouls 1 for every 3.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.2 games.

■ Approx. percentage of games involving one or more safeties -- 45%.
 
Last edited:
Average minutes per game
• 7.8, excluding the Finals.
• 8.4, including the Finals.

[But this was quite a small number of games.]
 
"Sun., Sept. 16
Chen d. Jennifer Barretta 8-2;
Fisher d. Kim 8-3 (hotseat match);
Kim d. Larson 8-2 (Semifinal); and
Fisher d. Kim 10-9 (Finals)."

If Chen beat Jennifer, who beat her since there Kim, Larson and Fisher were in final 3?

I am noticing a big difference between the good players and the others, Kim, Chen, Fisher beat players by a large margin with the only matches that were close were the finals with Fisher vs Kim and Larson vs Lee, fairly evenly matched players in both matches. Rest of the matches went 8-2 or 8-3. Wonder what the top 5 men vs 6-20 would look like vs top 5 women vs 6-20 look like as far as match results.
 
"Sun., Sept. 16
Chen d. Jennifer Barretta 8-2;
Fisher d. Kim 8-3 (hotseat match);
Kim d. Larson 8-2 (Semifinal); and
Fisher d. Kim 10-9 (Finals)."

If Chen beat Jennifer, who beat her since there Kim, Larson and Fisher were in final 3?

I am noticing a big difference between the good players and the others, Kim, Chen, Fisher beat players by a large margin with the only matches that were close were the finals with Fisher vs Kim and Larson vs Lee, fairly evenly matched players in both matches. Rest of the matches went 8-2 or 8-3. Wonder what the top 5 men vs 6-20 would look like vs top 5 women vs 6-20 look like as far as match results.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10156582686618959&set=a.468781958958&type=3&theater
 
"Sun., Sept. 16
Chen d. Jennifer Barretta 8-2;
Fisher d. Kim 8-3 (hotseat match);
Kim d. Larson 8-2 (Semifinal); and
Fisher d. Kim 10-9 (Finals)."

If Chen beat Jennifer, who beat her since there Kim, Larson and Fisher were in final 3?

I am noticing a big difference between the good players and the others, Kim, Chen, Fisher beat players by a large margin with the only matches that were close were the finals with Fisher vs Kim and Larson vs Lee, fairly evenly matched players in both matches. Rest of the matches went 8-2 or 8-3. Wonder what the top 5 men vs 6-20 would look like vs top 5 women vs 6-20 look like as far as match results.

Chen finished 4th, losing 8-5 to April Larson (and 8-2 to Allison Fisher on the winners' side). Neither of those matches was on the stream.

Larson had quite an event. She had 9 wins -- over Lee, Wikoff, Bryant, Bishoff, Duddy, Villarreal, Pao, Little, and Chen.

The flow charts (Stages 1, 2, and 3) are here: https://compusport.ca/CS/6017?&frId=3766089703endfrld
 
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