Dream A Little Dream …

sunnyone

cum grano salis
Silver Member
We would be remiss, would we not, if we failed to note the departure of Nate Silver (statistician / prognosticator extraordinaire) from The New York Times (my hometown paper of record!) to ABC / ESPN?

For Mr. Silver -- in the intense bidding war for his services -- his love of sports apparently trumped his enjoyment of providing eerily precise political prognostications. In the last Presidential election, he was within a fraction of a fraction in his pinpoint accuracy.

But, he loves baseball, where he first earned his chops.

(Amusing aside … in acknowledging how statistical analyses are ever more refined, it has been widely acknowledged how the science of weather forecasting has become more and more exact. Yet … there is always the human factor: when Kansas City weather weenies intoned a ‘100% chance of rain,’ they were wrong 50% of the time!)

Pool connect?

Wouldn’t it be super if Mr. Silver applied his prodigious talents to the evaluation of our sport’s statistics?

(Also ... in the ‘dream on’ category, he is now affiliated with ESPN. There was, once upon a time, some Disney interest in pool ... ESPN / POOL. Hey, fantasies can be fun!)

Back to pure statistics:

Think: Accu-Stats on steroids. Numbers drilled down deeper than ever. Unexplored categories explored.

Consider: All major tournament results reevaluated. Such as: the talent of the participating competitors, depth of field, length of contests, sizes of tables and pockets, purses, inflation and a thousand other factors which go beyond the obvious (yet absolutely critical!) final results.

Imagine: International and domestic player rankings forged from data that are unprecedented in depth and complexity. In every discipline from 10-ball to one-pocket to tri-cushion.

Contemplate: There might well be analytical sweet spots where surprisingly accurate answers surface from the murky lagoon of memory and myth.

Okay, okay … I agree that so many factors in cue-sports match-ups do seem to be imponderable. Yet, yet … Mr. Silver has correctly assimilated even more nebulous ingredients into successful political appraisals that turned out to be astonishingly accurate.

In essence, he has been instrumental in clarifying how many of us look at the reality of reality.

Q: Bottom line (no, not avatar bikinis! Gomers!), wouldn’t it be special to have world-class appraisals applied to our sport?

A: Yes.

Answering my own questions is my life,

Sunny

P. S. Of course we all realize that having even such a personage as Mr. Silver involved would never end those delicious and eternal ‘who’s the best ever?’ questions. And who would want it to? (Answer … only we diehard Efren fans!)
 
Nate Silver's political forecasts are based on surveys done by others (news organizations, universities, etc). He ranks the surveys by their thoroughness and accuracy, and then averages them to make a forecast.

For pool he'd have to do original data collection which isn't his thing.
 
You aren't looking for Nate Silver, you're looking for the ESB.
http://www.esb.com/

All the major sports (NFL, NBA, WNBA, MLB, hockey, soccer, etc.)
contract this company to track all of their stats. I believe they even parse the data into
meaningful chunks like "The Eagles have never lost on a Tuesday in the rain at home".
They will go as far as to provide pop-up notes, ticker bars, and TV graphics for their clients.

We need these guys to tackle pool. Not that we could afford 'em. Maybe we just need 20 AtLarges.
 
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