I'll give #4 a try. It has some interesting angles. If you happen to miss red and hit yellow instead, you might still make the point and in both, there's a good possibility for position after the point.
Personally, I like shot 4 or 5, and with 5 I might even double the rail instead of short-long first, don’t think the minor amount of elevation would make that too difficult to judge, just a bit of curve. 1 or 3 might be good choices as well, would just depend for me on whether I felt the right angle could be attained or not.