QATAR: Fargo Ratings of final 32

mikepage

mikepage

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
These ratings are updated to include the results of the preliminary rounds and the first elimination round.
 

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Thanks for the data.

A 100-point gap indicates a 2:1 advantage in each game for the higher-ranked player according to your site. A 50-point gap indicates a 7:5 advantage per game for the higher-ranked player.

What are the chances that the 100-point gap leader will win in a race to 11? How about the player with a 50-point edge?
 
skip100 said:
Thanks for the data.

A 100-point gap indicates a 2:1 advantage in each game for the higher-ranked player according to your site. A 50-point gap indicates a 7:5 advantage per game for the higher-ranked player.

What are the chances that the 100-point gap leader will win in a race to 11? How about the player with a 50-point edge?
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Race to 11, the player 100 points higher has a 95% chance to win. 50 points = 80% chance to win. (In case Mike doesn't get back.)
 
BRussell said:
Race to 11, the player 100 points higher has a 95% chance to win. 50 points = 80% chance to win. (In case Mike doesn't get back.)
Click to expand...
Thanks, I came up with similar numbers.

Of course, once you get to this point in the tournament, intestinal fortitude can do a lot to overcome these odds :thumbup:
 
The prior winner of the event is in the bottom 30% or so.
And Dechaine who many say can't handle the world play, is in the top handful.

Nice chart. How are the ratings entered? Who keeps the stats for the event to get them?
 
So the final 4 all came from the top 8 in the Fargo Ratings. That is pretty staggering for Nine Ball-especially with alternate break.
 
If the finals is Shane vs. Wu then the Fargorate will be eerily and scarily accurate.
 
ideologist said:
What happens to the numbers for Shane and Dennis after the absolute beating earlier?
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Dennis is about the same at 811. This is because his record for today is 12 and 13 against the SVB/Appleton team--about what he is supposed to win out of 25 games against that pair.

SVB goes up just a couple points to 824. He has a lot of games in the system--more than anybody else--so his rating fluctuates only slowly.

Wu is now at 838
SVB at 824
Ping Chung Ko at 806
Pin Yi Ko at 801

Wu is a 72% favorite over Pin Yi
SVB is a 61% favorite over Ping Chung
 
Kris_b1104 said:
I think he has been fighting leukemia for a while now. Very sad.
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I just looked it up. Sounds like lots of different issues coming together at the same time. Pretty cool that he is back on top of the world after all that.
 
from 2013 WPA article..

One of the most intriguing matches of the day pitted Hollands talented Niel’s Feijen against two time former world champion Wu Jiaqing(formerly known as Wu Chia Ching.) Wu, who made pool history back in 2005 when he won the World 9-ball championship when he was just 16 years old, and then went on to win the World 8-ball championship just five months later, only recently completed a 16 month stint in the Taiwan military. And this was on the back of four straight years of personal drama and intrigue which has left the sport without one of its biggest stars. In the military Wu was forced to mop floors and clean windows for the entire time and he never once touched a cue stick. In addition, in August of last year, Wu was diagnosed with Lukemia. Fortunately doctors caught the blood disease in its very early stages and Wu says it can be controlled with medication.

Having only practiced for one month since being discharged from the military, Wu came into the match against Feijen with no expectations. Wu, however, looked like the boy wonder of old as he thumped the Dutchman 9-4.

“I’m happy with the way I played today,” Wu, who now resides in China, said afterwards through an interpreter, “but to be honest I have no confidence that I can win the tournament. “ Of course nobody who knows pool believes that.
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http://www.wpa-pool.com/web/index.asp?id=17&pagetype=event_news&eventid=157&eventnewsid=156
 
mikepage said:
Dennis is about the same at 811. This is because his record for today is 12 and 13 against the SVB/Appleton team--about what he is supposed to win out of 25 games against that pair.

SVB goes up just a couple points to 824. He has a lot of games in the system--more than anybody else--so his rating fluctuates only slowly.

Wu is now at 838
SVB at 824
Ping Chung Ko at 806
Pin Yi Ko at 801

Wu is a 72% favorite over Pin Yi
SVB is a 61% favorite over Ping Chung
Click to expand...


Thanks for the response, I understand why it would barely move 2 super established players. What was the expected win for their ratings?
 
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