Stats -- Biado vs. Woodward 9-Ball Race to 120, August 2021

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Here are some results from the Carlo Biado vs. Skyler Woodward 9-Ball match played at Bill's Bar & Billiards in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma on August 13-15, 2021. Pay-per-view streaming was provided by Omega Billiards. The main commentators were Joey Gray and Chip Compton, with Steven Wyatt and Eric Nordstrom also sitting in at times.

This match was a race to 120 game wins played over 3 days. Biado won the match. The scores each day (Biado's score first) were:
Day 1 -- 40 - 28​
Day 2 -- 40 - 35 (2-day total 80 - 63)​
Day 3 -- 40 - 38​
Total -- 120 - 101​

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets (4½" corners) and worn, blue cloth;
- Predator Arcos II balls;
- Accu-Rack racking template;
- rack your own, with the 9-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball at the back of the rack;
- winner breaks from the box -- one diamond to each side of the long string;
- 3-point rule: the break is illegal (and non-breaker has an option to shoot) unless at least 3 object balls touch (not cross) the head string or are pocketed;
- all slop counts, except spot any 9-ball made on the break (did not happen);
- cue-ball fouls only;
- jump cues allowed;
- no shot clock; and
- lag for opening break on Day 1 (won by Biado).​

■ Biado broke 120 times -- successful 82 times (resulting in 55 game wins and 27 losses), 10 wet but illegal (3 wins, 7 losses), 7 fouls (1 win, 6 losses), and 21 dry, including 10 both dry and illegal (10 wins and 11 losses).

■ Woodward broke 100 times -- successful 69 times (resulting in 40 game wins and 29 losses), 14 wet but illegal (7 wins, 7 losses), 10 fouls (1 win, 9 losses), and 7 dry, including 4 both dry and illegal (1 win, 6 losses).
[Note: Woodward actually broke 101 times. But the stream was down for the beginning of Game #199, so that game is excluded from these stats except where stated otherwise.]​

Successful breaks (broke legally, made at least one ball, and did not foul):
Biado -- 82 of 120 (68%)
Woodward -- 69 of 100 (69%)
Total -- 151 of 220 (69%)​

Unsuccessful breaks (illegal, fouled, or dry):
Biado -- 38 of 120 (32%)
Woodward -- 31 of 100 (31%)
Total -- 69 of 220 (31%)​

Breaker won game:
Biado -- 69 of 120 (58%)
Woodward -- 50 of 101 (50%) [Note: includes Game 199.]
Total -- 119 of 221 (54%)​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
Biado -- 30 of 120 (25%)
Woodward -- 24 of 101 (24%) [Note: includes Game 199.]
Total -- 54 of 221 (24%)​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (broke legally, made at least one ball, and did not foul):
Biado -- 30 of 82 (37%)
Woodward -- 24 of 69 (35%)
Total -- 54 of 151 (36%)​

Illegal breaks:
Biado -- 21 of 120 (18%)
Woodward -- 18 of 100 (18%)
Total -- 39 of 220 (18%)​

Fouls and foul rates: [Note: "games at the table" means total games less opponent's B&R games.]
Biado -- 21 fouls, including 7 on the break, in 196 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 9.3 games at the table)
Woodward -- 27 fouls, including 10 on the break, in 190 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 7.0 games at the table)
Total -- 48 fouls in 220 games (1 per 4.6 games)​

Missed shots (est.):
Biado -- 49 misses in 196 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 4.0 games at the table)
Woodward -- 66 misses in 190 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 2.9 games at the table)
Total -- 115 misses in 220 games (1 per 1.9 games)​

Run-outs from first shot after break:
By Biado after his own successful break -- 30 of 82 (37%)
By Biado after Woodward's failed break -- 13 of 31 (42%)
By Biado, total -- 43 of 113 (38%)

By Woodward after his own successful break -- 24 of 69 (35%)
By Woodward after Biado's failed break -- 16 of 38 (42%)
By Woodward, total -- 40 of 107 (37%)

Total for Biado and Woodward -- 83 of 220 (38%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Biado's break:
By Biado -- 30 of 82 (37%)
By Woodward -- 16 of 38 (42%)
Total -- 46 of 120 120 (38%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Woodward's break:
By Woodward -- 24 of 69 (35%)
By Biado -- 13 of 31 (42%)
Total -- 37 of 100 (37%)​

Break-and-run packages
Biado's 30 B&R games consisted of 1 3-pack, 6 2-packs, and 15 singles
Woodward's 24 B&R games consisted of 2 3-packs, 2 2-pack, and 14 singles​

Games with 1 or more safeties (est.) -- 38% (84 of 221)

Average number of balls made on the break:
Biado -- 1.2 on all breaks, 1.5 on successful breaks
Woodward -- 1.3 on all breaks, 1.5 on successful breaks
Total -- 1.2 on all breaks, 1.5 on successful breaks​

Number of innings -- 51% (113 of 220) of the games ended in one inning. 54 games ended on the breaker's first inning (B&R games), 59 games ended on the non-breaker's first inning, 31 games ended on the breaker's second inning, and 22 games ended on the non-breaker's second inning. 25% (54 of 220) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with the longest game ending on the breaker's 7th visit.

9-balls on the break -- none

Match length -- Approximately 17½ hours, for an average of 4.8 minutes per game. This includes racking and short timeouts, but excludes about 1 2/3 hours in total for an intermission on each of the three days.
 
Thanks for the stats.
Went back and compared it to the Shane vs Dennis match,

All same format, maybe just older cloth. Shane and Dennis successful break was 90% vs 69% (Biado/Sky).

So BNR for Shane/Dennis 51% vs 24%.
 
Thanks for the stats.
Went back and compared it to the Shane vs Dennis match,

All same format, maybe just older cloth. Shane and Dennis successful break was 90% vs 69% (Biado/Sky).

So BNR for Shane/Dennis 51% vs 24%.

That's an amazing difference!
 
Thanks for the stats.
Went back and compared it to the Shane vs Dennis match,

All same format, maybe just older cloth. Shane and Dennis successful break was 90% vs 69% (Biado/Sky).

So BNR for Shane/Dennis 51% vs 24%.
Yes, I was going to point that out. At various times on the Biado/Woodard stream, the commentators attributed the differences to (1) old cloth now, (2) high humidity for this event, and (3) the requirement that the balls all be touching in the Accu-Rack this time whereas that was not true for DO/SVB. So you can leave helpful gaps when racking with an Accu-Rack and DO/SVB did that? I don't recall any mention of that at the time.

The breaking was certainly very different between the two matches. In the DO/SVB match the primary breaking target was the wing ball, which was pocketed almost every time. They regularly had a shot after the break, and they ran out from that first shot after the break 58% of the time. In the Biado/Woodward match, the primary target was the 1-ball in the side pocket, and the wing ball was pocketed at a low frequency. And they often had no good shot after the break, with the cue ball in the bottom part of the table and the 2-ball at the head end. Runouts from the first shot after the break were 38%.
 
I think that the illegal break rules are skewing the stats.

That said, does anyone agree with me that At Large's stats would be an amazing tool to use as benchmarks for performance across all skill levels?
 
I think that the illegal break rules are skewing the stats. ,,,
The percentage of breaks that were illegal (didn't satisfy the 3-point rule) was 6 times as high in this Biado/Woodward match (18%) as in the Orcollo/SVB match (3%).
 
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