Stats -- Reinhold vs. McMinn 10-Ball Race to 100, April 2022

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Here are some results from the Chris Reinhold vs. Shane McMinn 10-Ball match played at Action Palace Billiards and Gameroom in Huber Heights, Ohio (a Dayton suburb) on April 22-24, 2022. Pay-per-view streaming was provided by PoolActionTV. The commentators were Jeremy Jones, John Gabriel, Larry Schwartz, Mary Kenniston, and Ray Hansen.

This match was a race to 100 game wins played over 3 days. Reinhold won the match, outscoring McMinn each of the 3 days (Reinhold's score first):
Day 1 -- 35 - 26​
Day 2 -- 35 - 21 (2-day total 70 - 47)​
Day 3 -- 30 - 23​
Total -- 100 - 70​

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- 9-foot Diamond table with 4¼" corner pockets;​
- blue Simonis cloth (not new);​
- what appeared to be Aramith Tournament balls with a red measles cue ball;​
- triangle rack;​
- rack your own, with the 1-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball and 3-ball on the back corners;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back if a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- early 10-balls are spotted;​
- 3-foul rule in effect (did not happen);​
- jump cues allowed;​
- cue ball fouls only;​
- no shot clock; and​
- lag for opening break on Day 1 (won by Reinhold).​

■ Reinhold broke 100 times -- successful 77 times (resulting in 51 game wins and 26 losses), 7 fouls (2 wins, 5 losses), and 16 dry (7 wins, 9 losses).

■ McMinn broke 70 times -- successful 33 times (resulting in 17 game wins and 16 losses), 4 fouls (all losses), and 33 dry (13 wins, 20 losses).

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Reinhold -- 77 of 100 (77%)​
McMinn -- 33 of 70 (47%)​
Total -- 110 of 170 (65%)​

Unsuccessful breaks (fouled or dry):
Reinhold -- 23 of 100 (23%)​
McMinn -- 37 of 70 (53%)​
Total -- 60 of 170 (35%)​

Breaker won game:
Reinhold -- 60 of 100 (60%)​
McMinn -- 30 of 70 (43%)​
Total -- 90 of 170 (53%)​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
Reinhold -- 19 of 100 (19%)​
McMinn -- 4 of 70 (6%)​
Total -- 23 of 170 (14%)​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Reinhold -- 19 of 77 (25%)​
McMinn -- 4 of 33 (12%)​
Total -- 23 of 110 (21%)​

Fouls and foul rates: [Note: "games at the table" means total games less opponent's B&R games.]
Reinhold -- 34 fouls, including 7 on the break, in 166 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 4.9 games at the table)​
McMinn -- 34 fouls, including 4 on the break, in 151 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 4.4 games at the table)​
Total -- 68 fouls in 170 games (1 per 2.5 games)​

Missed shots (est.):
Reinhold -- 72 misses in 166 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 2.3 games at the table)​
McMinn -- 81 misses in 151 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 1.9 games at the table)​
Total -- 153 misses in 170 games (1 per 1.1 games)​

Run-outs from first shot after break:
By Reinhold after his own successful break -- 19 of 77 (25%)​
By Reinhold after McMinn's failed break -- 5 of 37 (14%)​
By Reinhold, total -- 24 of 114 (21%)​
By McMinn after his own successful break -- 4 of 33 (12%)​
By McMinn after Reinhold's failed break -- 5 of 23 (22%)​
By McMinn, total -- 9 of 56 (16%)​
Total for Reinhold and McMinn -- 33 of 170 (19%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Reinhold's break:
By Reinhold -- 19 of 77 (25%)​
By McMinn -- 5 of 23 (22%)​
Total -- 24 of 100 (24%)​

Run-outs from first shot after McMinn's break:
By McMinn -- 4 of 33 (12%)​
By Reinhold -- 5 of 37 (14%)​
Total -- 9 of 70 (13%)​

Break-and-run packages
Reinhold's 19 B&R games consisted of 2 2-packs, and 15 singles​
McMinn's 4 B&R games consisted of 4 singles​
Games with 1 or more safeties (est.)
64% of all games (108 of 170)​
73% of games that were not B&Rs (108 of 147)​

Average number of balls made on the break:
Reinhold -- 1.4 on all breaks, 1.7 on successful breaks​
McMinn -- 0.7 on all breaks, 1.3 on successful breaks​
Total -- 1.1 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks​

Number of innings -- 26% (44 of 170) of the games ended in one inning, with 23 games ending on the breaker's first inning (B&R games) and 21 games ending on the non-breaker's first inning. 24 games ended on the breaker's second inning, and 23 games ended on the non-breaker's second inning. 46% (79 of 170) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with the longest game ending on the breaker's 10th visit.

Distribution of consecutive game wins, i.e. winning streaks. Counts are given for Reinhold first, then McMinn, then the total.
1 game -- 16 times, 26 times, 42 times​
2 games -- 12, 4, 16​
3 games -- 7, 6, 13​
4 games -- 1, 2, 3​
5 games -- 4, 2, 6​
6 games -- 1, 0, 1​
7 games -- 0, 0, 0​
8 games -- 0, 0, 0​
9 games -- 1, 0, 1​

10-balls on the break -- None (they would have been spotted).

Match length -- Approximately 21 1/3 hours, for an average of 7.5 minutes per game. This includes racking and timeouts.
 
Find out who said that and let’s see if he likes to bet😁
Reinhold.jpg
 
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Reinhold -- 77 of 100 (77%)​
McMinn -- 33 of 70 (47%)​

This says it all. This is a decisive breaking edge.

Chris went on to run 19 of those racks from the break. Shane ran just 4. Looking at the number of opportunities they were able to create for themselves after the break it is very clear that Chris was in control of this part of the match.

The final score was 100-70, a 30 game spread. This break and run difference accounts for 15 of those racks directly. And by getting the first opportunity more often Chris won another handful more due to being in control of the rack with a good safety. Finally, by being ahead on the score and in rhythm it took pressure off of him and put a ton more heat on Shane (who could see there was no road to victory).

It is clear you can't play a strong player and fight rack for rack. And unless there is a huge skill gap between opponents the better breaker will prevail.

Bar table 9 ball is one of McMinn's best games. He breaks exceptionally well in that game and is amazing at the types of shots you have to come with on bar tables to get control of the table (shots you wouldn't shoot at on a 9 footer that Chris may not have as much comfort with). It is very possible that he could give a spot to Chris and prevail (the 7 ball means little on a bar table to these types of players because it's all about getting control of the table, running out isn't usually the issue on a Valley for them). I doubt Chris would want that game both because of the difficulty but also because it's not the game he pursues.
 
This says it all. This is a decisive breaking edge.

Chris went on to run 19 of those racks from the break. Shane ran just 4. Looking at the number of opportunities they were able to create for themselves after the break it is very clear that Chris was in control of this part of the match.

The final score was 100-70, a 30 game spread. This break and run difference accounts for 15 of those racks directly. And by getting the first opportunity more often Chris won another handful more due to being in control of the rack with a good safety. Finally, by being ahead on the score and in rhythm it took pressure off of him and put a ton more heat on Shane (who could see there was no road to victory).

It is clear you can't play a strong player and fight rack for rack. And unless there is a huge skill gap between opponents the better breaker will prevail.

Bar table 9 ball is one of McMinn's best games. He breaks exceptionally well in that game and is amazing at the types of shots you have to come with on bar tables to get control of the table (shots you wouldn't shoot at on a 9 footer that Chris may not have as much comfort with). It is very possible that he could give a spot to Chris and prevail (the 7 ball means little on a bar table to these types of players because it's all about getting control of the table, running out isn't usually the issue on a Valley for them). I doubt Chris would want that game both because of the difficulty but also because it's not the game he pursues.
I think Chris would bet whatever he could if he was offered the 7-ball on a bar table. I know how good Shane is, but but I think many people underestimate Chris' bar table game.
 
This says it all. This is a decisive breaking edge.

Chris went on to run 19 of those racks from the break. Shane ran just 4. Looking at the number of opportunities they were able to create for themselves after the break it is very clear that Chris was in control of this part of the match.

The final score was 100-70, a 30 game spread. This break and run difference accounts for 15 of those racks directly. And by getting the first opportunity more often Chris won another handful more due to being in control of the rack with a good safety. Finally, by being ahead on the score and in rhythm it took pressure off of him and put a ton more heat on Shane (who could see there was no road to victory).

It is clear you can't play a strong player and fight rack for rack. And unless there is a huge skill gap between opponents the better breaker will prevail.

Bar table 9 ball is one of McMinn's best games. He breaks exceptionally well in that game and is amazing at the types of shots you have to come with on bar tables to get control of the table (shots you wouldn't shoot at on a 9 footer that Chris may not have as much comfort with). It is very possible that he could give a spot to Chris and prevail (the 7 ball means little on a bar table to these types of players because it's all about getting control of the table, running out isn't usually the issue on a Valley for them). I doubt Chris would want that game both because of the difficulty but also because it's not the game he pursues.
He clearly about broke him.

The barbox can be the equalizer as we all know. But I’m betting that it won’t matter much here.

Best
Fatboy

Window will be WIDE open should this game ever happen on a BB.
 
I think Chris would bet whatever he could if he was offered the 7-ball on a bar table. I know how good Shane is, but but I think many people underestimate Chris' bar table game.
Fair enough.

You mention people underestimate Chris's bar table game. I just think that many people also underestimate the role of the break at the higher levels. People might see the decisive score margin and make conclusive statements about Chris's superiority as a pool player.

I don't know how that match would go. Maybe Chris is stealing, or maybe he can win if they played even on the bar box. I personally don't really get too excited about 7' pool so am not too interested.

My biggest takeaway is that I need to keep improving my own break. I have been on the McMinn side of these match-ups before and it is incredibly frustrating to spend your life playing a game and getting to a high level in all other areas, only to be drawing dead because of a breaking deficit. That's pool though, you have to develop the skills that are required to win. I'll keep working on it.
 
Fair enough.

You mention people underestimate Chris's bar table game. I just think that many people also underestimate the role of the break at the higher levels. People might see the decisive score margin and make conclusive statements about Chris's superiority as a pool player.

I don't know how that match would go. Maybe Chris is stealing, or maybe he can win if they played even on the bar box. I personally don't really get too excited about 7' pool so am not too interested.

My biggest takeaway is that I need to keep improving my own break. I have been on the McMinn side of these match-ups before and it is incredibly frustrating to spend your life playing a game and getting to a high level in all other areas, only to be drawing dead because of a breaking deficit. That's pool though, you have to develop the skills that are required to win. I'll keep working on it.
Totally. I have identified the same weakness in my game. I have a very difficult time mustering up the patience to actually practice breaking. My attention span when it comes to running drills is practically non-existent.
 
My take on this match is that neither Reinhold nor McMinn really played well except for Reinhold's breaking (and some of his kicking). Sure, we saw lots of good shots and good outs over the course of 170 games, but, overall, the quality was not at the level as in the other long 10-Ball matches I have tracked over the last few years. Now, one important difference in this match is that they were on a tighter table than the other matches, and they were using a triangle to rack rather than a template. Also, neither player is at as high of an overall skill level (assuming FargoRate is a good measure of that) as most of the players in the other matches, so we should not expect the stats to be quite as good.

Those caveats said, this match was pretty much at the bottom of recent long 10-Ball matches in:
- Successful breaks (for McMinn and, because of his rate, in total for both players)​
- Break-and-run games​
- Fouls​
- Missed shots​
- Runouts from the first shot after the break​
- 1-inning games​
- Games with safeties (highest)​
Reinhold played a losing 10-Ball race to 100 against Styer two years ago. That match was with 4½" corners and used a template. Despite that difference, let's compare some stats for Chris this time versus 2 years ago. Rates are for 2022 first, then 2020:
- Successful breaks -- 77%, 84%​
- Break and runs -- 19%, 19%​
- Fouls -- 1 per 4.9 games at the table, 1 per 5.0​
- Missed shots -- 1 per 2.3 games at the table, 1 per 2.9​
- Runouts from first shot after the break -- 21%, 24%​
 
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