Stats -- Van Boening vs. Chua 10-Ball Race to 63, September 2022

AtLarge

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Here are some results from the Shane Van Boening vs. Johann Chua "Sharks" 10-Ball match played in Quezon City, Philippines on September 15-17, 2022. Free streaming was provided on Facebook and YouTube.

This match was a race to 63 game wins played over 3 days. Van Boening won the match, outscoring Chua on each of the 3 days (Van Boening's score first):
Day 1 -- 21 - 13​
Day 2 -- 21 - 16 (2-day total 42 - 29)​
Day 3 -- 21 - 19​
Total -- 63 - 48​

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- 9-foot Brunswick Gold Crown IV table with 4½" corner pockets;​
- grey Simonis 860 cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
- triangle rack;​
- referee racks, with the 1-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball and 3-ball on the back corners;​
- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back if a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- spot any 10-ball made on the break, but early called 10-balls after the break count as game wins;​
- 3-foul rule in effect (did not happen);​
- jump cues allowed;​
- 30-second shot clock with one short extension (10 seconds?) per player per game; and​
- lag for opening break on Day 1 (won by Van Boening).​

■ Van Boening broke 56 times -- successful 36 times (resulting in 27 game wins and 9 losses), 3 fouls (all losses), and 17 dry (7 wins, 10 losses).

■ Chua broke 55 times -- successful 35 times (resulting in 23 game wins and 12 losses), 7 fouls (all losses), and 13 dry (3 wins, 10 losses).

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Van Boening -- 36 of 56 (64%)​
Chua -- 35 of 55 (64%)​
Total -- 71 of 111 (64%)​

Breaker won game:
Van Boening -- 34 of 56 (61%)​
Chua -- 26 of 55 (47%)​
Total -- 60 of 111 (54%)​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
Van Boening -- 16 of 56 (29%)​
Chua --20 of 55 (36%)​
Total -- 36 of 111 (32%)​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Van Boening -- 16 of 36 (44%)​
Chua -- 20 of 35 (57%)​
Total -- 36 of 71 (51%)​

Fouls and foul rates: [Note: "games at the table" means total games less opponent's B&R games.]
Van Boening -- 13 fouls, including 3 on the break, in 91 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 7.0 games at the table)​
Chua -- 14 fouls (none on the break) in 95 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 6.8 games at the table)​
Total -- 27 fouls in 111 games (1 per 4.1 games)​

Missed shots (est.):
Van Boening -- 23 misses in 91 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 4.0 games at the table)​
Chua -- 21 misses in 95 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 4.5 games at the table)​
Total -- 44 misses in 111 games (1 per 2.5 games)​

Run-outs from first shot after break:
By Van Boening after his own successful break -- 16 of 36 (44%)​
By Van Boening after Chua's failed break -- 11 of 20 (55%)​
By Van Boening, total -- 27 of 56 (48%)​
By Chua after his own successful break -- 20 of 35 (57%)​
By Chua after Van Boening's failed break -- 10 of 20 (50%)​
By Chua, total -- 30 of 55 (55%)​
Total for Van Boening and Chua -- 57 of 111 (51%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Van Boening's break:
By Van Boening -- 16 of 36 (44%)​
By Chua -- 10 of 20 (50%)​
Total -- 26 of 56 (46%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Chua's break:
By Chua -- 20 of 35 (57%)​
By Van Boening -- 11 of 20 (55%)​
Total -- 31 of 55 (56%)​

Alternate-break packages (break-and-run games on a player's own successive breaks)
Van Boening's 16 B&R games consisted of 1 alternate-break 4-pack, 1 alternate-break 2-pack, and 10 singles​
Chua's 20 B&R games consisted of 1 alternate-break 7 pack, 1 alternate-break 5-pack, and 8 singles​

Games with 1 or more safeties (est.)
36% of all games (40 of 111)​
53% of games that were not B&Rs (40 of 75)​

Average number of balls made on the break:
Van Boening -- 1.2 on all breaks, 1.7 on successful breaks​
Chua -- 1.0 on all breaks, 1.3 on successful breaks​
Total -- 1.1 on all breaks, 1.5 on successful breaks​

Number of innings -- 56% (62 of 111) of the games ended in one inning, with 36 games ending on the breaker's first inning (B&R games) and 26 games ending on the non-breaker's first inning. 9 games ended on the breaker's second inning, and 12 games ended on the non-breaker's second inning. 25% (28 of 111) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with the longest game ending on the breaker's 13th (!) visit.

Distribution of consecutive game wins, i.e. winning streaks. Counts are given for Van Boening first, then Chua, then the total.
1 game -- 16 times, 16 times, 32 times​
2 games -- 7, 10, 17​
3 games -- 2, 4, 6​
4 games -- 2, 0, 2​
5 games -- 2, 0, 2​
9 games -- 1, 0, 1​

10-balls on the break -- None.

Match length -- Approximately 10 hours and 47 minutes, for an average of 5.8 minutes per game. This includes racking and timeouts (if any).
 
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Amazing breakdown, extremely insightful and useful stats to aspire towards and know the upper limits of pros.

Wonder if @phil228 could add a “analyze set” feature in his BilliardManager app where you just key in the observed games and it does the hard work of calculating stats.
 
I gotta say, if I didn't know already SVB won the race, these stats show Chua shooting better overall: more runouts, packs, and less misses.
But SVB (again) dominated with his break.
But for overall "shooting", Chua was pretty darn good.
 
I gotta say, if I didn't know already SVB won the race, these stats show Chua shooting better overall: more runouts, packs, and less misses.
But SVB (again) dominated with his break.
But for overall "shooting", Chua was pretty darn good.
I agree completely and wonder which stats are having a greater impact than runouts.
 
I gotta say, if I didn't know already SVB won the race, these stats show Chua shooting better overall: more runouts, packs, and less misses.
But SVB (again) dominated with his break.
But for overall "shooting", Chua was pretty darn good.
I know what you're saying. And the weird part is that Shane crushed him, that doesn`t show in the stats
 
I know what you're saying. And the weird part is that Shane crushed him, that doesn`t show in the stats
Yep. There's more to pool than being the better shooter.
Shane's break has always been one of his strongest shots. And his mental game/experience is off the charts.
Don't get me wrong, Shane shoots great. But he's also so strong in all other aspects that he can still beat a slightly straighter shooter lol
 
seems to me the biggest difference in the stats is shane was able to string more games in a row more times
....................................
Distribution of consecutive game wins, i.e. winning streaks. Counts are given for Van Boening first, then Chua, then the total.
1 game -- 16 times, 16 times, 32 times
2 games -- 7, 10, 17
3 games -- 2, 4, 6
4 games -- 2, 0, 2
5 games -- 2, 0, 2
9 games -- 1, 0, 1
 
seems to me the biggest difference in the stats is shane was able to string more games in a row more times
Well yah, but how did he do it? If Chua was shooting straighter, what was Shane's magic?
I'm guessing breaking and "the little things".
I've beaten guys in sets where they outshot me. You only need to make one ball per game to win the game in 9 and 10-ball. Sometimes I just "force" my opponent to do the dirty work lol.
A great PLAYER can beat a great SHOOTER.
 
-Little difference in missed shots so SVB was not potting better than Chua (Actually Chua missed slightly less than SVB).
-Little difference in fouls so match was not won or lost based on fouls.
-Chua actually slightly better in running out and also the break. He was better running out from 1st shot after break which means his break led to more open table easier runout than SVB.

So how did SVB win?
Way I see it from AtLarge stats, SVB won 12 more games on his break than Chua which probably explains most of the 15 game winning margin. (And SVB would have won 29 of the 51 games he did not break vs 22 for Chua)
SVB was far superior post-break and far better at retaining serve (break). Also means SVB was winning most of safety battles cos Chua was better at running out. In other words, SVB won being the better post-breaker not as the better breaker. :ROFLMAO:
This is another example of match where the player with better B&R does not always win. Whereas the player with better Break Win (BW) usually wins.
break1.JPG
 
This stat stuck out loudly to me....Shanes board play.

thx for the stats...


SVB 17 dry (7 wins, 10 losses).

Chua 13 dry (3 wins, 10 losses).


This computes X 3.................. to SVB 30 losses with 21 wins vs Chua 30 losses and 9 wins, HUGE difference.
 
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Little difference in missed shots so SVB was not potting better than Chua (Actually Chua missed slightly less than SVB)
I'm not sure where the stat went, but AtLarge's initial stats showed that Chua pocketed A LOT more balls than SVB. Like almost 100. Maybe AtLarge could clarify. So based on that, Chua's shooting percentage was quite a bit higher than SVB's.
SVB OUTPLAYED Chua, but Chua made many more balls.
Like I said earlier though, you only need to make one ball per game to win, and SVB was better at that than Chua.
 
I'm not sure where the stat went, but AtLarge's initial stats showed that Chua pocketed A LOT more balls than SVB. Like almost 100. Maybe AtLarge could clarify. So based on that, Chua's shooting percentage was quite a bit higher than SVB's.
SVB OUTPLAYED Chua, but Chua made many more balls.
Like I said earlier though, you only need to make one ball per game to win, and SVB was better at that than Chua.
I don't know where you are getting that information. I have not reported previously on the number of balls pocketed by either player in this match. Until now, I had not even added it up (except for balls on the break). Because of the late hour, I just did it quickly (i.e., subject to errors) now for Day 1 of the event rather than the whole thing. SVB pocketed 203 balls on Day 1 (but 2 of them would not count in something like a TPA because they were on fouls) while Chua pocketed 128 (less 1 on a foul). Chua did better on Days 2 and 3 than on Day 1 (i.e. won more games than he did on Day 1), but I certainly don't expect that it would end up that "Chua made many more balls." Maybe I'll add up the other two days later this week.
 
I don't know where you are getting that information. I have not reported previously on the number of balls pocketed by either player in this match. Until now, I had not even added it up (except for balls on the break). Because of the late hour, I just did it quickly (i.e., subject to errors) now for Day 1 of the event rather than the whole thing. SVB pocketed 203 balls on Day 1 (but 2 of them would not count in something like a TPA because they were on fouls) while Chua pocketed 128 (less 1 on a foul). Chua did better on Days 2 and 3 than on Day 1 (i.e. won more games than he did on Day 1), but I certainly don't expect that it would end up that "Chua made many more balls." Maybe I'll add up the other two days later this week.
Okay, I was curious, so I just did the other two days. Day 3 was about even in balls pocketed, but the other two days had SVB way ahead. The total for the 3 days, subtracting 8 balls that SVB made on fouled shots and 13 balls that Chua made on fouled shots, is (again, subject to minor errors from speed of calculation):

Balls legally pocketed:
SVB -- 606​
Chua -- 487​
 
Okay, I was curious, so I just did the other two days. Day 3 was about even in balls pocketed, but the other two days had SVB way ahead. The total for the 3 days, subtracting 8 balls that SVB made on fouled shots and 13 balls that Chua made on fouled shots, is:
OK ty my bad. Probably had too much coffee when I first saw your post lol
 
Amazing breakdown, extremely insightful and useful stats to aspire towards and know the upper limits of pros.

Wonder if @phil228 could add a “analyze set” feature in his BilliardManager app where you just key in the observed games and it does the hard work of calculating stats.
Well, the BilliardManager app is actually providing a lot of stats on matches and also on set-based matches, once you subscribe to the pro-version of it. However, the tracking is quite minimal on all disciplines to not disturb the focus - e.g. the app doesn't track misses, success on breaks, etc. That might be something for the future though.

However, for 14.1 straight pool, there are a lot more stats and insights provided (due to the nature of the turn-by-turn tracking). There, the app is capable of determining success on breakshots, breakshots after breakshots, and so on.
 
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